Packers vs Steelers Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 8

BetMGM Betting Oct 26, 2025, 10:20 AM

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Pittsburgh Steelers fans wave their Terrible Towels during the first half of an NFL football game between the Pittsburgh Steelers and the Baltimore Ravens, Sunday, Nov. 17, 2024, in Pittsburgh. (AP Photo/Gene J. Puskar)

(AP Photo/Gene J. Puskar)

The Packers are -3 point favorites vs the Steelers
Total (Over/Under): 45.5 points
Watch this game on NBC | PEAC | NBCU

The Green Bay Packers (4-1-1) visit Acrisure Stadium to take on the Pittsburgh Steelers (4-2-0) on Oct. 26. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:20pm EDT in Pittsburgh, PA.

The Packers are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -3 (-115).

The Packers vs. Steelers Over/Under is 45.5 total points for the game.

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Packers vs. Steelers Odds, Spread, Over/Under

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Packers	-3 -115	45.5 -110	-170
Steelers	+3 -105	45.5 -110	140

Packers vs. Steelers Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Packers will win this game with 61.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Packers vs Steelers Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Packers will cover the spread with 60.7% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Packers players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Packers Player Prop Bets Today

Jordan Love has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.60 Units / 53% ROI)
Dontayvion Wicks has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.40 Units / 41% ROI)
Jordan Love has hit the TD Passes Under in 11 of his last 17 games (+5.75 Units / 28% ROI)
Jordan Love has hit the Completions Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.30 Units / 29% ROI)
Dontayvion Wicks has hit the Receptions Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.30 Units / 25% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Steelers players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Steelers Player Prop Best Bets Today

DK Metcalf has hit the Receptions Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.90 Units / 59% ROI)
Aaron Rodgers has hit the TD Passes Over in 10 of his last 16 games (+5.35 Units / 32% ROI)
Jaylen Warren has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.30 Units / 28% ROI)
Kenneth Gainwell has hit the Longest Rush Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 87% ROI)
Jonnu Smith has hit the Longest Reception Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.85 Units / 56% ROI)

Packers Best Bets:

The Green Bay Packers have hit the 1H Team Total Under in 9 of their last 10 away games (+8.15 Units / 75% ROI)
The Green Bay Packers have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.65 Units / 35% ROI)
The Green Bay Packers have covered the 4Q Spread in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.40 Units / 23% ROI)
The Green Bay Packers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+3.95 Units / 12% ROI)
The Green Bay Packers have hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 10 away games (+3.70 Units / 30% ROI)

Steelers Best Bets:

The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 1H Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+5.30 Units / 49% ROI)
The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.70 Units / 45% ROI)
The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 games (+4.47 Units / 20% ROI)
The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.90 Units / 42% ROI)
The Pittsburgh Steelers have covered the 3Q Spread in 11 of their last 17 games (+3.90 Units / 19% ROI)

Packers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Packers are 2-4 (-2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI).

Packers are 4-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.2 Units / -0.85% ROI
Packers are 3-3 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
Packers are 3-3 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / ROI

Steelers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Steelers are 3-3 (-0.3 Units / -4.62% ROI).

Steelers are 4-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.05 Units / -0.45% ROI
Steelers are 4-2 when betting the Over for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI
Steelers are 2-4 when betting the Under for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI

Green Bay Packers: Keys to the Game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers

The Steelers defense allowed an average of 5.5 yards after contact per carry (20 carries) in Week 7 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 1.8.

The Steelers defense has blitzed on 23% of plays on 1st down this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 10%.

The Steelers defense has blitzed on 20% of plays this season — 3rd-highest in NFL; League Avg: 14%.

The Steelers defense has allowed a passer rating of just 68.4 in the red zone (177 Pass Attempts) since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 94.6.

Pittsburgh Steelers: Keys to the Game vs. the Green Bay Packers

The Steelers have averaged 10.2 yards per play when their QB has scrambled this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 4.4.

The Steelers have targeted TEs 34% of the time (60 Pass Attempts/174 plays) this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 22%.

The Steelers have targeted WRs 36% of the time (62 Pass Attempts/174 plays) this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 56%.

The Steelers have targeted TEs 50% of the time (12 Pass Attempts/24 plays) in the red zone this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 26%.

Additional Matchup Notes for Green Bay Packers vs. Pittsburgh Steelers