- The Bears are -1 point favorites vs the Packers
- Total (Over/Under): 43 points
- Watch the game on FOX
The Green Bay Packers (0-0) visit Soldier Field to take on the Chicago Bears (0-0) on Sep. 10. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25pm EDT in Chicago.
The Bears are betting favorites in this Week 1 matchup, with the spread sitting at -1 (-110).
The Packers vs. Bears Over/Under is 43 total points for the game.
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Packers vs. Bears Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Packers | +1 -110 | 43 -110 | +100 |
| Bears | -1 -110 | 43 -110 | -120 |
Packers vs. Bears Prediction
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Packers will win this Week 1 game with 54.0% confidence.
Packers vs Bears Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Packers will cover the spread with 62.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Packers and Bears, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Packers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Packers players this Week 1 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Christian Watson has hit the Longest Reception Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.55 Units / 48% ROI)
- Romeo Doubs has hit the Receptions Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.95 Units / 44% ROI)
- Aaron Jones has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.70 Units / 56% ROI)
- A.J. Dillon has hit the Longest Reception Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.35 Units / 41% ROI)
- A.J. Dillon has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 87% ROI)
Best Bears Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Bears players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Justin Fields has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.80 Units / 73% ROI)
- Cole Kmet has hit the Receptions Over in his last 5 games at home (+5.95 Units / 105% ROI)
- Darnell Mooney has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 66% ROI)
- Justin Fields has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+5.60 Units / 31% ROI)
- Justin Fields has hit the Passing Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.55 Units / 54% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Bears vs Packers
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Justin Fields | +800 |
| Christian Watson | +900 |
| Aaron Jones | +900 |
| Khalil Herbert | +1000 |
| AJ Dillon | +1100 |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Bears vs Packers
| Player Name | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Justin Fields | +115 |
| Christian Watson | +130 |
| Aaron Jones | +138 |
| Khalil Herbert | +145 |
| DJ Moore | +155 |
Packers Best Bets:
- The Green Bay Packers have scored last in their last 6 away games (+6.25 Units / 87% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 away games (+4.65 Units / 63% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 away games (+4.55 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have covered the 4Q Spread in 5 of their last 6 away games (+4.05 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have covered the 2H Spread in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.85 Units / 57% ROI)
Bears Best Bets:
- The Chicago Bears have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.90 Units / 62% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.45 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.60 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.35 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.30 Units / 24% ROI)
Packers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Packers went 2-1 (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI).
- Packers are 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.6 Units / 12.12% ROI
- Packers are 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Packers are 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / ROI
Bears Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Bears went 2-1 (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI).
- Bears are 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -27.03% ROI
- Bears are 3-0 when betting the Over for +3 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Bears are 0-3 when betting the Under for -3.3 Units / -100% ROI
Green Bay Packers: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bears
The Packers are winless (0-3) after a home loss since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .456.
The Packers were 4-2 (.667) vs bottom 10 run offenses in the 2022 season — tied for 9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .538.
The Packers were 5-1 (.833) when forcing at least one fumble in the 2022 season — tied for 5th-best in NFL; League Avg: .600.
The Packers are winless (0-6) when having a TO margin of -2 or worse since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .123.
Chicago Bears: Keys to the Game vs. the Green Bay Packers
The Bears were 3-9 (.250) when throwing at least 1 interception last season — 10th-worst in NFL. The Packers intercepted 17 passes last season — tied for fourth-most in NFL.
The Bears were winless (0-7) when allowing 250 or more passing yards in the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .476.
The Bears were winless (0-5) vs top 10 pass defenses in the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .503.
The Bears were 1-11 (.083) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .416.
Additional Matchup Notes for Green Bay Packers vs. Chicago Bears
Bears RBs averaged 8.8 yards after the catch last season — tied for third-best in NFL. The Packers allowed 8.4 yards after catch per reception to RBs last season — tied for second-worst in NFL.
Bears TEs had 56 receptions in 17 games (just 3.3 per game) last season — third-worst in NFL. The Packers allowed just 3.5 receptions per game to TEs last season — tied for second-best in NFL.
Bears TEs had just 34.5 receiving yards per game in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — tied for fifth-worst in NFL. The Packers allowed an average of just 31.2 receiving yards per game to TEs in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — fifth-best in NFL.
The Packers went three and out on 15.7% of their drives last season — tied for third-best in NFL. Bears forced three and outs on 16.2% of opponent drives last season — second-worst in NFL.
The Packers scored on 48.7% of their drives in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL. The Bears defense allowed scores on 46.8% of opponent drives in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — worst in NFL.
The Packers ran 59.6% offensive plays in on their opponent’s side of the field in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL. Bears allowed their opponents to run55.5% of plays in their territory in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — worst in NFL.
Green Bay Packers Offense: Important Stats
The Packers have been flagged 61 times on offense since the 2021 season — fewest in NFL.
The Packers went three and out on 5% of their drives in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL; League Avg: 22%.
The Packers have averaged just 14.5 offensive penalty yards per game (494/34) since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 20.1.
The Packers were flagged 32 times on offense in the 2022 season — fewest in NFL.
Chicago Bears Offense: Important Stats
57% of the Bears offense’s first downs (147 of 256) came on the ground in the 2022 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 38%.
The Bears threw the ball 38% of the time (376 Pass Attempts/990 plays) in the 2022 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 53%.
The Bears threw the ball 34% of the time (254 Pass Attempts/747 plays) on Early Downs in the 2022 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 49%.
The Bears have been sacked on 11% of pass attempts (116/1,033) since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 6%.
Green Bay Packers Defense: Important Stats
The Packers defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 29% on 3rd and short in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL; League Avg: 62%.
The Packers defense has allowed successful plays on 51% of rush attempts in the 2nd half since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Packers defense has allowed successful plays on 55% of rush attempts in the 3rd quarter since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
The Packers defense has allowed an average time of possession of 27 min and 25 s since the 2021 season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 30 min 36s.
Chicago Bears Defense: Important Stats
The Bears defense allowed first downs on 44% of pass attempts on 3rd and long in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 28%.
The Bears defense allowed 31 rushing TDs in the 2022 season — most in NFL.
The Bears defense averaged a sack every 25.0 pass attempts (501 Pass Attempts/20 Sacks) in the 2022 season — 2nd-worst attempts per sack rate in NFL; League Avg: 14.9.
The Bears defense hit opposing QBs on 9% of pass attempts in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 16%.
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