- The Falcons are -3.5 point favorites vs the Panthers
- Total (Over/Under): 39.5 points
- Watch the game on FOX
The Carolina Panthers (0-0) visit Mercedes-Benz Stadium to take on the Atlanta Falcons (0-0) on Sep. 10. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Atlanta.
The Falcons are betting favorites in this Week 1 matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).
The Panthers vs. Falcons Over/Under is 39.5 total points for the game.
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Panthers vs. Falcons Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Panthers | +3.5 -110 | 39.5 -110 | +150 |
| Falcons | -3.5 -110 | 39.5 -110 | -185 |
Panthers vs. Falcons Prediction
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Falcons will win this Week 1 game with 67.5% confidence.
Panthers vs Falcons Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Falcons will cover the spread with 59.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Panthers and Falcons, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Panthers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Panthers players this Week 1 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ian Thomas has hit the Longest Reception Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 78% ROI)
- Terrace Marshall Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+3.70 Units / 33% ROI)
- Terrace Marshall Jr. has hit the Longest Reception Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+3.55 Units / 31% ROI)
- Ian Thomas has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 90% ROI)
- Tommy Tremble has hit the Longest Reception Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 80% ROI)
Best Falcons Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Falcons players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Tyler Allgeier has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.55 Units / 57% ROI)
- Drake London has hit the Longest Reception Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.55 Units / 51% ROI)
- Cordarrelle Patterson has hit the Receptions Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 63% ROI)
- Cordarrelle Patterson has hit the Carries Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.75 Units / 48% ROI)
- Kyle Pitts has hit the Receptions Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+4.45 Units / 31% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Falcons vs Panthers
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Bijan Robinson | +550 |
| Miles Sanders | +750 |
| Tyler Allgeier | +900 |
| Drake London | +1000 |
| Kyle Pitts | +1200 |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Falcons vs Panthers
| Player Name | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Bijan Robinson | -125 |
| Miles Sanders | +105 |
| Tyler Allgeier | +160 |
| Drake London | +175 |
| Kyle Pitts | +230 |
Panthers Best Bets:
- The Carolina Panthers have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.65 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Carolina Panthers have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.40 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Carolina Panthers have covered the 3Q Spread in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.40 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Carolina Panthers have covered the 2H Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.65 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Carolina Panthers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in their last 4 away games (+4.05 Units / 87% ROI)
Falcons Best Bets:
- The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 2H Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games (+11.45 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 12 games (+9.80 Units / 71% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have scored last in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.20 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have covered the 4Q Spread in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.80 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have covered the 3Q Spread in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+5.40 Units / 67% ROI)
Panthers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Panthers went 1-2 (-1.15 Units / -35.94% ROI).
- Panthers are 0-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.6 Units / -100% ROI
- Panthers are 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Panthers are 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / ROI
Falcons Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Falcons went 1-2 (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).
- Falcons are 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.25 Units / 5.68% ROI
- Falcons are 0-3 when betting the Over for -3.3 Units / -100% ROI
- Falcons are 3-0 when betting the Under for +3 Units / 90.91% ROI
Carolina Panthers: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Falcons
The Panthers are winless (0-4) after a loss as favorites since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .630.
The Panthers were winless (0-4) after a home win in the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .496.
The Panthers are 1-9 (.100) vs top 10 run offenses since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .445.
The Panthers are winless (0-4) after a road win since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .550.
Atlanta Falcons: Keys to the Game vs. the Carolina Panthers
The Falcons are 2-10 (.167) after a win since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .530.
The Falcons are 1-5 (.167) after a home win since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .512.
The Falcons were 1-8 (.111) when scoring less than 22 points in the 2022 season — 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .273.
The Falcons were 5-3 (.625) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter in the 2022 season — tied for 9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .497.
Additional Matchup Notes for Carolina Panthers vs. Atlanta Falcons
The Falcons scored on 41% of their drives in the second half last season — fourth-best in NFL. The Panthers defense allowed scores on 40.2% of opponent drives in the second half last season — third-worst in NFL.
The Falcons ran 20.1% offensive plays in the red zone in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — fourth-best in NFL. Panthers allowed their opponent to run 17.8% of plays in the red zone in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — fifth-worst in NFL.
The Falcons scored on 40.4% of their drives in the fourth quarter last season — fourth-best in NFL. The Panthers defense allowed scores on 43.5% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter last season — worst in NFL.
The Panthers had a third down conversion rate of just 21.6% against the blitz last season — worst in NFL. The Falcons defense allowed a third down conversion rate of just 31.0% when blitzing last season — tied for fifth-best in NFL.
Carolina Panthers Offense: Important Stats
The Panthers ran 5% of their plays in the red zone in the 1st quarter in the 2022 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 12%.
The Panthers ran successful plays on 36% of pass attempts in the 1st half in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
The Panthers have run successful plays on 35% of pass attempts in the 3rd quarter since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
The Panthers went three and out 5 times in the 2nd quarter in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — tied for 2nd-most in NFL.
Atlanta Falcons Offense: Important Stats
The Falcons threw the ball 41% of the time (415 Pass Attempts/1,011 plays) in the 2022 season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 53%.
The Falcons went three and out on 4% of their drives in the 4th quarter in the 2022 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 17%.
The Falcons threw the ball 31% of the time (139 Pass Attempts/450 plays) on 1st down in the 2022 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
The Falcons ran the ball on 54% of plays (549 carries/1,011 plays) in the 2022 season — 2nd-highest in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
Carolina Panthers Defense: Important Stats
The Panthers defense has allowed scores on 16% of opponent drives in the 1st quarter since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 28%.
The Panthers defense allowed scores on 15% of opponent drives in the 1st quarter in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 29%.
The Panthers defense had no interceptions and 7 TD passes allowed in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: 1.5.
The Panthers defense allowed 4.4 yards after the catch (1,677 RAC / 383 receptions) in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 5.1.
Atlanta Falcons Defense: Important Stats
The Falcons defense averaged a sack every 27.7 pass attempts (582 Pass Attempts/21 Sacks) in the 2022 season — worst attempts per sack rate in NFL; League Avg: 14.9.
The Falcons defense allowed successful plays on 54% of plays in the 1st half in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Falcons defense has pressured opposing QBs on 16% of pass attempts since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 24%.
The Falcons defense hurried opposing QBs on 6% of pass attempts in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 14%.
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