Panthers vs Falcons Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 8

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Marcus Mariota QB Atlanta Falcons
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 30, 2022, 10:05 AM
  • The are point favorites vs the
  • Total (Over/Under): points
  • Watch the game on FOX

The visit Mercedes-Benz Stadium to take on the on Oct. 30. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Atlanta.

The are betting favorites in Week 8, with the spread sitting at ().

The Panthers vs. Falcons Over/Under is 41 total points for the game.

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vs. Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 8

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Panthers+4 -11041 -110+165
Falcons -4 -11041 -110-200

vs. Prediction for Week 8

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Falcons will win this Week 8 game with 69.0% confidence.

vs Spread Prediction for Week 8

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Falcons will cover the spread this Week 8 with 55.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Panthers and Falcons, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Panthers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for players for Week 8, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ian Thomas has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.45 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Laviska Shenault Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.20 Units / 34% ROI)
  • D.J. Moore has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.00 Units / 25% ROI)
  • D.J. Moore has hit the Receptions Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+4.60 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Baker Mayfield has hit the Completions Under in 5 of his last 6 away games (+3.70 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Best Falcons Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some top NFL player prop bets for players for Week 8, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Cordarrelle Patterson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.25 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Kyle Pitts has hit the Receptions Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.45 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Cordarrelle Patterson has hit the Receptions Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.15 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Marcus Mariota has hit the Pass Attempts Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 76% ROI)
  • Anthony Firkser has hit the Receptions Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 71% ROI)
  • First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Falcons vs Panthers

    Player Name 1st TD Odds
    D'Onta Foreman +650
    Tyler Allgeier +800
    DJ Moore +800
    Chuba Hubbard
    Drake London +1000

    Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Falcons vs Panthers

    Player Name Anytime TD Odds
    D'Onta Foreman -105
    Tyler Allgeier +125
    DJ Moore +130
    Kyle Pitts +150
    Chuba Hubbard

    Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Falcons vs Panthers

    Player Name Over Under
    DJ Moore 60.5 -115 60.5 -115
    D'Onta Foreman 11.5 -110 11.5 -120
    Terrace Marshall Jr. 27.5 -115 27.5 -115
    Drake London 40.5 -110 40.5 -120
    Olamide Zaccheaus 32.5 -115 32.5 -115

    Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Falcons vs Panthers

    Player Name Over Under
    Marcus Mariota 33.5 -115 33.5 -115
    Caleb Huntley 39.5 -115 39.5 -115
    D'Onta Foreman 67.5 -115 67.5 -115
    P.J. Walker 3.5 -115 3.5 -115
  • The Carolina Panthers have scored first in 11 of their last 16 games (+9.20 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The Carolina Panthers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+7.10 Units / 66% ROI)
  • The Carolina Panthers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+6.85 Units / 132% ROI)
  • The Carolina Panthers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 7 away games (+5.45 Units / 76% ROI)
  • The Carolina Panthers have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.20 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Falcons have covered the 4Q Spread in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.90 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 2H Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+7.15 Units / 108% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.75 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+6.00 Units / 69% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Panthers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this NFL season, the have gone 2-5 (-3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI).

    • are 2-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.8 Units / 10.6% ROI
    • are 2-5 when betting the Over for -3.55 Units / -45.81% ROI
    • are 5-2 when betting the Under for +2.8 Units / ROI

    Falcons Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this NFL season, the have gone 6-1 (+4.95 Units / 64.71% ROI).

    • are 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.35 Units / -4.96% ROI
    • are 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
    • are 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI

    Carolina Panthers: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Falcons

    The Panthers are 1-9 (.100) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .494.

    The Panthers are 2-10 (.167) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2021 season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .431.

    The Panthers are 2-8 (.200) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .450.

    The Panthers are winless (0-10) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .194.

    Atlanta Falcons: Keys to the Game vs. the Carolina Panthers

    The Falcons are winless (0-4) when sacking the QB 3 or more times since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .634.

    The Falcons are 2-7 (.222) when sacking the QB 3 or more times since the 2020 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .659.

    The Falcons are 1-4 (.200) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season — tied for 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .421.

    The Falcons are 3-2 (.600) when sacking the QB less than 3 times this season — tied for 7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .411.

    Additional Matchup Notes for Carolina Panthers vs. Atlanta Falcons

    The Falcons have thrown for 5,167 passing yards in 24 games (just 215.3 YPG) since the 2021 season — fifth-worst in NFL. The Panthers have allowed just 202.9 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — fifth-best in NFL.

    The Falcons have run successful plays on 47.8% of pass attempts when their QB was under pressure this season — best in NFL. The Panthers have pressured opposing QBs on just 18.2% of passing plays this season — fifth-worst in NFL.

    The Falcons have averaged just 322 yards from scrimmage per game (7,715 YFS / 24 G) since the 2021 season — fourth-worst in NFL. The Panthers have allowed an average of just 333.9 yards from scrimmage per game (8,014/24) since the 2021 season — fifth-best in NFL.

    The Panthers have rushed the ball on 53.5% of plays from scrimmage in the red zone since the 2021 season — fifth-highest in NFL. The Falcons have allowed 25 rushing touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2021 season — fifth-most in NFL.

    Panthers RBs have gained 378 yards after catch this season — second-most in NFL. The Falcons have allowed 922 yards after catch this season — fifth-most in NFL.

    Offense: Important Stats for Week 8

    The Panthers have run successful plays on 30% of plays in the 2nd half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

    The Panthers have a third down conversion rate of 25% this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 39%.

    The Panthers have run successful plays on 35% of pass attempts this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

    The Panthers have run successful plays on 26% of plays in the 3rd quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

    Offense: Important Stats for Week 8

    The Falcons have run successful plays on 59% of pass attempts in the 2nd half this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

    The Falcons have run successful plays on 64% of pass attempts in the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

    The Falcons have thrown 61% of their pass attempts 1 to 10 yards downfield this season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 71%.

    The Falcons have thrown the ball 27% of the time (48 Pass Attempts/180 plays) on 1st down this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

    Defense: Important Stats for Week 8

    The Panthers defense sacked opposing QBs just once on 66 pass attempts in the red zone last season — worst attempts per sack rate in NFL; League Avg: 17.3.

    The Panthers defense allowed successful plays on 32% of plays in the 1st quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

    The Panthers defense allowed successful plays on 32% of pass attempts in the 1st quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

    The Panthers defense has allowed scores on 17% of opponent drives in the 1st quarter since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 28%.

    Defense: Important Stats for Week 8

    The Falcons defense has allowed successful plays on 54% of plays this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

    21% of the plays run against the Falcons have been in the red zone in the 1st quarter since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 13%.

    The Falcons defense averaged a sack every 32.9 pass attempts (593 Pass Attempts/18 Sacks) last season — worst attempts per sack rate in NFL; League Avg: 16.1.

    The Falcons defense has averaged a sack every 30.6 pass attempts (888 Pass Attempts/29 Sacks) since the 2021 season — worst attempts per sack rate in NFL; League Avg: 16.0.

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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.