- The Broncos are -3.5 point favorites vs the Raiders
- Total (Over/Under): 44 points
- Watch the game on CBS
The Las Vegas Raiders (0-0) visit Empower Field at Mile High to take on the Denver Broncos (0-0) on Sep. 10. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25pm EDT in Denver.
The Broncos are betting favorites in this Week 1 matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).
The Raiders vs. Broncos Over/Under is 44 total points for the game.
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Raiders vs. Broncos Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Raiders | +3.5 -110 | 44 -110 | +155 |
| Broncos | -3.5 -110 | 44 -110 | -190 |
Raiders vs. Broncos Prediction
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Broncos will win this Week 1 game with 57.0% confidence.
Raiders vs Broncos Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Raiders will cover the spread with 61.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Raiders and Broncos, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Raiders Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Raiders players this Week 1 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Josh Jacobs has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.00 Units / 30% ROI)
- Josh Jacobs has hit the Carries Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.65 Units / 47% ROI)
- Hunter Renfrow has hit the Longest Reception Under in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 75% ROI)
- Davante Adams has hit the Longest Reception Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.90 Units / 48% ROI)
- Hunter Renfrow has hit the Receptions Under in his last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 65% ROI)
Best Broncos Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Broncos players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Courtland Sutton has hit the Longest Reception Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 81% ROI)
- Jerry Jeudy has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.70 Units / 56% ROI)
- Russell Wilson has hit the TD Passes Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+7.70 Units / 32% ROI)
- Jerry Jeudy has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.00 Units / 68% ROI)
- Russell Wilson has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 41% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Broncos vs Raiders
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Javonte Williams | +500 |
| Courtland Sutton | +800 |
| Josh Jacobs | +800 |
| Davante Adams | +800 |
| Marvin Mims | +800 |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Broncos vs Raiders
| Player Name | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Javonte Williams | -115 |
| Josh Jacobs | -110 |
| Davante Adams | -110 |
| Courtland Sutton | +140 |
| Marvin Mims | +170 |
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Broncos vs Raiders
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Davante Adams | 70.5 -115 | 70.5 -115 |
| Meyers | 37.5 -115 | 37.5 -115 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Broncos vs Raiders
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Jacobs | 70.5 -115 | 70.5 -115 |
Raiders Best Bets:
- The Las Vegas Raiders have covered the 2Q Spread in 9 of their last 10 games (+8.05 Units / 72% ROI)
- The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+6.30 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.30 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 games (+4.95 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 56% ROI)
Broncos Best Bets:
- The Denver Broncos have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+8.90 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+4.30 Units / 62% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have covered the 3Q Spread in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.25 Units / 65% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have hit the 2H Game Total Over in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 90% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 84% ROI)
Raiders Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Raiders went 2-1 (+0.9 Units / 27.69% ROI).
- Raiders are 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.5 Units / 9.43% ROI
- Raiders are 3-0 when betting the Over for +3 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Raiders are 0-3 when betting the Under for -3.3 Units / ROI
Broncos Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Broncos went 1-2 (-1.15 Units / -35.38% ROI).
- Broncos are 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.1 Units / -48.44% ROI
- Broncos are 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Broncos are 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
Las Vegas Raiders: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Broncos
The Raiders were winless (0-7) when scoring less than 22 points in the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .273.
The Raiders were 1-5 (.167) when making less than 7 explosive plays in the 2022 season — tied for 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .401.
The Raiders were 2-9 (.182) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards in the 2022 season — 5th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .398.
The Raiders were 4-2 (.667) when averaging more than 5 yards per rush in the 2022 season — tied for 9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .552.
Denver Broncos: Keys to the Game vs. the Las Vegas Raiders
The Broncos were winless (0-8) on the road in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .430.
The Broncos were winless (0-8) when rushing less than 25 times in the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .315.
The Broncos are 1-9 (.100) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .344.
The Broncos were 4-9 (.308) when within 7 points at the two minute warning in the 2022 season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .492.
Additional Matchup Notes for Las Vegas Raiders vs. Denver Broncos
The Broncos averaged 5.3 yards per carry in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — fifth-best in NFL. The Raiders allowed 6.0 yards per carry in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — worst in NFL.
Broncos RBs averaged 7.8 targets per game last season — tied for fourth-highest in NFL. The Raiders allowed 5.8 receptions per game to RBs last season — fourth-worst in NFL.
The Broncos had 5 rushing touchdowns in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — tied for fourth-most in NFL. The Raiders allowed 6 rushing TDs in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — tied for third-most in NFL.
The Raiders scored on 62.5% of their drives in the first quarter in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL. The Broncos defense allowed scores on 41.7% of opponent drives in the first quarter in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — tied for fifth-worst in NFL.
The Raiders went three and out on 22.4% of their drives in the fourth quarter last season — fourth-worst in NFL. Broncos forced three and outs on 21.7% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter last season — fifth-best in NFL.
Raiders TEs had 79.2 receiving yards per game in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — fourth-best in NFL. The Broncos allowed an average of 82.0 receiving yards per game to TEs in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — third-worst in NFL.
Las Vegas Raiders Offense: Important Stats
The Raiders had 12 TDs that were 20+ yards in the last 8 weeks of the regular season — tied for most in NFL.
The Raiders scored on 62% of their drives in the 1st quarter in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL; League Avg: 28%.
The Raiders averaged 26.2 offensive penalty yards per game (446/17) in the 2022 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 19.3.
The Raiders started 9 drives inside their own 10 yard line in the 2022 season — tied for fewest in NFL.
Denver Broncos Offense: Important Stats
The Broncos ran 35% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 2nd half in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
The Broncos started 21 drives inside their own 20 yard line in the 1st quarter in the 2022 season — most in NFL.
The Broncos started 68 drives inside their own 20 yard line in the 2022 season — most in NFL.
The Broncos ran 35% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
Las Vegas Raiders Defense: Important Stats
The Raiders defense allowed 4.2 touchdowns per interception (25 TDs allowed, and 6 INT) in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 1.8.
The Raiders defense allowed first downs on 48% of rush attempts in the red zone in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 32%.
The Raiders defense intercepted 6 of 589 attempts (98.2 pass attempts per int.) in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43.2.
The Raiders defense averaged a sack every 66.5 pass attempts (133 Pass Attempts/2 Sacks) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — worst attempts per sack rate in NFL; League Avg: 14.6.
Denver Broncos Defense: Important Stats
The Broncos defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 10% on third and 10+ yards to go in the 2022 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 19%.
The Broncos defense has allowed a passer rating of just 72.7 when blitzing (311 Pass Attempts) since the 2021 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 91.7.
The Broncos defense did not record a sack (41 pass attempts) in the red zone in the last 8 weeks of the regular season — tied for worst attempts per sack rate in NFL; League Avg: 15.7.
Only 10% of the plays run against the Broncos have been in the red zone in the 1st half since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 14%.
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