Packers vs Eagles Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 12, SNF

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 27, 2022, 10:28 AM
  • The Eagles (9-1) are -7 point favorites vs the Packers (4-7)
  • Total (Over/Under): 46.5 points
  • Watch the game on NBC

The Green Bay Packers (4-7) visit Lincoln Financial Field to take on the Philadelphia Eagles (9-1) on Nov. 27. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:20pm EST in Philadelphia for Sunday Night Football.

The Eagles are betting favorites in Week 12, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The Packers vs. Eagles Over/Under is 46.5 total points for the game.

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Packers vs. Eagles Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 12

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Packers+6.5 -11046.5 -110+240
Eagles -6.5 -11046.5 -110-300

Packers vs. Eagles Prediction for Week 12

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Eagles will win this Week 12 game with 67.5% confidence.

Packers vs Eagles Spread Prediction for Week 12

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Packers will cover the spread this Week 12 with 57.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Packers and Eagles, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Packers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Packers players for Week 12, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Romeo Doubs has hit the Receptions Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Sammy Watkins has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.85 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Sammy Watkins has hit the Receptions Under in his last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 55% ROI)
  • A.J. Dillon has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 away games (+3.80 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Aaron Rodgers has hit the TD Passes Over in 11 of his last 17 games (+3.80 Units / 17% ROI)

Best Eagles Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Eagles players for Week 12, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Miles Sanders has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.10 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Zach Pascal has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 75% ROI)
  • A.J. Brown has hit the Receptions Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.70 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Zach Pascal has hit the Receptions Under in his last 5 games (+5.15 Units / 68% ROI)
  • Jalen Hurts has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+4.75 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Green Bay Packers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.50 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Green Bay Packers have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Green Bay Packers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.40 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Green Bay Packers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games (+4.40 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Green Bay Packers have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+4.00 Units / 75% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 9 games (+8.00 Units / 82% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.75 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.90 Units / 67% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.80 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.85 Units / 47% ROI)

Packers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Packers have gone 4-7 (-3.8 Units / -31.28% ROI).

  • Packers are 4-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.6 Units / -40.08% ROI
  • Packers are 5-6 when betting the Over for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI
  • Packers are 6-5 when betting the Under for +0.5 Units / ROI

Eagles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Eagles have gone 5-5 (-0.5 Units / -4.57% ROI).

  • Eagles are 9-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.95 Units / 11.37% ROI
  • Eagles are 6-4 when betting the Over for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI
  • Eagles are 4-6 when betting the Under for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI

Green Bay Packers: Keys to the Game vs. the Philadelphia Eagles

The Packers are winless (0-3) when throwing 2 or more interceptions since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .207.

The Packers are 3-7 (.300) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards this season — tied for 10th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .430.

The Packers are 2-5 (.286) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game this season — 7th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .458.

The Packers are 14-6 (.700) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2021 season — tied for 6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .576.

Philadelphia Eagles: Keys to the Game vs. the Green Bay Packers

The Eagles are undefeated (4-0) when sacking the QB less than 3 times this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .403.

The Eagles are undefeated (5-0) on the road this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .453.

The Eagles are undefeated (7-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .581.

The Eagles were winless (0-6) vs top 10 pass offenses last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .365.

Additional Matchup Notes for Green Bay Packers vs. Philadelphia Eagles

The Eagles have run 16.7% offensive plays in the red zone this season — fourth-best in NFL. Packers has allowed their opponent to run 18.1% of plays in the red zone this season — worst in NFL.

The Eagles ran 57.6% offensive plays in on their opponent’s side of the field last week — fourth-best in NFL. Packers allowed their opponents to run60.7% of plays in their territory in Week 10 — third-worst in NFL.

The Eagles have 9 touchdown passes since Week 7 — tied for most in NFL. The Packers have allowed 10 passing TDs since Week 7 — most in NFL.

The Packers are averaging 5.5 yards per carry on rushes to the left side of the field this season — tied for fifth-best in NFL. The Eagles have allowed 5.8 yards per carry when defending on rushes to the left this season — tied for third-worst in NFL.

The Packers have thrown for just 5.9 yards per attempt on first down this season — fourth-worst in NFL. The Eagles have allowed just 4.7 yards per dropback on first down this season — tied for best in NFL.

The Packers have thrown for just 6.5 yards per attempt on Early Downs this season — tied for fifth-worst in NFL. The Eagles have allowed just 5.2 yards per dropback on early downs this season — tied for best in NFL.

Green Bay Packers Offense: Important Stats for Week 12

The Packers ran successful plays on 54% of plays in the 3rd quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Packers were flagged 29 times on offense last season — fewest in NFL.

19 of the Packers offense’s 23 (83%) TDs have come through the air this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 59%.

The Packers ran successful plays on 57% of rush attempts in the 3rd quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

Philadelphia Eagles Offense: Important Stats for Week 12

The Eagles have run the ball on 48% of plays (62 carries/129 plays) on 3rd down this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 25%.

The Eagles have thrown the ball 36% of the time (157 Pass Attempts/441 plays) in the 4th quarter since the 2021 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 54%.

The Eagles have run the ball on 39% of plays (138 carries/350 plays) on 3rd down since the 2021 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 24%.

The Eagles have started 5 drives inside their own 10 yard line in the 4th quarter this season — tied for most in NFL.

Green Bay Packers Defense: Important Stats for Week 12

The Packers defense have forced three and outs on 32% of opponent drives this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 21%.

27% of the plays run against the Packers have been in the red zone in the 4th quarter this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 16%.

The Packers defense has allowed successful plays on 52% of rush attempts in the 2nd half since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Packers defense allowed first downs on 31% of rush attempts last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 26%.

Philadelphia Eagles Defense: Important Stats for Week 12

Offenses facing the Eagles targeted WRs 49% of the time (287 Pass Attempts/589 plays) last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 57%.

The Eagles defense has allowed a passer rating of just 22.8 on 3rd and long (41 Pass Attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 81.3.

The Eagles defense has allowed a passer rating of just 69.9 (352 Pass Attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 90.1.

The Eagles defense has averaged a turnover percentage of 15% (12 / 81) on plays when they have pressured the QB this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 5%.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.