Packers vs Bills Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 8, SNF

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 30, 2022, 10:00 AM
  • The are point favorites vs the
  • Total (Over/Under): points
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The visit Highmark Stadium to take on the on Oct. 30. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:20pm EDT in Orchard Park for Sunday Night Football.

The are betting favorites in Week 8, with the spread sitting at ().

The Packers vs. Bills Over/Under is 47 total points for the game.

Bet now on Bills vs Packers & all NFL games with BetMGM

vs. Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 8

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Packers+10.5 -11047 -110+375
Bills -10.5 -11047 -110-500

vs. Prediction for Week 8

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Bills will win this Week 8 game with 78.0% confidence.

vs Spread Prediction for Week 8

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Packers will cover the spread this Week 8 with 54.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Packers and Bills, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Packers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for players for Week 8, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Aaron Rodgers has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.45 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Aaron Rodgers has hit the TD Passes Over in 10 of his last 16 games (+4.05 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Robert Tonyan has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Marcedes Lewis has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Sammy Watkins has hit the Receptions Under in his last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Best Bills Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some top NFL player prop bets for players for Week 8, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Gabriel Davis has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.50 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Josh Allen has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+6.30 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Devin Singletary has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+5.75 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Josh Allen has hit the TD Passes Over in 12 of his last 19 games (+2.90 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Zack Moss has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 4 of his last 5 games at home (+2.85 Units / 43% ROI)
  • First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Bills vs Packers

    Player Name 1st TD Odds
    Stefon Diggs +550
    Gabriel Davis +700
    Josh Allen +750
    Devin Singletary +800
    Isaiah McKenzie +1000

    Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Bills vs Packers

    Player Name Anytime TD Odds
    Stefon Diggs -125
    Aaron Jones +100
    Gabriel Davis +100
    Devin Singletary +110
    Josh Allen +110

    Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Bills vs Packers

    Player Name Over Under
    Aaron Jones 30.5 -120 30.5 -110
    Gabriel Davis 57.5 -115 57.5 -120
    Romeo Doubs 41.5 -110 41.5 -120
    Devin Singletary 19.5 -120 19.5 -110
    Stefon Diggs 80.5 -115 80.5 -115

    Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Bills vs Packers

    Player Name Over Under
    Devin Singletary 55.5 -120 55.5 -110
    Josh Allen 40.5 -110 40.5 -120
    Aaron Rodgers 1.5 -115 1.5 -115
    Aaron Jones 48.5 -115 48.5 -120
    AJ Dillon 25.5 -120 25.5 -110
  • The Green Bay Packers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.50 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Green Bay Packers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.60 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Green Bay Packers have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.75 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Green Bay Packers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 15 games (+3.65 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Green Bay Packers have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 8 games (+2.80 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Buffalo Bills have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 16 games (+10.20 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Buffalo Bills have hit the 2H Moneyline in 12 of their last 15 games (+9.70 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Buffalo Bills have scored first in 11 of their last 12 games (+9.65 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Buffalo Bills have covered the 2H Spread in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.85 Units / 62% ROI)
  • The Buffalo Bills have covered the 4Q Spread in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.15 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Packers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this NFL season, the have gone 2-5 (-3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI).

    • are 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.6 Units / -36.63% ROI
    • are 3-4 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
    • are 4-3 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / ROI

    Bills Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this NFL season, the have gone 4-1 (+2.9 Units / 43.61% ROI).

    • are 5-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 15.08% ROI
    • are 1-5 when betting the Over for -4.5 Units / -68.18% ROI
    • are 5-1 when betting the Under for +3.9 Units / 59.09% ROI

    Green Bay Packers: Keys to the Game vs. the Buffalo Bills

    The Packers are 1-4 (.200) when not forcing a fumble this season — tied for 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .424.

    The Packers are 14-1 (.933) when forcing 1 or more turnovers since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .600.

    The Packers are 4-1 (.800) when passing for more than 300 yards since the 2021 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .548.

    The Packers are 12-4 (.750) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2021 season — tied for 5th-best in NFL; League Avg: .562.

    Buffalo Bills: Keys to the Game vs. the Green Bay Packers

    The Bills are winless (0-5) when scoring less than 22 points since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .239.

    The Bills are winless (0-4) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .271.

    The Bills are 4-1 (.800) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season — tied for 4th-best in NFL; League Avg: .566.

    The Bills are 11-2 (.846) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .557.

    Additional Matchup Notes for Green Bay Packers vs. Buffalo Bills

    The Bills have run successful plays on 48.1% of rush attempts since the 2021 season — third-best in NFL. Packers have allowed successful plays on 48.9% of rush attempts since the 2021 season — second-worst in NFL.

    The Packers have scored on 26.9% of their drives this season — third-worst in NFL. The Bills defense has allowed scores on 25% of opponent drives this season — second-best in NFL.

    The Packers have scored on 20% of their drives in the second half this season — third-worst in NFL. The Bills defense has allowed scores on 10% of opponent drives in the second half this season — best in NFL.

    The Packers have scored on 14.3% of their drives in the fourth quarter this season — tied for third-worst in NFL. The Bills defense has allowed scores on 13.3% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter this season — third-best in NFL.

    Offense: Important Stats for Week 8

    The Packers ran successful plays on 57% of rush attempts in the 3rd quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

    The Packers have converted first downs on just 11 of 23 plays (48%) on 3rd and short this season — tied for 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 58%.

    The Packers have committed 29 turnovers since the 2020 season — fewest in NFL.

    The Packers have run successful plays on 53% of plays in the 3rd quarter since the 2021 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

    Offense: Important Stats for Week 8

    The Bills have a third down conversion rate of 54% this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 39%.

    The Bills have thrown 2.8 TD passes per game (17/6) this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 1.4.

    The Bills have run successful plays on 66% of rush attempts in the 3rd quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

    The Bills have an average drive start position from the 33.2 yard line in the 1st quarter since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 25.5.

    Defense: Important Stats for Week 8

    The Packers defense have forced three and outs on 36% of opponent drives this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 21%.

    The Packers defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 23% in the 1st half this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 39%.

    The Packers defense have forced three and outs on 43% of opponent drives in the 1st half this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 22%.

    The Packers defense has allowed first downs on just 30% of plays on 3rd down this season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: 39%.

    Defense: Important Stats for Week 8

    The Bills defense allowed 12 TD passes last season — fewest in NFL.

    The Bills defense allowed a passer rating of just 65.4 (531 Pass Attempts) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 90.8.

    The Bills’ opponents averaged 44.2 Passing Attempts per TD (531 Pass Attempts/12 Passing TDs) last season — best Pass Attempts Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 22.3.

    The Bills defense has allowed a passer rating of just 67.0 (737 Pass Attempts) since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 90.3.

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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.