2 Best NFL Player Props Today: Seahawks vs Patriots

The NFL regular season kicks off with a Super Bowl 60 rematch: Seahawks vs Patriots.

Beyond side, total and moneyline markets, bettors also have access to myriad player props. Below, I’ve outlined my two best player prop predictions based on NFL odds.

Seahawks vs Patriots Prediction: Week 1 NFL Player Props

Hunter Henry Longest Reception Over 16.5 Yards (-105)

Last season, Seattle ran one of the highest rates of zone coverage in the entire league. At 80.4%, Mike Macdonald’s defense posted the third-highest rate in the NFL.

Their corners posted outstanding metrics against top receivers. However, the unit showed some vulnerabilities against tight ends.

Seattle ranked 16th in pass defense DVOA against the position. On average, opposing tight ends averaged eight catches for 64.3 yards per game.

Those benchmarks ranked 23rd and 27th, respectively, across the league.

Henry showed that vulnerability during the Super Bowl. He only caught three passes for 31 yards, but he posted a longest reception of 16 yards.

He also proved a strong weapon against zone-heavy coverage schemes. In the playoff opener against the Chargers, he caught three receptions for 64 yards.

Against a poor Carolina pass defense (1st in the NFL in zone coverage rate): two receptions for 39 yards.

Amongst all NFL wide receivers and tight ends, Henry ranked 26th in yards vs. zone coverage during the 2025 regular season. Only 73 yards separated him and A.J. Brown (20th).

Given those factors, I predict Henry enjoys continued success on Wednesday.

Rhamondre Stevenson Under 54.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Seattle experienced some defensive turnover this offseason, but I expect its rushing defense to remain elite.

All five of Seattle’s top-rated PFF run stoppers return to the defense. Last year, Seattle ranked first in rush defense DVOA, per FTN Fantasy.

Only twice did bettors see the run defense struggle. Both “failures” came against the Los Angeles Rams, which paced the league in the corresponding offensive category.

Now they get a Patriots rushing attack which struggled last year. New England ranked 21st in rush offense DVOA, despite facing only three top-eight rush defenses in the regular season.

Stevenson failed to clear 35 yards in those three regular season games. In the Super Bowl, he rushed for a measly 23 yards on seven carries against Seattle’s defense.

Of his 603 regular season rushing yards, Stevenson amassed nearly 31% in two games against the Dolphins. By contrast, Miami ranked 14th against the run last season.

Even with TreVeyon Henderson likely to miss Wednesday’s game, Stevenson likely needs a ton of volume to clear this number. It leads me to question how he clears a low number.