Raiders vs Chargers Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 1

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 11, 2022, 8:15 AM
  • The Chargers (0-0) are -3.5 point favorites vs the Raiders (0-0)
  • Watch the game on CBS
  • Total (Over/Under): 52.5 points

The Las Vegas Raiders (0-0) visit SoFi Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Chargers (0-0) on Sep. 11. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25pm ET in Inglewood.

The Chargers are betting favorites in Week 1, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Raiders vs. Chargers Over/Under is 52.5 total points for the game.

Bet now on Chargers vs Raiders & all NFL games with BetMGM

Raiders vs. Chargers Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 1

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Las Vegas Raiders+3.5 -11052.5 -110+150
Los Angeles Chargers -3.5 -11052.5 -110-185

Raiders vs. Chargers Prediction for Week 1

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Raiders will win this Week 1 NFL matchup with 66.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Raiders and Chargers, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Raiders Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Raiders players for Week 1, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Josh Jacobs has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.55 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Derek Carr has hit the TD Passes Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.35 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Hunter Renfrow has hit the Receptions Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+6.90 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Derek Carr has hit the Completions Over in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Josh Jacobs has hit the Receptions Over in 9 of his last 14 games (+4.80 Units / 31% ROI)

Best Chargers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Chargers players for Week 1, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Justin Herbert has hit the TD Passes Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+5.45 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Keenan Allen has hit the Receptions Under in his last 5 games (+5.10 Units / 86% ROI)
  • Austin Ekeler has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 88% ROI)
  • Austin Ekeler has hit the Carries Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 81% ROI)
  • Austin Ekeler has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+4.50 Units / 27% ROI)

First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Chargers vs Raiders

Player Name 1st TD Odds
Austin Ekeler +450
Josh Jacobs +800
Davante Adams +800
Mike Williams +900
Keenan Allen +900

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Chargers vs Raiders

Player Name Anytime TD Odds
Austin Ekeler -225
Josh Jacobs -110
Davante Adams -110
Mike Williams +110
Keenan Allen +120

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Chargers vs Raiders

Player Name Over Under
Mike Williams 56.5 -115 56.5 -110
Davante Adams 78.5 -115 78.5 -115
Austin Ekeler 35.5 -115 35.5 -115
Hunter Renfrow 47.5 -115 47.5 -115
Darren Waller 48.5 -115 48.5 -115

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Chargers vs Raiders

Player Name Over Under
Justin Herbert 13.5 -115 13.5 -115
Derek Carr 4.5 -110 4.5 -115
Josh Jacobs 49.5 -115 49.5 -115
Austin Ekeler 60.5 -115 60.5 -115
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 away games (+6.75 Units / 70% ROI)
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.55 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 games (+6.55 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+6.25 Units / 63% ROI)
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have scored first in their last 5 games (+5.90 Units / 106% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 11 games (+8.95 Units / 73% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in their last 7 games (+7.25 Units / 96% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.80 Units / 65% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.80 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.25 Units / 29% ROI)

Las Vegas Raiders: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Chargers

The Raiders were 5-0 (1.000) when rushing for 120 or more yards last season — tied for best in NFL. The Chargers allowed an average of 139.6 rushing yards per game last season — fourth-worst in NFL.

The Raiders were 2-4 (.333) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times last season — tied for 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .165.

The Raiders were 5-1 (.833) when rushing for more than 100 yards last season — tied for 6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .621.

The Raiders were 3-1 (.750) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season — 10th-best in NFL; League Avg: .633.

Los Angeles Chargers: Keys to the Game vs. the Las Vegas Raiders

The Chargers were 6-0 (1.000) when not throwing an interception last season — tied for best in NFL. The Raiders intercepted 6 passes last season — tied for fewest in NFL.

The Chargers were undefeated (5-0) when not committing any turnovers last season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .731.

The Chargers were 3-7 (.300) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays last season — 8th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .445.

The Chargers are winless (0-3) when passing for less than 200 yards since the 2019 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .480.

Additional Matchup Notes for Las Vegas Raiders vs. Los Angeles Chargers

The Chargers scored on 50% of their drives in the fourth quarter last season — third-best in NFL. The Raiders defense allowed scores on 57.1% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter last season — worst in NFL.

The Chargers scored on 47% of their drives in the second half last season — fifth-best in NFL. The Raiders defense allowed scores on 46% of opponent drives in the second half last season — third-worst in NFL.

The Chargers went three and out on 10.8% of their drives in the second half last season — third-best in NFL. Raiders forced three and outs on 14.9% of opponent drives in the second half last season — tied for fifth-worst in NFL.

Raiders TEs have 74.8 receiving yards per game since the 2020 season — second-best in NFL. The Chargers have allowed an average of58.6 receiving yards per game to TEs since the 2020 season — fourth-worst in NFL.

Raiders TEs gained 1,050 yards on 88 receptions (11.9 YPR) last season — fifth-best in NFL. The Chargers allowed 12.7 Yards Per Reception to TEs last season — worst in NFL.

The Raiders were 5-0 (1.000) when rushing for 120 or more yards last season — tied for best in NFL. The Chargers allowed an average of 139.6 rushing yards per game last season — fourth-worst in NFL.

Las Vegas Raiders Offense: Important Stats for Week 1

The Raiders converted first downs on just 36 of 73 plays (49%) on 3rd and short last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 62%.

The Raiders averaged 12.4 yards per attempt (1,143 yards/92 attempts) on passes up the middle last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 8.5.

The Raiders have converted first downs on just 74 of 142 plays (52%) on 3rd and short since the 2020 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 62%.

The Raiders ran successful plays on 47% of plays in the 2nd half last season — 5th-best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

Los Angeles Chargers Offense: Important Stats for Week 1

The Chargers had a third down conversion rate of 35% on third and 10+ yards to go last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 20%.

The Chargers averaged 121.6 yards from scrimmage per game (2,067 yards / 17 games) in the 4th quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 94.8.

The Chargers converted first downs on 114 of 333 plays (34%) in the 4th quarter last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 29%.

The Chargers converted first downs on 32 of 91 plays (35%) on 3rd and long last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 25%.

Las Vegas Raiders Defense: Important Stats for Week 1

The Raiders defense allowed scores on 57% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 37%.

The Raiders defense allowed first downs on 81% of pass attempts on 3rd and short last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 58%.

The Raiders defense intercepted 6 of 606 attempts (101.0 pass attempts per int.) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42.6.

The Raiders defense allowed 12 TD passes in close and late situations last season — most in NFL.

Los Angeles Chargers Defense: Important Stats for Week 1

The Chargers defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 49% last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

The Chargers defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 57% in the 2nd half last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 40%.

The Chargers defense allowed first downs on 49% of plays on 3rd down last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 40%.

The Chargers defense stuffed 10 rushing attempts in Week 18 — tied for most in NFL.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.