Patriots vs Jets Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 8

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 30, 2022, 10:05 AM
  • The are point favorites vs the
  • Total (Over/Under): points
  • Watch the game on CBS

The visit MetLife Stadium to take on the on Oct. 30. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in East Rutherford.

The are betting favorites in Week 8, with the spread sitting at ().

The Patriots vs. Jets Over/Under is 40 total points for the game.

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vs. Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 8

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Patriots-3 -11040 -110-165
Jets +3 -11040 -110+135

vs. Prediction for Week 8

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Jets will win this Week 8 game with 54.0% confidence.

vs Spread Prediction for Week 8

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Jets will cover the spread this Week 8 with 60.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Patriots and Jets, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Patriots Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for players for Week 8, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Hunter Henry has hit the Receptions Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+6.35 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Damien Harris has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.60 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Jonnu Smith has hit the Receptions Under in his last 5 away games (+5.25 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Mac Jones has hit the Interceptions Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+4.95 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Rhamondre Stevenson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+4.75 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Best Jets Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some top NFL player prop bets for players for Week 8, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Zach Wilson has hit the Interceptions Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+9.55 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Zach Wilson has hit the Completions Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.65 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Breece Hall has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 6 games (+6.05 Units / 88% ROI)
  • C.J. Uzomah has hit the Receptions Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+5.35 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Zach Wilson has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+4.25 Units / 31% ROI)
  • First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Jets vs Patriots

    Player Name 1st TD Odds
    Rhamondre Stevenson +650
    Damien Harris +750
    Michael Carter +800
    James Robinson +1000
    DeVante Parker +1200

    Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Jets vs Patriots

    Player Name Anytime TD Odds
    Rhamondre Stevenson +100
    Damien Harris +115
    Michael Carter +120
    James Robinson +150
    Jakobi Meyers +210

    Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Jets vs Patriots

    Player Name Over Under
    Tyler Conklin 19.5 -120 19.5 -110
    Hunter Henry 25.5 -110 25.5 -120
    Jakobi Meyers 50.5 -115 50.5 -115
    Rhamondre Stevenson 18.5 -110 18.5 -120
    Braxton Berrios 15.5 -120 15.5 -110

    Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Jets vs Patriots

    Player Name Over Under
    Rhamondre Stevenson 64.5 -115 64.5 -120
    Mac Jones 10.5 -105 10.5 -125
    Zach Wilson 11.5 -120 11.5 -110
  • The New England Patriots have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 11 games (+8.95 Units / 73% ROI)
  • The New England Patriots have covered the 2Q Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.35 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The New England Patriots have covered the 4Q Spread in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.85 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The New England Patriots have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.25 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The New England Patriots have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.05 Units / 64% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have scored last in 13 of their last 18 games (+9.95 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+8.25 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+8.00 Units / 127% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+7.95 Units / 69% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have covered the 4Q Spread in their last 7 games (+7.05 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Patriots Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this NFL season, the have gone 3-3 (-0.2 Units / -2.68% ROI).

    • are 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.75 Units / -33.78% ROI
    • are 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
    • are 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / ROI

    Jets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this NFL season, the have gone 5-2 (+2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI).

    • are 5-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +7 Units / 95.89% ROI
    • are 3-4 when betting the Over for -1.45 Units / -18.71% ROI
    • are 4-3 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 9.15% ROI

    New England Patriots: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Jets

    The Patriots are winless (0-1) when not forcing a fumble this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .424.

    The Patriots are 8-1 (.889) when possessing the ball longer than their opponent since the 2021 season — third-best in NFL. The Jets has allowed an average time of possession of 33 min and 40 s since the 2021 season — third-highest in NFL.

    The Patriots are 13-5 (.722) when forcing 1 or more turnovers since the 2021 season — ninth-best in NFL. The Bears have turned the ball over 36 times since the 2021 season — tied for fourth-most in NFL.

    The Patriots are 8-2 (.800) when not throwing an interception since the 2021 season — eighth-best in NFL. The Bears have intercepted 13 passes since the 2021 season — tied for second-fewest in NFL.

    New York Jets: Keys to the Game vs. the New England Patriots

    The Jets were winless (0-3) vs top 10 offenses last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .376.

    The Jets are 4-2 (.667) when underdogs this season — tied for 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .383.

    The Jets are 3-2 (.600) when sacking the QB less than 3 times this season — tied for 7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .411.

    The Jets were 1-3 (.250) vs top 10 pass offenses last season — tied for 9th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .365.

    Additional Matchup Notes for New England Patriots vs. New York Jets

    Jets TEs have just 33.4 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — second-worst in NFL. The Patriots have allowed an average ofjust 31.3 receiving yards per game to TEs since the 2021 season — best in NFL.

    The Jets have an average drive start position from the 29.0 yard line this season — best in NFL. The Patriots have allowed an average drive start position from the 27.3 yard line this season — tied for fifth-worst in NFL.

    Jets RBs have gained 379 yards on 41 receptions (9.2 YPR) this season — tied for fourth-best in NFL. The Patriots have allowed 9.6 Yards Per Reception to RBs this season — second-worst in NFL.

    The Patriots have gone three and out on 13.4% of their drives this season — tied for third-best in NFL. Bears have forced three and outs on 14.5% of opponent drives this season — fourth-worst in NFL.

    The Patriots have run 51.0% offensive plays in on their opponent’s side of the field since the 2021 season — fourth-best in NFL. Jets have allowed their opponents to run 50.2% of plays in their territory since the 2021 season — fourth-worst in NFL.

    Patriots RBs have averaged 110.9 rushing yards per game since the 2021 season — fifth-best in NFL. The Bears have allowed an average of 135.7 rushing yards per game since the 2021 season — fifth-worst in NFL.

    Offense: Important Stats for Week 8

    The Patriots have started 43 drives inside their own 20 yard line since the 2021 season — 2nd-fewest in NFL.

    The Patriots have targeted WRs 24% of the time (5 Pass Attempts/21 plays) in the red zone this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 53%.

    The Patriots have run successful plays on 29% of plays in the red zone this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

    The Patriots have completed passes for 20+ yards on 25 of their 173 total passing attempts (14%) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 9%.

    Offense: Important Stats for Week 8

    The Jets have run 74% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 50%.

    The Jets have run 2% of their plays in the red zone in the 1st quarter this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 12%.

    The Jets have faced a blitz 27% of the time on 3rd and short since the 2021 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 16%.

    The Jets have run 32% of their plays in the red zone in the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 16%.

    Defense: Important Stats for Week 8

    The Patriots defense allowed 7 rushing TDs on 73 carries (10.4 Carries Per TD) in the red zone last season — best Carries Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.2.

    The Patriots defense allowed a passer rating of just 73.4 (539 Pass Attempts) last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 90.8.

    Offenses facing the Patriots have thrown deep balls on 17% of pass attempts (36/210) this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 11%.

    The Patriots defense allowed just 6.6 points per game to opposing offenses (112 points / 17 games) in the 2nd half last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 10.9.

    Defense: Important Stats for Week 8

    The Jets defense allowed 15.8 points per game to opposing offenses (268 points / 17 games) in the 1st half last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 10.9.

    The Jets defense allowed 29.6 points per game to opposing offenses (504 points / 17 games) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 22.0.

    The Jets defense allowed 28 rushing TDs last season — most in NFL.

    The Jets defense allowed 30.4 Points per Game (516/17) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 23.0.

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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.