- The Packers (4-8) are -3 point favorites vs the Bears (3-9)
- Total (Over/Under): 42.5 points
- Watch the game on FOX
The Green Bay Packers (4-8) visit Soldier Field to take on the Chicago Bears (3-9) on Dec. 4. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Chicago.
The Packers are betting favorites in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).
The Packers vs. Bears Over/Under is 43.5 total points for the game.
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Packers vs. Bears Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 13
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Packers | -4.5 -110 | 43.5 -110 | -185 |
| Bears | +4.5 -110 | 43.5 -110 | +150 |
Packers vs. Bears Prediction for Week 13
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Packers will win this Week 13 game with 53.5% confidence.
Packers vs Bears Spread Prediction for Week 13
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Bears will cover the spread this Week 13 with 56.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Packers and Bears, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Packers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Packers players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Aaron Rodgers has hit the Interceptions Over in 5 of his last 6 away games (+6.35 Units / 106% ROI)
- Aaron Rodgers has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.25 Units / 38% ROI)
- Aaron Rodgers has hit the TD Passes Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.10 Units / 27% ROI)
- Romeo Doubs has hit the Receptions Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 53% ROI)
- Sammy Watkins has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Best Bears Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Bears players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Chase Claypool has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+8.05 Units / 38% ROI)
- Justin Fields has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.55 Units / 44% ROI)
- Justin Fields has hit the Carries Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.05 Units / 64% ROI)
- Khalil Herbert has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.60 Units / 44% ROI)
- Darnell Mooney has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 11 of his last 17 games (+4.20 Units / 22% ROI)
Packers Best Bets for Week 13:
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.40 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have scored last in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.65 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.55 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 16 games (+4.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games (+4.40 Units / 22% ROI)
Bears Best Bets for Week 13:
- The Chicago Bears have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.80 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have hit the Game Total Over in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+5.30 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have hit the 2H Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+3.30 Units / 35% ROI)
Packers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Packers have gone 4-8 (-4.9 Units / -36.98% ROI).
- Packers are 4-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.6 Units / -42.26% ROI
- Packers are 6-6 when betting the Over for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Packers are 6-6 when betting the Under for -0.6 Units / ROI
Bears Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Bears have gone 4-7 (-3.8 Units / -28.57% ROI).
- Bears are 3-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.05 Units / -23.11% ROI
- Bears are 8-4 when betting the Over for +3.6 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Bears are 4-8 when betting the Under for -4.8 Units / -36.36% ROI
Green Bay Packers: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bears
The Packers are winless (0-3) when converting less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .448.
The Packers are 1-3 (.250) when allowing 3 or more sacks this season — tied for 8th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .376.
The Packers are 4-6 (.400) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team this season — tied for 10th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .496.
The Packers are 3-8 (.273) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards this season — tied for 9th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .431.
Chicago Bears: Keys to the Game vs. the Green Bay Packers
The Bears are 2-8 (.200) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team this season — tied for 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .496.
The Bears were winless (0-7) vs top 10 offenses last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .376.
The Bears are 1-6 (.143) when not forcing a fumble this season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .433.
The Bears are 2-9 (.182) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2021 season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .430.
Additional Matchup Notes for Green Bay Packers vs. Chicago Bears
The Bears have thrown for 1,842 passing yards in 12 games (just 153.5 YPG) this season — worst in NFL. The Packers have allowed just 187.8 passing yards per game this season — fourth-best in NFL.
Bears RBs have averaged 10.8 yards after the catch this season — best in NFL. The Packers have allowed 8.4 yards after catch per reception to RBs this season — fifth-worst in NFL.
Bears TEs have just 32.2 receiving yards per game this season — fourth-worst in NFL. The Packers have allowed an average ofjust 28.2 receiving yards per game to TEs this season — best in NFL.
Packers WRs have averaged 5.4 yards after the catch this season — tied for third-best in NFL. The Bears have allowed 5.5 yards after catch per reception to WRs this season — worst in NFL.
The Packers have 9 touchdown passes since Week 9 — tied for most in NFL. The Bears have allowed 8 passing TDs since Week 9 — third-most in NFL.
Packers WRs gained 153 yards on 8 receptions (19.1 YPR) last week — best in NFL. The Bears allowed 18.3 Yards Per Reception to WRs in Week 12 — fourth-worst in NFL.
Green Bay Packers Offense: Important Stats for Week 13
The Packers ran successful plays on 57% of rush attempts in the 3rd quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
The Packers ran successful plays on 50% of plays in the 2nd half last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Packers have 6 TDs that were 20+ yards since Week 9 — 2nd-most in NFL.
The Packers had a third down conversion rate of 14% in Week 12 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 39%.
Chicago Bears Offense: Important Stats for Week 13
The Bears have thrown the ball 35% of the time (253 Pass Attempts/722 plays) this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 53%.
The Bears have been sacked on 14% of pass attempts (42/295) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 7%.
The Bears have run the ball on 58% of plays (419 carries/722 plays) this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
The Bears have been sacked on 12% of pass attempts (34/275) in the 4th quarter since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 7%.
Green Bay Packers Defense: Important Stats for Week 13
The Packers defense has allowed a passer rating of just 0.0 when the opposing QB has scrambled (16 Pass Attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 58.2.
The Packers defense has allowed successful plays on 53% of rush attempts in the 2nd half since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
25% of the plays run against the Packers have been in the red zone in the 4th quarter this season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 16%.
The Packers defense allowed 364 rushing yards in Week 12 — most in NFL.
Chicago Bears Defense: Important Stats for Week 13
The Bears defense allowed a passer rating of 145.0 (29 Pass Attempts) in Week 12 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 93.6.
The Bears defense has allowed successful plays on 63% of pass attempts in the 1st quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
The Bears defense sacked opposing QBs on 9% of pass attempts (48/526) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 6%.
The Bears defense has allowed first downs on 50% of pass attempts on 3rd and long this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 28%.
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