- The Seahawks are -3.5 point favorites vs the Patriots
- Total (Over/Under): 44.5 points
- Watch this game on NBC | PEAC
The New England Patriots (0-0-0) visit Lumen Field to take on the Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0) on Sep. 9. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:20 pm in Seattle, WA.
The Seahawks are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).
The Patriots vs. Seahawks Over/Under is 44.5 total points for the game.
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Patriots vs. Seahawks Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Patriots | +3.5 -130 | 44.5 -108 | +150 |
| Seahawks | -3.5 -105 | 44.5 -110 | -185 |
Patriots vs. Seahawks Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Seahawks will win this game with 62.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Patriots vs Seahawks Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Seahawks will cover the spread with 61.2% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Patriots players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Patriots Player Prop Bets Today
- TreVeyon Henderson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.70 Units / 56% ROI)
- TreVeyon Henderson has hit the Longest Reception Under in 14 of his last 18 games (+9.60 Units / 48% ROI)
- Mack Hollins has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+9.30 Units / 71% ROI)
- TreVeyon Henderson has hit the Receptions Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+9.20 Units / 42% ROI)
- Drake Maye has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+8.55 Units / 44% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Seahawks players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Seahawks Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Elijah Arroyo has hit the Receptions Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.35 Units / 61% ROI)
- Rashid Shaheed has hit the Receptions Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.70 Units / 59% ROI)
- Jason Myers has hit the Field Goals Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+7.10 Units / 28% ROI)
- Emanuel Wilson has hit the Longest Rush Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.60 Units / 44% ROI)
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.10 Units / 34% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Seahawks vs Patriots
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Rhamondre Stevenson | +500 |
| Jadarian Price | +600 |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | +650 |
| George Holani | +825 |
| A.J. Brown | +875 |
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Seahawks vs Patriots
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Jadarian Price | 7.5 -115 | 7.5 -115 |
| Romeo Doubs | 37.5 -115 | 37.5 -115 |
| Demario Douglas | 18.5 -145 | 18.5 +105 |
| Cooper Kupp | 28.5 -115 | 28.5 -115 |
| Rashid Shaheed | 30.5 -115 | 30.5 -115 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Seahawks vs Patriots
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Sam Darnold | 5.5 -115 | 5.5 -115 |
| Jadarian Price | 53.5 -115 | 53.5 -115 |
| George Holani | 20.5 -120 | 20.5 -110 |
| Drake Maye | 27.5 -111 | 27.5 -118 |
| Rhamondre Stevenson | 55.5 -125 | 55.5 -105 |
Patriots Best Bets:
- The New England Patriots have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 22 games (+18.15 Units / 30% ROI)
- The New England Patriots have hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 22 games (+14.95 Units / 33% ROI)
- The New England Patriots have covered the 2Q Spread in 16 of their last 18 games (+13.70 Units / 64% ROI)
- The New England Patriots have covered the Spread in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.40 Units / 39% ROI)
- The New England Patriots have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.60 Units / 49% ROI)
Seahawks Best Bets:
- The Seattle Seahawks have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 21 games (+11.40 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 games (+10.14 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Seattle Seahawks have covered the Spread in 14 of their last 21 games (+7.40 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games (+7.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 2H Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games (+7.00 Units / 35% ROI)
New England Patriots: Keys to the Game vs. the Seattle Seahawks
The Patriots were 14-1 (.933) when scoring 22 or more points (5th-best in NFL) and 0-2 (.000) when scoring less than 22 points last season (T-lowest in NFL).
The Patriots were 11-2 (.846) when forcing 1 or more turnovers last season — T-4th-best in NFL. The Seahawks turned the ball over 27 times last season — 2nd-most in NFL.
The Patriots were 11-2 (.846) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .418.
The Patriots were 2-1 (.667) when rushing less than 25 times last season — T-2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .280.
Seattle Seahawks: Keys to the Game vs. the New England Patriots
The Seahawks were undefeated (3-0) vs top 10 pass defenses last season They play the Patriots in Week 4 (Ranks ninth in passing defense).
The Seahawks were 14-1 (.933) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .546.
The Seahawks were undefeated (9-0) when leading at the end of first quarter last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .698.
The Seahawks were 10-1 (.909) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .497.
Additional Matchup Notes for New England Patriots vs. Seattle Seahawks
Seahawks RBs averaged just 3.7 targets per game last season — 2nd-lowest in NFL. The Patriots allowed 4.8 receptions per game to RBs last season — T-5th-highest in NFL.
Seahawks RBs averaged 10.2 yards after the catch in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Patriots allowed 10.0 yards after catch per reception to RBs in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 4th-highest in NFL.
The Seahawks were successful on 51.6% of pass attempts against a base rush last season — 4th-best in NFL. The Patriots pressured opposing QBs on 20.3% of pass attempts with a base rush last season — 4th-lowest in NFL.
The Patriots threw the ball just 48.1% of the time last season — 5th-lowest in NFL. The Seahawks allowed just 5.5 yards per dropback last season — 2nd-best in NFL.
The Patriots were successful on 54.4% of pass attempts with motion in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 4th-best in NFL. The Seahawks pressured opposing QBs on 15.3% of pass attempts against motion in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 3rd-lowest in NFL.
The Patriots were successful on 52.9% of pass attempts when their QB was under pressure in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL. The Seahawks had pressured opposing QBs on just 18.9% of passing plays in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 5th-lowest in NFL.
New England Patriots Offense: Important Stats
The Patriots averaged 8.9 yards per pass attempt (4,459 yards/502 attempts) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 7.0.
The Patriots ran successful plays on 58% of pass attempts on motion plays last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
The Patriots averaged 6.9 yards per play in the 1st half last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 5.7.
The Patriots averaged 0.21 epa per play in the 1st half last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 0.02.
Seattle Seahawks Offense: Important Stats
The Seahawks averaged 11.1 yards per play against open coverage last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 9.1.
The Seahawks averaged 0.35 epa per play on play action passes last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 0.07.
The Seahawks went for it on fourth down just 11% of the time last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 23%.
The Seahawks averaged 6.4 yards per play on the road last season — 4th-best in NFL; League Avg: 5.6.
New England Patriots Defense: Important Stats
Only 10% of the plays ran against the Patriots were in the red zone in the 1st half last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 14%.
Only 10% of the plays ran against the Patriots were in the red zone last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 15%.
The Patriots defense allowed 0.24 epa per play open coverage last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 0.39.
The Patriots defense stuffed 12% (6/49) of rushing attempts in the red zone last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 23%.
Seattle Seahawks Defense: Important Stats
The Seahawks defense allowed successful plays on 31% of rush attempts in the 1st quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Seahawks defense allowed just 2.8 yards per play on contested throws last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 5.4.
The Seahawks defense allowed -0.68 epa per play with a heavy rush last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 0.05.
The Seahawks defense allowed 4 TDs that were 20+ yards last season — T-fewest in NFL.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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