Panthers vs Packers Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 9

BetMGM Betting Oct 28, 2025, 9:20 PM

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(AP Photo/Tyler Kaufman)

The Packers are -13 point favorites vs the Panthers
Total (Over/Under): 44.5 points
Watch this game on FOX

The Carolina Panthers (4-4-0) visit Lambeau Field to take on the Green Bay Packers (5-1-1) on Nov. 2. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Green Bay, WI.

The Packers are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -13 (-110).

The Panthers vs. Packers Over/Under is 44.5 total points for the game.

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Panthers vs. Packers Odds, Spread, Over/Under

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Panthers	+13 -110	44.5 -110	600
Packers	-13 -110	44.5 -110	-900

Panthers vs. Packers Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Packers will win this game with 77.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Panthers vs Packers Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Packers will cover the spread with 50.2% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Panthers players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Panthers Player Prop Bets Today

Rico Dowdle has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+9.40 Units / 45% ROI)
Bryce Young has hit the Completions Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.90 Units / 52% ROI)
Bryce Young has hit the TD Passes Over in 10 of his last 16 games (+6.60 Units / 34% ROI)
Rico Dowdle has hit the Carries Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.20 Units / 35% ROI)
Bryce Young has hit the Passing Yards Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.25 Units / 28% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Packers players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Packers Player Prop Best Bets Today

Jordan Love has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.40 Units / 40% ROI)
Jordan Love has hit the Interceptions Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.70 Units / 33% ROI)
Dontayvion Wicks has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.40 Units / 37% ROI)
Brandon McManus has hit the Field Goals Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+4.95 Units / 63% ROI)
Jordan Love has hit the Carries Over in 10 of his last 16 games (+4.35 Units / 23% ROI)

Panthers Best Bets:

The Carolina Panthers have covered the 3Q Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.60 Units / 32% ROI)
The Carolina Panthers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.50 Units / 35% ROI)
The Carolina Panthers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 8 of their last 17 games (+5.58 Units / 32% ROI)
The Carolina Panthers have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.30 Units / 24% ROI)
The Carolina Panthers have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 17 games (+4.70 Units / 27% ROI)

Packers Best Bets:

The Green Bay Packers have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.60 Units / 35% ROI)
The Green Bay Packers have covered the 4Q Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.60 Units / 34% ROI)
The Green Bay Packers have hit the 1H Team Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.55 Units / 25% ROI)
The Green Bay Packers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+5.00 Units / 28% ROI)
The Green Bay Packers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games (+4.95 Units / 15% ROI)

Panthers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Panthers are 5-3 (+1.65 Units / 18.33% ROI).

Panthers are 4-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.25 Units / 15.43% ROI
Panthers are 5-3 when betting the Over for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI
Panthers are 3-5 when betting the Under for -2.5 Units / ROI

Packers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Packers are 3-4 (-1.4 Units / -17.95% ROI).

Packers are 5-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.8 Units / 3.18% ROI
Packers are 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
Packers are 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI

Carolina Panthers: Keys to the Game vs. the Green Bay Packers

The Packers defense has allowed just 8.7 yards per completion (1,603 yards/185 completions) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 10.7.

The Packers defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 10% on 3rd and long this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 24%.

The Packers defense has allowed a late down conversion rate of 1% when opponents had 7-10 yards to go this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 6%.

The Packers defense has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 13 of 274 attempts (5%) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 9%.

Green Bay Packers: Keys to the Game vs. the Carolina Panthers

The Panthers allowed a QB hit on 38% of pass attempts in Week 8 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 15%.

The Panthers have gone three and out on 14% of their drives this season — T-2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 21%.

The Panthers have averaged just 1.9 yards per play against tight coverage this season — T-4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: 3.3.

The Panthers have gone three and out on 6% of their drives in the 1st quarter this season — 4th-best in NFL; League Avg: 20%.

Additional Matchup Notes for Carolina Panthers vs. Green Bay Packers