Patriots vs Titans Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 7

BetMGM Betting Oct 15, 2025, 6:47 PM

min read

A stadium view of Tennessee Titans' Nissan Field as fans begin to arrive before an NFL football game against the ,Jacksonville Jaguars Sunday, Dec. 11, 2022, in Nashville, Tenn. (AP Photo/Peter Joneleit)

(AP Photo/Peter Joneleit)

The Patriots are -7 point favorites vs the Titans
Total (Over/Under): 42 points
Watch this game on CBS

The New England Patriots (4-2-0) visit Nissan Stadium to take on the Tennessee Titans (1-5-0) on Oct. 19. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Nashville, TN.

The Patriots are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -7 (-110).

The Patriots vs. Titans Over/Under is 42 total points for the game.

Bet now on Titans vs Patriots & all NFL games with BetMGM

Patriots vs. Titans Odds, Spread, Over/Under

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Patriots	-7 -110	42 -110	-325
Titans	+7 -110	42 -110	260

Patriots vs. Titans Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Patriots will win this game with 74.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Patriots vs Titans Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Titans will cover the spread with 56.3% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

Bet now on Titans vs Patriots and all NFL games with BetMGM

Get a New Player Offer

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Patriots players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Patriots Player Prop Bets Today

Austin Hooper has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+8.00 Units / 54% ROI)
Mack Hollins has hit the Receptions Over in his last 5 away games (+6.23 Units / 106% ROI)
Mack Hollins has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.35 Units / 33% ROI)
Drake Maye has hit the Passing Yards Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.20 Units / 28% ROI)
Rhamondre Stevenson has hit the Receptions Under in 7 of his last 9 away games (+4.80 Units / 45% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Titans players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Titans Player Prop Best Bets Today

Tyler Lockett has hit the Receptions Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+8.80 Units / 40% ROI)
Tyler Lockett has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+8.55 Units / 44% ROI)
Chigoziem Okonkwo has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.25 Units / 32% ROI)
Chigoziem Okonkwo has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 17 games (+5.65 Units / 30% ROI)
Tony Pollard has hit the Receptions Under in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+5.45 Units / 68% ROI)

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Titans vs Patriots

Player Name	Over	Under
Tony Pollard (TEN)	9.5 -115	9.5 -115
Chig Okonkwo (TEN)	39.5 -118	39.5 -110
Stefon Diggs (NE)	48.5 -115	48.5 -115
Elic Ayomanor (TEN)	39.5 -115	39.5 -115
Rhamondre Stevenson (NE)	14.5 -110	14.5 -118

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Titans vs Patriots

Player Name	Over	Under
Cam Ward (TEN)	7.5 -118	7.5 -115
Drake Maye (NE)	23.5 -110	23.5 -118
Tony Pollard (TEN)	43.5 -110	43.5 -118
Rhamondre Stevenson (NE)	43.5 -115	43.5 -115

Patriots Best Bets:

The New England Patriots have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 games (+9.25 Units / 49% ROI)
The New England Patriots have hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 games (+6.90 Units / 31% ROI)
The New England Patriots have covered the 4Q Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.50 Units / 31% ROI)
The New England Patriots have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.30 Units / 23% ROI)
The New England Patriots have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.95 Units / 50% ROI)

Titans Best Bets:

The Tennessee Titans have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.20 Units / 26% ROI)
The Tennessee Titans have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 21 games (+4.20 Units / 18% ROI)
The Tennessee Titans have hit the 1H Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.85 Units / 35% ROI)
The Tennessee Titans have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 18 games (+1.74 Units / 9% ROI)
The Tennessee Titans have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 18 games (+1.50 Units / 8% ROI)

Patriots Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Patriots are 4-2 (+1.8 Units / 27.48% ROI).

Patriots are 4-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.15 Units / 47.7% ROI
Patriots are 2-4 when betting the Over for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI
Patriots are 4-2 when betting the Under for +1.8 Units / ROI

Titans Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Titans are 2-4 (-2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI).

Titans are 1-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.6 Units / -26.67% ROI
Titans are 3-3 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
Titans are 3-3 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI

New England Patriots: Keys to the Game vs. the Tennessee Titans

The Titans have averaged -0.35 epa per play on motion plays this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.04.

The Titans have run successful plays on 30% of plays in the 1st quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

The Titans have averaged -0.22 epa per play in the 1st half this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.03.

The Titans have run none of their plays in the red zone in the 1st quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 13%.

Tennessee Titans: Keys to the Game vs. the New England Patriots

The Titans defense has allowed 10.5 yards from scrimmage per touch (263 yards / 25 touches) on 3rd and short this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 5.6.

The Titans defense has allowed 11 rushing TDs this season — most in NFL.

The Titans defense has allowed scores on 73% of opponent drives (8/11) in the 1st quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 36%.

The Titans defense allowed scores on 86% of opponent drives (6/7) in the 1st quarter in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 36%.

Additional Matchup Notes for New England Patriots vs. Tennessee Titans