Packers vs Bears Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 13

min read
AP Photos
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 01, 2022, 11:45 AM
  • The Packers (4-8) are -3 point favorites vs the Bears (3-9)
  • Total (Over/Under): 42.5 points
  • Watch the game on FOX

The Green Bay Packers (4-8) visit Soldier Field to take on the Chicago Bears (3-9) on Dec. 4. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Chicago.

The Packers are betting favorites in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Packers vs. Bears Over/Under is 43.5 total points for the game.

Bet now on Bears vs Packers & all NFL games with BetMGM

Packers vs. Bears Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 13

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Packers-4.5 -11043.5 -110-185
Bears +4.5 -11043.5 -110+150

Packers vs. Bears Prediction for Week 13

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Packers will win this Week 13 game with 53.5% confidence.

Packers vs Bears Spread Prediction for Week 13

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Bears will cover the spread this Week 13 with 56.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Packers and Bears, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Bet now on Bears vs Packers and all NFL games with BetMGM


Best Packers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Packers players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Aaron Rodgers has hit the Interceptions Over in 5 of his last 6 away games (+6.35 Units / 106% ROI)
  • Aaron Rodgers has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.25 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Aaron Rodgers has hit the TD Passes Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.10 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Romeo Doubs has hit the Receptions Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Sammy Watkins has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Best Bears Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Bears players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Chase Claypool has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+8.05 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Justin Fields has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.55 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Justin Fields has hit the Carries Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.05 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Khalil Herbert has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.60 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Darnell Mooney has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 11 of his last 17 games (+4.20 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Green Bay Packers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.40 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Green Bay Packers have scored last in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.65 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Green Bay Packers have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.55 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Green Bay Packers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 16 games (+4.40 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Green Bay Packers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games (+4.40 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bears have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.80 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bears have hit the Game Total Over in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bears have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bears have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+5.30 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bears have hit the 2H Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+3.30 Units / 35% ROI)

Packers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Packers have gone 4-8 (-4.9 Units / -36.98% ROI).

  • Packers are 4-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.6 Units / -42.26% ROI
  • Packers are 6-6 when betting the Over for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Packers are 6-6 when betting the Under for -0.6 Units / ROI

Bears Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Bears have gone 4-7 (-3.8 Units / -28.57% ROI).

  • Bears are 3-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.05 Units / -23.11% ROI
  • Bears are 8-4 when betting the Over for +3.6 Units / 27.27% ROI
  • Bears are 4-8 when betting the Under for -4.8 Units / -36.36% ROI

Green Bay Packers: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bears

The Packers are winless (0-3) when converting less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .448.

The Packers are 1-3 (.250) when allowing 3 or more sacks this season — tied for 8th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .376.

The Packers are 4-6 (.400) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team this season — tied for 10th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .496.

The Packers are 3-8 (.273) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards this season — tied for 9th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .431.

Chicago Bears: Keys to the Game vs. the Green Bay Packers

The Bears are 2-8 (.200) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team this season — tied for 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .496.

The Bears were winless (0-7) vs top 10 offenses last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .376.

The Bears are 1-6 (.143) when not forcing a fumble this season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .433.

The Bears are 2-9 (.182) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2021 season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .430.

Additional Matchup Notes for Green Bay Packers vs. Chicago Bears

The Bears have thrown for 1,842 passing yards in 12 games (just 153.5 YPG) this season — worst in NFL. The Packers have allowed just 187.8 passing yards per game this season — fourth-best in NFL.

Bears RBs have averaged 10.8 yards after the catch this season — best in NFL. The Packers have allowed 8.4 yards after catch per reception to RBs this season — fifth-worst in NFL.

Bears TEs have just 32.2 receiving yards per game this season — fourth-worst in NFL. The Packers have allowed an average ofjust 28.2 receiving yards per game to TEs this season — best in NFL.

Packers WRs have averaged 5.4 yards after the catch this season — tied for third-best in NFL. The Bears have allowed 5.5 yards after catch per reception to WRs this season — worst in NFL.

The Packers have 9 touchdown passes since Week 9 — tied for most in NFL. The Bears have allowed 8 passing TDs since Week 9 — third-most in NFL.

Packers WRs gained 153 yards on 8 receptions (19.1 YPR) last week — best in NFL. The Bears allowed 18.3 Yards Per Reception to WRs in Week 12 — fourth-worst in NFL.

Green Bay Packers Offense: Important Stats for Week 13

The Packers ran successful plays on 57% of rush attempts in the 3rd quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

The Packers ran successful plays on 50% of plays in the 2nd half last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Packers have 6 TDs that were 20+ yards since Week 9 — 2nd-most in NFL.

The Packers had a third down conversion rate of 14% in Week 12 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 39%.

Chicago Bears Offense: Important Stats for Week 13

The Bears have thrown the ball 35% of the time (253 Pass Attempts/722 plays) this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 53%.

The Bears have been sacked on 14% of pass attempts (42/295) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 7%.

The Bears have run the ball on 58% of plays (419 carries/722 plays) this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

The Bears have been sacked on 12% of pass attempts (34/275) in the 4th quarter since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 7%.

Green Bay Packers Defense: Important Stats for Week 13

The Packers defense has allowed a passer rating of just 0.0 when the opposing QB has scrambled (16 Pass Attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 58.2.

The Packers defense has allowed successful plays on 53% of rush attempts in the 2nd half since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

25% of the plays run against the Packers have been in the red zone in the 4th quarter this season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 16%.

The Packers defense allowed 364 rushing yards in Week 12 — most in NFL.

Chicago Bears Defense: Important Stats for Week 13

The Bears defense allowed a passer rating of 145.0 (29 Pass Attempts) in Week 12 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 93.6.

The Bears defense has allowed successful plays on 63% of pass attempts in the 1st quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Bears defense sacked opposing QBs on 9% of pass attempts (48/526) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 6%.

The Bears defense has allowed first downs on 50% of pass attempts on 3rd and long this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 28%.

Looking to place a bet on this game with a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Bears vs Packers and all NFL games with BetMGM

Bet on NFL Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NFL betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.