- The Bears are -1 point favorites vs the Packers
- Total (Over/Under): 46 points
- Watch this game on Amazon
The Green Bay Packers visit Soldier Field to take on the Chicago Bears on Jan. 10. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Chicago, IL.
The Bears are betting favorites in this playoff matchup, with the spread sitting at -1 (-105).
The Packers vs. Bears Over/Under is 46 total points for the game.
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Packers vs. Bears Odds, Spread, Over/Under
Packers vs. Bears Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Bears will win this playoff game with 51.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Packers vs Bears Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Packers will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Packers players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Packers Player Prop Bets Today
- Emanuel Wilson has hit the Longest Rush Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.60 Units / 44% ROI)
- Dontayvion Wicks has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.90 Units / 66% ROI)
- Josh Jacobs has hit the Longest Reception Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.80 Units / 51% ROI)
- Dontayvion Wicks has hit the Receptions Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.25 Units / 25% ROI)
- Jordan Love has hit the Completions Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.15 Units / 28% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Bears players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Bears Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Caleb Williams has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.90 Units / 72% ROI)
- Olamide Zaccheaus has hit the Longest Reception Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.60 Units / 57% ROI)
- Luther Burden III has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+7.20 Units / 43% ROI)
- Colston Loveland has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+7.15 Units / 44% ROI)
- D.J. Moore has hit the Receptions Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.90 Units / 36% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Bears vs Packers
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Jordan Love (GB) | +3000 |
| Josh Jacobs (GB) | +550 |
| Emanuel Wilson (GB) | +1800 |
| Chris Brooks (GB) | +8000 |
| Christian Watson (GB) | +1000 |
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Bears vs Packers
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Luke Musgrave (GB) | 25.5 -118 | 25.5 -110 |
| Christian Watson (GB) | 55.5 -110 | 55.5 -118 |
| D'Andre Swift (CHI) | 11.5 -110 | 11.5 -120 |
| Jayden Reed (GB) | 36.5 -110 | 36.5 -118 |
| Colston Loveland (CHI) | 40.5 -118 | 40.5 -110 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Bears vs Packers
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Jacobs (GB) | 71.5 -115 | 71.5 -115 |
| Jayden Reed (GB) | 0.5 -118 | 0.5 -110 |
| D'Andre Swift (CHI) | 59.5 -110 | 59.5 -118 |
| Jordan Love (GB) | 9.5 -110 | 9.5 -118 |
| Emanuel Wilson (GB) | 19.5 -118 | 19.5 -110 |
Packers Best Bets:
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the 1H Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 away games (+6.40 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.10 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 16 games (+4.00 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 away games (+2.85 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 away games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
Bears Best Bets:
- The Chicago Bears have hit the 2H Moneyline in 9 of their last 10 games (+10.05 Units / 72% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 games (+9.80 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.25 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+8.70 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 11 games (+8.65 Units / 70% ROI)
Packers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Packers are 6-10 (-5 Units / -26.46% ROI).
- Packers are 9-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.4 Units / -17.02% ROI
- Packers are 9-8 when betting the Over for +0.2 Units / 1.07% ROI
- Packers are 8-9 when betting the Under for -1.9 Units / ROI
Bears Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Bears are 10-6 (+3.55 Units / 19.09% ROI).
- Bears are 11-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.7 Units / 32.15% ROI
- Bears are 8-8 when betting the Over for -0.8 Units / -4.28% ROI
- Bears are 8-8 when betting the Under for -0.8 Units / -4.28% ROI
Green Bay Packers: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bears
Packers are 7-3 (.700) when allowing an average of less than 5 yards on first down (T-7th-best in NFL) and just .167 when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down this season (T-4th-worst in NFL).
Packers are 8-1-1 (.800) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns (T-9th-best in NFL) and just .143 when converting less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season (6th-worst in NFL).
The Packers are winless (0-4-1) when losing at least one fumble this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .349.
The Packers are 1-3-1 (.200) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays this season — T-6th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .399.
Chicago Bears: Keys to the Game vs. the Green Bay Packers
The Packers defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 15% on 3rd and long this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: 25%.
The Packers defense has not allowed a first down on any of their opponents’ 9 rush attempts on 3rd and long this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: 21%.
The Packers defense has allowed first downs on 19% of pass attempts on 3rd and long this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 29%.
The Packers defense has allowed a passer rating of 54.6 with tight coverage (118 Pass Attempts) this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 24.0.
Additional Matchup Notes for Green Bay Packers vs. Chicago Bears
The Packers defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 15% on 3rd and long this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: 25%.
The Packers defense has not allowed a first down on any of their opponents’ 9 rush attempts on 3rd and long this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: 21%.
The Packers defense has allowed first downs on 19% of pass attempts on 3rd and long this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 29%.
The Packers defense has allowed a passer rating of 54.6 with tight coverage (118 Pass Attempts) this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 24.0.
Packers are 7-3 (.700) when allowing an average of less than 5 yards on first down (T-7th-best in NFL) and just .167 when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down this season (T-4th-worst in NFL).
Packers are 8-1-1 (.800) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns (T-9th-best in NFL) and just .143 when converting less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season (6th-worst in NFL).
The Packers are winless (0-4-1) when losing at least one fumble this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .349.
The Packers are 1-3-1 (.200) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays this season — T-6th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .399.
Green Bay Packers Offense: Important Stats
Packers are 7-3 (.700) when allowing an average of less than 5 yards on first down (T-7th-best in NFL) and just .167 when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down this season (T-4th-worst in NFL).
Packers are 8-1-1 (.800) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns (T-9th-best in NFL) and just .143 when converting less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season (6th-worst in NFL).
The Packers are winless (0-4-1) when losing at least one fumble this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .349.
The Packers are 1-3-1 (.200) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays this season — T-6th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .399.
Chicago Bears Offense: Important Stats
The Packers defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 15% on 3rd and long this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: 25%.
The Packers defense has not allowed a first down on any of their opponents’ 9 rush attempts on 3rd and long this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: 21%.
The Packers defense has allowed first downs on 19% of pass attempts on 3rd and long this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 29%.
The Packers defense has allowed a passer rating of 54.6 with tight coverage (118 Pass Attempts) this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 24.0.
Green Bay Packers Defense: Important Stats
Packers are 7-3 (.700) when allowing an average of less than 5 yards on first down (T-7th-best in NFL) and just .167 when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down this season (T-4th-worst in NFL).
Packers are 8-1-1 (.800) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns (T-9th-best in NFL) and just .143 when converting less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season (6th-worst in NFL).
The Packers are winless (0-4-1) when losing at least one fumble this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .349.
The Packers are 1-3-1 (.200) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays this season — T-6th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .399.
Chicago Bears Defense: Important Stats
The Packers defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 15% on 3rd and long this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: 25%.
The Packers defense has not allowed a first down on any of their opponents’ 9 rush attempts on 3rd and long this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: 21%.
The Packers defense has allowed first downs on 19% of pass attempts on 3rd and long this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 29%.
The Packers defense has allowed a passer rating of 54.6 with tight coverage (118 Pass Attempts) this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 24.0.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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