- The Patriots are -3 point favorites vs the Jets
- Total (Over/Under): 37 points
- Watch the game on CBS
The New England Patriots (0-2) visit MetLife Stadium to take on the New York Jets (1-1) on Sep. 24. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in East Rutherford.
The Patriots are betting favorites in this Week 3 matchup, with the spread sitting at -3 (-105).
The Patriots vs. Jets Over/Under is 37 total points for the game.
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Patriots vs. Jets Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Patriots | -3 -105 | 37 -110 | -150 |
| Jets | +3 -115 | 37 -110 | +125 |
Patriots vs. Jets Prediction
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Patriots will win this Week 3 game with 65.8% confidence.
Patriots vs Jets Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Patriots will cover the spread with 59.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Patriots and Jets, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Patriots Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Patriots players this Week 3 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Mac Jones has hit the Completions Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+8.15 Units / 62% ROI)
- Rhamondre Stevenson has hit the Carries Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- Mac Jones has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.75 Units / 57% ROI)
- DeVante Parker has hit the Receptions Under in his last 5 away games (+5.20 Units / 74% ROI)
- Rhamondre Stevenson has hit the Longest Reception Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 74% ROI)
Best Jets Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Jets players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Breece Hall has hit the Longest Rush Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 86% ROI)
- Corey Davis has hit the Receptions Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.90 Units / 37% ROI)
- Zach Wilson has hit the Completions Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.85 Units / 58% ROI)
- Breece Hall has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 6 games (+6.05 Units / 88% ROI)
- Garrett Wilson has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+5.90 Units / 48% ROI)
Patriots Best Bets:
- The New England Patriots have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in their last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 89% ROI)
- The New England Patriots have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 9 away games (+6.90 Units / 67% ROI)
- The New England Patriots have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.90 Units / 63% ROI)
- The New England Patriots have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.45 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New England Patriots have covered the 3Q Spread in 5 of their last 6 away games (+4.25 Units / 52% ROI)
Jets Best Bets:
- The New York Jets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.30 Units / 41% ROI)
- The New York Jets have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.50 Units / 33% ROI)
- The New York Jets have scored last in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.50 Units / 30% ROI)
- The New York Jets have covered the 2Q Spread in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.20 Units / 20% ROI)
- The New York Jets have covered the 1Q Spread in 13 of their last 21 games (+4.05 Units / 14% ROI)
Patriots Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Patriots went 0-2 (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI).
- Patriots are 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -100% ROI
- Patriots are 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Patriots are 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / ROI
Jets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Jets went 1-1 (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Jets are 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.2 Units / 10% ROI
- Jets are 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Jets are 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
New England Patriots: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Jets
The Patriots were winless (0-4) when committing 2 or more turnovers in the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .296.
The Patriots are 1-13 (.071) when trailing at the end of quarter 1 since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .344.
The Patriots are winless (0-7) when having a TO margin of -2 or worse since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .127.
The Patriots were 2-4 (.333) when within 7 points at the two minute warning in the 2022 season — tied for 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .492.
New York Jets: Keys to the Game vs. the New England Patriots
The Jets are 2-8 (.200) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2022 season — seventh-worst in NFL. The Patriots have intercepted 20 passes since the 2022 season — tied for fourth-most in NFL.
The Jets are 1-5 (.167) after a home win since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .515.
The Jets were 1-7 (.125) when allowing 3 or more sacks in the 2022 season — 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .373.
The Jets were 3-9 (.250) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush in the 2022 season — 7th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .469.
Additional Matchup Notes for New England Patriots vs. New York Jets
Jets RBs have averaged just 1.5 yards after contact per carry since the 2022 season — tied for second-worst in NFL. The Patriots have allowed just 1.2 yards after contact per carry to RBs since the 2022 season — best in NFL.
Jets WRs have been targeted 175 times since Week 13 of the 2022 Season — fifth-most in NFL. The Patriots have allowed an average of 26.5 fantasy points per game to WRs since Week 13 of the 2022 Season — third-worst in NFL.
The Jets are 2-8 (.200) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2022 season — seventh-worst in NFL. The Patriots have intercepted 20 passes since the 2022 season — tied for fourth-most in NFL.
The Patriots have run just 11.6% offensive plays in the red zone since the 2022 season — fourth-worst in NFL. Jets has allowed their opponent to run just 11.9% of plays in the red zone since the 2022 season — fourth-best in NFL.
The Patriots have scored 24 TDs in the red zone since the 2022 season — tied for third-fewest in NFL. The Jets have allowed 25 TDs when defending in the red zone since the 2022 season — fourth-fewest in NFL.
The Patriots have a third down conversion rate of just 32.1% in the second half since the 2022 season — fifth-worst in NFL. The Jets defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 29.7% in the second half since the 2022 season — best in NFL.
New England Patriots Offense: Important Stats
The Patriots ran successful plays on 29% of rush attempts in the red zone in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 48%.
The Patriots ran successful plays on 34% of plays in the 4th quarter in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 41%.
The Patriots have completed passes for 20+ yards on just 2 of their 95 total passing attempts (2%) this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 8%.
The Patriots have run successful plays on 64% of rush attempts in the 2nd half this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
New York Jets Offense: Important Stats
The Jets averaged 23.0 drives per TD in the 1st quarter in the 2022 season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 6.1.
The Jets have run successful plays on 29% of plays in the 1st quarter since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Jets ran successful plays on 28% of rush attempts in the 1st quarter in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
The Jets have faced a blitz 25% of the time on 3rd and short since the 2021 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 13%.
New England Patriots Defense: Important Stats
The Patriots defense allowed successful plays on 35% of pass attempts in the 4th quarter in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Patriots defense has allowed a passer rating of just 47.0 on 3rd and long (180 Pass Attempts) since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 80.2.
The Patriots defense has allowed successful plays on 35% of pass attempts in the 4th quarter since the 2022 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
Only 30% of the plays ran against the Patriots were in their own territory in close and late situations in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 48%.
New York Jets Defense: Important Stats
Only 6% of the plays ran against the Jets were in the red zone in the 4th quarter in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 15%.
The Jets defense has allowed 6.5 yards from scrimmage per touch (6,316 yards / 965 touches) since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 7.3.
The Jets defense has allowed 5.7 yards from scrimmage per touch (722 yards / 126 touches) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 6.9.
The Jets defense has allowed an average of 15.4 fantasy points per game as a unit to WRs since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 20.8.
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