Panthers vs Ravens Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 11

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 17, 2022, 1:45 PM
  • The Ravens (6-3) are -12 point favorites vs the Panthers (3-7)
  • Total (Over/Under): 43.5 points
  • Watch the game on FOX

The Carolina Panthers (3-8) visit M&T Bank Stadium to take on the Baltimore Ravens (7-3) on Nov. 20. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Baltimore.

The are betting favorites in Week 11, with the spread sitting at ().

The Panthers vs. Ravens Over/Under is total points for the game.

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Panthers vs. Ravens Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 11

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Panthers
Ravens

Panthers vs. Ravens Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Ravens will win this Week 11 game with 83.0% confidence.

Panthers vs Ravens Spread Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Panthers will cover the spread this Week 11 with 53.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Panthers and Ravens, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Panthers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Panthers players for Week 11, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ian Thomas has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.45 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Baker Mayfield has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+3.75 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Terrace Marshall Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.85 Units / 52% ROI)
  • P.J. Walker has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.85 Units / 42% ROI)
  • D.J. Moore has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 10 of his last 16 games (+2.85 Units / 14% ROI)

Best Ravens Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Ravens players for Week 11, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Mark Andrews has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.10 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Lamar Jackson has hit the Carries Over in his last 5 games at home (+5.05 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Mark Andrews has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 16 games (+4.10 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Kenyan Drake has hit the Receptions Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.45 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Lamar Jackson has hit the Completions Under in 8 of his last 12 games (+2.90 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Carolina Panthers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+11.10 Units / 77% ROI)
  • The Carolina Panthers have scored first in 9 of their last 13 games (+8.10 Units / 60% ROI)
  • The Carolina Panthers have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.85 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The Carolina Panthers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+6.00 Units / 73% ROI)
  • The Carolina Panthers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 92% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games (+9.30 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have scored first in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.50 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+6.45 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.40 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 1H Game Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 91% ROI)

Panthers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Panthers have gone 4-6 (-2.6 Units / -23.74% ROI).

  • Panthers are 3-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.05 Units / 0.47% ROI
  • Panthers are 4-6 when betting the Over for -2.65 Units / -23.98% ROI
  • Panthers are 6-4 when betting the Under for +1.6 Units / ROI

Ravens Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Ravens have gone 4-4 (-0.45 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • Ravens are 6-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.05 Units / 6.54% ROI
  • Ravens are 3-6 when betting the Over for -3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • Ravens are 6-3 when betting the Under for +2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI

Carolina Panthers: Keys to the Game vs. the Baltimore Ravens

The Panthers are 1-9 (.100) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .495.

The Panthers are 2-14 (.125) when making less than 7 explosive plays since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .404.

The Panthers are 1-16 (.059) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .381.

The Panthers are winless (0-3) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.

Baltimore Ravens: Keys to the Game vs. the Carolina Panthers

The Ravens are 5-2 (.714) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team this season — tied for 7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .495.

The Ravens are 5-1 (.833) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties this season — tied for 5th-best in NFL; League Avg: .520.

The Ravens are 5-2 (.714) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush this season — tied for 7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .521.

The Ravens are 4-1 (.800) on the road this season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .433.

Additional Matchup Notes for Carolina Panthers vs. Baltimore Ravens

The Ravens have scored on 47.8% of their drives in the second half this season — second-best in NFL. The Panthers defense has allowed scores on 44.8% of opponent drives in the second half this season — fifth-worst in NFL.

Ravens RBs have averaged 2.0 yards after contact per carry since Week 7 — tied for fourth-best in NFL. The Panthers have allowed 2.4 yards after contact per carry to RBs since Week 7 — worst in NFL.

Ravens RBs have averaged 2.0 yards after contact per carry since Week 7 — tied for fourth-best in NFL. The Panthers have allowed 2.6 yards after contact per carry since Week 7 — worst in NFL.

The Panthers have a third down conversion rate of just 28.3% this season — worst in NFL. The Ravens defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 34.3% this season — fifth-best in NFL.

The Panthers have scored on 50% of their drives in the fourth quarter this season — best in NFL. The Ravens defense has allowed scores on 55.6% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter this season — worst in NFL.

The Panthers have scored on 66.7% of their drives in the fourth quarter since Week 7 — best in NFL. The Ravens defense has allowed scores on 50% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter since Week 7 — tied for fourth-worst in NFL.

Carolina Panthers Offense: Important Stats for Week 11

The Panthers have run successful plays on 20% of pass attempts in the 1st quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Panthers have not recorded a TD in 24 drives in the 1st quarter this season — tied for worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 6.4.

The Panthers started 4 drives inside opposing territory in Week 10 — most in NFL.

The Panthers have run successful plays on 11% of pass attempts in the 1st quarter since Week 7 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

Baltimore Ravens Offense: Important Stats for Week 11

The Ravens have targeted WRs 41% of the time (106 Pass Attempts/257 plays) this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 57%.

The Ravens have thrown the ball 18% of the time (26 Pass Attempts/148 plays) on 3rd and short since the 2020 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

The Ravens have targeted TEs 41% of the time (104 Pass Attempts/257 plays) this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 20%.

The Ravens have targeted TEs 32% of the time (277 Pass Attempts/868 plays) since the 2021 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 20%.

Carolina Panthers Defense: Important Stats for Week 11

The Panthers defense allowed successful plays on 32% of plays in the 1st quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Panthers defense allowed successful plays on 32% of pass attempts in the 1st quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

Offenses facing the Panthers threw deep balls on 23% of pass attempts (7/30) in Week 10 — highest in NFL; League Avg: 10%.

The Panthers defense hurried opposing QBs on 23% of pass attempts in Week 10 — best in NFL; League Avg: 8%.

Baltimore Ravens Defense: Important Stats for Week 11

The Ravens defense has allowed successful plays on 56% of rush attempts in the 4th quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

25% of the plays run against the Ravens have been in the red zone in the 4th quarter since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 16%.

26% of the plays run against the Ravens have been in the red zone in the 2nd half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 14%.

34% of the plays run against the Ravens have been in the red zone in the 4th quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 16%.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.