- The Packers are -1.5 point favorites vs the Falcons
- Total (Over/Under): 40.5 points
- Watch the game on FOX
The Green Bay Packers (1-0) visit Mercedes-Benz Stadium to take on the Atlanta Falcons (1-0) on Sep. 17. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Atlanta.
The Falcons are betting favorites in this Week 2 matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-115).
The Packers vs. Falcons Over/Under is 40 total points for the game.
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Packers vs. Falcons Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Packers | +1.5 -105 | 40 -110 | +110 |
| Falcons | -1.5 -115 | 40 -110 | -130 |
Packers vs. Falcons Prediction
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Falcons will win this Week 2 game with 55.0% confidence.
Packers vs Falcons Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Falcons will cover the spread with 67.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Packers and Falcons, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Packers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Packers players this Week 2 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Christian Watson has hit the Longest Reception Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.55 Units / 48% ROI)
- Romeo Doubs has hit the Receptions Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.95 Units / 44% ROI)
- Aaron Jones has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.70 Units / 56% ROI)
- A.J. Dillon has hit the Longest Reception Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.35 Units / 41% ROI)
- A.J. Dillon has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 87% ROI)
Best Falcons Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Falcons players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Tyler Allgeier has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.55 Units / 57% ROI)
- Drake London has hit the Longest Reception Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.55 Units / 51% ROI)
- Cordarrelle Patterson has hit the Receptions Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 63% ROI)
- Cordarrelle Patterson has hit the Carries Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.75 Units / 48% ROI)
- Kyle Pitts has hit the Receptions Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+4.45 Units / 31% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Falcons vs Packers
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Bijan Robinson | +650 |
| Aaron Jones | +700 |
| AJ Dillon | +700 |
| Christian Watson | +800 |
| Romeo Doubs | +800 |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Falcons vs Packers
| Player Name | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Bijan Robinson | -110 |
| Aaron Jones | +110 |
| AJ Dillon | +110 |
| Christian Watson | +130 |
| Romeo Doubs | +140 |
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Falcons vs Packers
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Bijan Robinson | 17.5 -120 | 17.5 -110 |
| Mack Hollins | 26.5 -115 | 26.5 -115 |
| Kyle Pitts | 35.5 -110 | 35.5 -120 |
| Romeo Doubs | 38.5 -115 | 38.5 -115 |
| Jayden Reed | 40.5 -110 | 40.5 -120 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Falcons vs Packers
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Desmond Ridder | 11.5 -120 | 11.5 -110 |
| Jordan Love | 13.5 -115 | 13.5 -115 |
| Bijan Robinson | 55.5 -110 | 55.5 -120 |
Packers Best Bets:
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have covered the 1Q Spread in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.65 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 away games (+4.60 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have scored last in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.95 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have covered the 4Q Spread in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.45 Units / 35% ROI)
Falcons Best Bets:
- The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 2H Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+12.45 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have scored last in 13 of their last 17 games (+9.20 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have covered the 4Q Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.80 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have covered the 2H Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.40 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.10 Units / 31% ROI)
Packers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Packers went 1-0 (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Packers are 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.05 Units / 105% ROI
- Packers are 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Packers are 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / ROI
Falcons Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Falcons went 1-0 (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Falcons are 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 55.56% ROI
- Falcons are 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
- Falcons are 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
Green Bay Packers: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Falcons
The Packers are undefeated (9-0) when allowing less than 10 rushes of four or more yards since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .675.
The Packers were 5-1 (.833) when forcing at least one fumble in the 2022 season — tied for 5th-best in NFL; League Avg: .600.
The Packers were 2-6 (.250) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter in the 2022 season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .497.
The Packers are winless (0-3) after a home loss since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .456.
Atlanta Falcons: Keys to the Game vs. the Green Bay Packers
The Falcons are winless (0-5) when making less than 3 explosive runs in a game since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .434.
The Falcons were winless (0-5) when making less than 3 explosive runs in a game in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .429.
The Falcons are 1-7 (.125) on the road since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .441.
The Falcons were 4-9 (.308) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities in the 2022 season — 6th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .415.
Additional Matchup Notes for Green Bay Packers vs. Atlanta Falcons
The Falcons have run 16.6% offensive plays in the red zone since the 2022 season — third-best in NFL. Packers has allowed their opponent to run 15.9% of plays in the red zone since the 2022 season — fourth-worst in NFL.
The Falcons have run successful plays on 47.9% of rush attempts since the 2022 season — fifth-best in NFL. Packers have allowed successful plays on 47.5% of rush attempts since the 2022 season — fifth-worst in NFL.
The Falcons have rushed the ball on 54.2% of plays from scrimmage since the 2022 season — highest in NFL. The Packers have allowed 5.1 yards per carry since the 2022 season — tied for fifth-worst in NFL.
The Packers have allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 18.3% of pass attempts since the 2022 season — third-best in NFL. The Falcons have pressured opposing QBs on just 14.9% of passing plays since the 2022 season — worst in NFL.
The Packers have run successful plays on 34.2% of pass attempts when their QB was under pressure since the 2022 season — fifth-best in NFL. The Falcons have pressured opposing QBs on just 14.9% of passing plays since the 2022 season — worst in NFL.
Green Bay Packers Offense: Important Stats
The Packers started 4 drives inside opposing territory in Week 1 — tied for most in NFL.
The Packers have been flagged 64 times on offense since the 2021 season — fewest in NFL.
The Packers went three and out on 5% of their drives in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL; League Avg: 22%.
The Packers went three and out on 16% of their drives in the 2022 season — tied for 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: 21%.
Atlanta Falcons Offense: Important Stats
The Falcons threw the ball 31% of the time (139 Pass Attempts/450 plays) on 1st down in the 2022 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
The Falcons targeted RBs 50% of the time (9 Pass Attempts/18 plays) in Week 1 — highest in NFL; League Avg: 19%.
The Falcons ran the ball on 54% of plays (549 carries/1,011 plays) in the 2022 season — 2nd-highest in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
The Falcons have thrown the ball 41% of the time (433 Pass Attempts/1,059 plays) since the 2022 season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 53%.
Green Bay Packers Defense: Important Stats
The Packers defense has allowed successful plays on 52% of rush attempts in the 2nd half since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Packers defense has allowed successful plays on 54% of rush attempts in the 3rd quarter since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
The Packers defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 29% on 3rd and short in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL; League Avg: 62%.
The Packers defense has allowed successful plays on 49% of rush attempts in the 4th quarter since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
Atlanta Falcons Defense: Important Stats
The Falcons defense has pressured opposing QBs on 16% of pass attempts since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 24%.
The Falcons defense hurried opposing QBs on 6% of pass attempts in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 14%.
The Falcons defense has sacked opposing QBs on just 3% of pass attempts (41/1,215) since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 6%.
The Falcons defense allowed successful plays on 17% of pass attempts in the 4th quarter in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL; League Avg: 41%.
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