Packers vs Vikings Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 18

BetMGM Betting Dec 31, 2025, 4:08 PM

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Fans cheer during the Skol chant before an NFL football game between the Minnesota Vikings and Atlanta Falcons, Sunday, Dec. 8, 2024 in Minneapolis. Minnesota won 42-21. (AP Photo/Stacy Bengs)

(AP Photo/Stacy Bengs)

The Vikings are -7.5 point favorites vs the Packers
Total (Over/Under): 36.5 points
Watch this game on CBS

The Green Bay Packers (9-6-1) visit U.S. Bank Stadium to take on the Minnesota Vikings (8-8-0) on Jan. 4. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Minneapolis, MN.

The Vikings are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-105).

The Packers vs. Vikings Over/Under is 36.5 total points for the game.

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Packers vs. Vikings Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Packers vs. Vikings Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Vikings will win this game with 70.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Packers vs Vikings Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Packers will cover the spread with 50.8% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Packers players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Packers Player Prop Bets Today

Emanuel Wilson has hit the Longest Rush Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.60 Units / 44% ROI)
Dontayvion Wicks has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.90 Units / 66% ROI)
Josh Jacobs has hit the Longest Reception Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.80 Units / 51% ROI)
Dontayvion Wicks has hit the Receptions Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.25 Units / 25% ROI)
Jordan Love has hit the Completions Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.15 Units / 28% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Vikings players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Vikings Player Prop Best Bets Today

Justin Jefferson has hit the Receptions Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+8.15 Units / 38% ROI)
Justin Jefferson has hit the Longest Reception Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.90 Units / 70% ROI)
Justin Jefferson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+7.30 Units / 36% ROI)
J.J. McCarthy has hit the Completions Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.85 Units / 66% ROI)
T.J. Hockenson has hit the Longest Reception Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.30 Units / 36% ROI)

Packers Best Bets:

The Green Bay Packers have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.35 Units / 37% ROI)
The Green Bay Packers have hit the 1H Team Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games (+5.85 Units / 24% ROI)
The Green Bay Packers have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.80 Units / 59% ROI)
The Green Bay Packers have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 away games (+3.70 Units / 34% ROI)
The Green Bay Packers have hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 10 away games (+3.70 Units / 32% ROI)

Vikings Best Bets:

The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 1H Team Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.90 Units / 33% ROI)
The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 2H Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.99 Units / 70% ROI)
The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.70 Units / 67% ROI)
The Minnesota Vikings have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.10 Units / 57% ROI)
The Minnesota Vikings have covered the 2H Spread in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.00 Units / 60% ROI)

Packers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Packers are 6-10 (-5 Units / -28.09% ROI).

Packers are 9-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.4 Units / -15.31% ROI
Packers are 9-7 when betting the Over for +1.3 Units / 7.39% ROI
Packers are 7-9 when betting the Under for -2.9 Units / ROI

Vikings Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Vikings are 8-8 (-0.8 Units / -4.55% ROI).

Vikings are 8-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.2 Units / 21.16% ROI
Vikings are 8-8 when betting the Over for -0.8 Units / -4.55% ROI
Vikings are 8-8 when betting the Under for -0.8 Units / -4.55% ROI

Green Bay Packers: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Vikings

The Vikings defense forced 6 turnovers in Week 17 — most in NFL.

The Vikings defense has allowed a passer rating of just 29.8 on motion plays (45 Pass Attempts) since Week 14 — best in NFL; League Avg: 95.7.

Opponents have run the ball 57.4 times per game against The Vikings defense (919 carries / 16 games) this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 44.8.

The Vikings defense has allowed successful plays on 31% of pass attempts first read passes since Week 14 — best in NFL; League Avg: 52%.

Minnesota Vikings: Keys to the Game vs. the Green Bay Packers

The Vikings started 4 drives inside opposing territory in Week 17 — T-most in NFL.

The Vikings have run 36% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 1st half this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

The Vikings allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 62% of pass attempts in Week 17 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 27%.

Vikings QBs have been sacked 121 times this season — most in NFL.

Additional Matchup Notes for Green Bay Packers vs. Minnesota Vikings