Packers vs Bears Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NFL, Week 16

Chicago Bears fans cheer during the first half of an NFL football game against the Carolina Panthers, Sunday, Oct. 6, 2024, in Chicago. The Bears defeated the Panthers 36-10. (AP Photo/Kamil Krzaczynski)
(AP Photo/Kamil Krzaczynski)
New Player OfferOdds Boost Tokens
  • The Packers are -1 point favorites vs the Bears
  • Total (Over/Under): 46.5 points
  • Watch this game on FOX | FOXD | NFL+

The Green Bay Packers (9-4-1) visit Soldier Field to take on the Chicago Bears (10-4-0) on Dec. 20. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:20pm EST in Chicago, IL.

The Packers are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -1 (-110).

The Packers vs. Bears Over/Under is 46.5 total points for the game.

Bet now on Bears vs Packers & all NFL games with BetMGM

Packers vs. Bears Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Packers vs. Bears Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Packers will win this game with 51.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Packers vs Bears Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Packers will cover the spread with 51.7% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on Bears vs Packers and all NFL games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Packers players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Packers Player Prop Bets Today

  • Emanuel Wilson has hit the Longest Rush Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.70 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Jordan Love has hit the Completions Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.15 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Dontayvion Wicks has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.90 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Josh Jacobs has hit the Longest Reception Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Jordan Love has hit the TD Passes Under in 11 of his last 18 games (+4.70 Units / 22% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Bears players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Bears Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Olamide Zaccheaus has hit the Longest Reception Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.80 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Cairo Santos has hit the Field Goals Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.25 Units / 84% ROI)
  • Luther Burden III has hit the Receptions Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+7.20 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Cole Kmet has hit the Receptions Under in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+6.20 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Colston Loveland has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.15 Units / 50% ROI)

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Bears vs Packers

Player Name Over Under
Josh Jacobs (GB) 11.5 -115 11.5 -115
Romeo Doubs (GB) 35.5 -118 35.5 -110
Christian Watson (GB) 52.5 -115 52.5 -115
D'Andre Swift (CHI) 11.5 -120 11.5 -110
DJ Moore (CHI) 45.5 -115 45.5 -115

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Bears vs Packers

Player Name Over Under
Caleb Williams (CHI) 17.5 -115 17.5 -115
D'Andre Swift (CHI) 51.5 -118 51.5 -110
Kyle Monangai (CHI) 41.5 -110 41.5 -118
Jordan Love (GB) 9.5 -110 9.5 -120
Josh Jacobs (GB) 69.5 -118 69.5 -110
  • The Green Bay Packers have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.90 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Green Bay Packers have hit the 1H Team Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games (+5.85 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Green Bay Packers have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.80 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Green Bay Packers have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.30 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Green Bay Packers have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 away games (+4.80 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bears have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+12.90 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bears have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.35 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bears have covered the 4Q Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+5.55 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bears have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.45 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bears have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 17 games (+5.05 Units / 25% ROI)

Packers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Packers are 6-8 (-2.8 Units / -17.95% ROI).

  • Packers are 9-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.05 Units / -10.98% ROI
  • Packers are 8-6 when betting the Over for +1.4 Units / 9.09% ROI
  • Packers are 6-8 when betting the Under for -2.8 Units / ROI

Bears Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Bears are 9-5 (+3.65 Units / 23.86% ROI).

  • Bears are 10-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.4 Units / 46.88% ROI
  • Bears are 7-6 when betting the Over for +0.4 Units / 2.6% ROI
  • Bears are 6-7 when betting the Under for -1.7 Units / -11.04% ROI

Green Bay Packers: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bears

The Bears defense did not allow a successful play on any rush attempt in the 1st half in Week 15 — best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Bears defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 15% on 3rd and long this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 25%.

The Bears defense allowed successful plays on 6% of plays in the 1st half in Week 15 — best in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

The Bears defense has allowed a passer rating of just 5.7 when the opposing QB has scrambled (24 Pass Attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 60.7.

Chicago Bears: Keys to the Game vs. the Green Bay Packers

The Bears have started 5 drives inside their own 10 yard line this season — fewest in NFL.

The Bears have an average drive start position from the 31.8 yard line in the 1st half this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 27.7.

The Bears have converted late downs on 32 of 247 plays (13%) with 4-6 yards to go this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 10%.

The Bears have run successful plays on 48% of rush attempts on motion plays this season — 5th-best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

Additional Matchup Notes for Green Bay Packers vs. Chicago Bears

The Bears have started 5 drives inside their own 10 yard line this season — fewest in NFL.

The Bears have an average drive start position from the 31.8 yard line in the 1st half this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 27.7.

The Bears have converted late downs on 32 of 247 plays (13%) with 4-6 yards to go this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 10%.

The Bears have run successful plays on 48% of rush attempts on motion plays this season — 5th-best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Bears defense did not allow a successful play on any rush attempt in the 1st half in Week 15 — best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Bears defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 15% on 3rd and long this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 25%.

The Bears defense allowed successful plays on 6% of plays in the 1st half in Week 15 — best in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

The Bears defense has allowed a passer rating of just 5.7 when the opposing QB has scrambled (24 Pass Attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 60.7.

Green Bay Packers Offense: Important Stats

The Bears defense did not allow a successful play on any rush attempt in the 1st half in Week 15 — best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Bears defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 15% on 3rd and long this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 25%.

The Bears defense allowed successful plays on 6% of plays in the 1st half in Week 15 — best in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

The Bears defense has allowed a passer rating of just 5.7 when the opposing QB has scrambled (24 Pass Attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 60.7.

Chicago Bears Offense: Important Stats

The Bears have started 5 drives inside their own 10 yard line this season — fewest in NFL.

The Bears have an average drive start position from the 31.8 yard line in the 1st half this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 27.7.

The Bears have converted late downs on 32 of 247 plays (13%) with 4-6 yards to go this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 10%.

The Bears have run successful plays on 48% of rush attempts on motion plays this season — 5th-best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

Green Bay Packers Defense: Important Stats

The Bears defense did not allow a successful play on any rush attempt in the 1st half in Week 15 — best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Bears defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 15% on 3rd and long this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 25%.

The Bears defense allowed successful plays on 6% of plays in the 1st half in Week 15 — best in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

The Bears defense has allowed a passer rating of just 5.7 when the opposing QB has scrambled (24 Pass Attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 60.7.

Chicago Bears Defense: Important Stats

The Bears have started 5 drives inside their own 10 yard line this season — fewest in NFL.

The Bears have an average drive start position from the 31.8 yard line in the 1st half this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 27.7.

The Bears have converted late downs on 32 of 247 plays (13%) with 4-6 yards to go this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 10%.

The Bears have run successful plays on 48% of rush attempts on motion plays this season — 5th-best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

Looking to place a bet on this game with a First Bet Offer up to $1,500? Bet now on Bears vs Packers and all NFL games with BetMGM

More NFL Betting Predictions:

More NFL Odds at BetMGM

Take your football entertainment to the next level with NFL betting at the online sportsbook.

From futures like Chiefs Super Bowl odds, Lions odds to win the division, or Ravens playoff odds, to weekly odds like spreads, moneylines, and over/under totals, thereโ€™s something for everyone.

And with the best sportsbook promotions, you could land a welcome offer, sports betting Odds Boost, or a Parlay Boost! You can also check out NFL picks and predictions and updated Super Bowl predictions throughout the year.

Log in to your BetMGM account today โ€” or sign up for a new account via the online sportsbook or BetMGM iOS app or BetMGM Android app โ€” to start betting!

The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.

About the Author Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.