- The Browns (2-3) are -2.5 point favorites vs the Patriots (2-3)
- Total (Over/Under): 43 points
- Watch the game on CBS
The New England Patriots (2-3) visit FirstEnergy Stadium to take on the Cleveland Browns (2-3) on Oct. 16. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Cleveland.
The Browns are betting favorites in Week 6, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).
The Patriots vs. Browns Over/Under is 43 total points for the game.
Bet now on Browns vs Patriots & all NFL games with BetMGM
Patriots vs. Browns Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 6
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Patriots | +2.5 -110 | 43 -110 | +120 |
| Browns | -2.5 -110 | 43 -110 | -145 |
Patriots vs. Browns Prediction for Week 6
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Browns will win this Week 6 game with 57.0% confidence.
Patriots vs Browns Spread Prediction for Week 6
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Patriots will cover the spread this Week 6 with 56.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Patriots and Browns, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Best Patriots Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Patriots players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Browns Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Browns players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Browns vs Patriots
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Nick Chubb | +400 |
| Rhamondre Stevenson | +450 |
| Kareem Hunt | +800 |
| Amari Cooper | +1000 |
| David Njoku | +1100 |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Browns vs Patriots
| Player Name | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Nick Chubb | -250 |
| Nelson Agholor | |
| Rhamondre Stevenson | -200 |
| Kareem Hunt | +110 |
| Amari Cooper | +160 |
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Browns vs Patriots
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Amari Cooper | 53.5 -115 | 53.5 -115 |
| Nick Chubb | 7.5 -110 | 7.5 -120 |
| Kareem Hunt | 15.5 -115 | 15.5 -115 |
| David Bell | 7.5 -120 | 7.5 -110 |
| Harrison Bryant | 13.5 -120 | 13.5 -110 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Browns vs Patriots
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Jacoby Brissett | 14.5 -115 | 14.5 -120 |
| Nick Chubb | 91.5 -115 | 91.5 -115 |
| Rhamondre Stevenson | 82.5 -115 | 82.5 -115 |
| Kareem Hunt | 43.5 -110 | 43.5 -120 |
Patriots Betting Trends: ATS, Moneyline, Over/Under
Browns Betting Trends: ATS, Moneyline, Over/Under
Patriots Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Patriots have gone 2-2 (-0.1 Units / -1.87% ROI).
- Patriots are 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -16.39% ROI
- Patriots are 2-3 when betting the Over for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI
- Patriots are 3-2 when betting the Under for +0.8 Units / ROI
Browns Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Browns have gone 2-3 (-1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI).
- Browns are 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.75 Units / -34.81% ROI
- Browns are 4-1 when betting the Over for +2.9 Units / 52.73% ROI
- Browns are 1-4 when betting the Under for -3.4 Units / -61.82% ROI
New England Patriots: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Browns
The Patriots are winless (0-4) when rushing for less than 100 yards since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .334.
The Patriots are undefeated (5-0) when not committing any turnovers since the 2021 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .740.
The Patriots are 1-3 (.250) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays this season — tied for 7th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .427.
The Patriots are winless (0-4) when rushing at least 4 yards less than 5 times in a game since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .319.
Cleveland Browns: Keys to the Game vs. the New England Patriots
The Browns are winless (0-6) when allowing 27 or more points since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .195.
The Browns are undefeated (6-0) when allowing less than 10 rushes of four or more yards since the 2021 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .676.
The Browns are 1-6 (.143) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2021 season — 7th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .330.
The Browns are 5-9 (.357) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter since the 2021 season — 7th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .494.
Additional Matchup Notes for New England Patriots vs. Cleveland Browns
The Browns ran 55.4% offensive plays in on their opponent’s side of the field last week — fifth-best in NFL. Patriots allowed their opponents to run57.1% of plays in their territory in Week 3 — tied for third-worst in NFL.
Browns WRs have just 110.9 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — second-worst in NFL. The Patriots have averaged just 132.7 receiving yards per game allowed to WRs since the 2021 season — second-best in NFL.
The Browns have thrown the ball just 48.6% of the time since the 2021 season — fifth-lowest in NFL. The Patriots have allowed just 6.0 yards per dropback since the 2021 season — tied for third-best in NFL.
Patriots RBs have averaged 125.8 rushing yards per game this season — fifth-best in NFL. The Browns have allowed an average of 139.6 rushing yards per game this season — fifth-worst in NFL.
The Patriots scored on 60% of their drives last week — third-best in NFL. The Browns defense allowed scores on 54.5% of opponent drives in Week 3 — fourth-worst in NFL.
The Patriots ran successful plays on 55.6% of pass attempts on their opponent’s side of the field last week — third-best in NFL. Browns allowed successful plays on 64.3% of pass attempts on their own side of the field in Week 3 — fourth-worst in NFL.
New England Patriots Offense: Important Stats for Week 6
The Patriots have targeted WRs 21% of the time (3 Pass Attempts/14 plays) in the red zone this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 53%.
The Patriots have targeted WRs 18% of the time (2 Pass Attempts/11 plays) in the red zone since Week 2 — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 54%.
The Patriots have started 41 drives inside their own 20 yard line since the 2021 season — 2nd-fewest in NFL.
The Patriots have thrown the ball 20% of the time (3 Pass Attempts/15 plays) on 3rd and short this season — tied for 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 48%.
Cleveland Browns Offense: Important Stats for Week 6
The Browns have rushed for 10 TDs this season — 2nd-most in NFL.
The Browns have faced a blitz just 8% of the time this season — tied for 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 14%.
The Browns have gone three and out 5 times in the 1st quarter since the 2021 season — fewest in NFL.
The Browns have gone three and out on 9% of their drives in the 1st quarter since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 21%.
New England Patriots Defense: Important Stats for Week 6
The Patriots defense allowed a passer rating of just 73.4 (539 Pass Attempts) last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 90.8.
The Patriots defense did not allow scores on any opponent drives in Week 5 — best in NFL; League Avg: 35%.
The Patriots defense has allowed 9 rushing TDs on 84 carries (9.3 Carries Per TD) in the red zone since the 2021 season — best Carries Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.2.
The Patriots defense allowed just 6.6 points per game to opposing offenses (112 points / 17 games) in the 2nd half last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 10.9.
Cleveland Browns Defense: Important Stats for Week 6
The Browns defense allowed successful plays on 41% of pass attempts last season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
The Browns defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 38% on 3rd and short this season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: 58%.
The Browns defense allowed successful plays on 38% of plays in the 4th quarter last season — 5th-best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Browns defense sacked opponents 10 times in the red zone last season — 2nd-most in NFL.
Looking to place a bet on this game with a First Bet Offer up to $1,000? Bet now on Browns vs Patriots and all NFL games with BetMGM
Bet on NFL Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NFL betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
