Raiders vs Jaguars Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 9

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 01, 2022, 2:59 PM
  • The Raiders (2-5) are -1.5 point favorites vs the Jaguars (2-6)
  • Total (Over/Under): 48 points
  • Watch the game on CBS

The Las Vegas Raiders (2-5) visit TIAA Bank Field to take on the Jacksonville Jaguars (2-6) on Nov. 6. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Jacksonville.

The Raiders are betting favorites in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Raiders vs. Jaguars Over/Under is 48 total points for the game.

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Raiders vs. Jaguars Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 9

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Raiders-1.5 -11048 -110-125
Jaguars +1.5 -11048 -110+105

Raiders vs. Jaguars Prediction for Week 9

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Raiders will win this Week 9 game with 55.3% confidence.

Raiders vs Jaguars Spread Prediction for Week 9

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Raiders will cover the spread this Week 9 with 53.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Raiders and Jaguars, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Raiders Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Raiders players for Week 9, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Derek Carr has hit the TD Passes Under in 12 of his last 18 games (+6.10 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Josh Jacobs has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 8 of his last 10 away games (+5.85 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Derek Carr has hit the Interceptions Over in 8 of his last 10 away games (+5.45 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Brandon Bolden has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 5 away games (+5.05 Units / 89% ROI)
  • Josh Jacobs has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+4.85 Units / 24% ROI)

Best Jaguars Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Jaguars players for Week 9, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Travis Etienne has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 6 games (+6.05 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Trevor Lawrence has hit the TD Passes Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+5.20 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Jamal Agnew has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Trevor Lawrence has hit the Interceptions Under in 9 of his last 15 games (+3.70 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Evan Engram has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+3.65 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have scored last in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.85 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have scored first in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.80 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+6.55 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 16 games (+5.95 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.60 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have scored first in 9 of their last 11 games (+8.65 Units / 70% ROI)
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+8.10 Units / 74% ROI)
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have covered the 1Q Spread in their last 7 games (+7.35 Units / 84% ROI)
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+6.90 Units / 70% ROI)
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+6.10 Units / 59% ROI)

Raiders Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Raiders have gone 3-4 (-1.4 Units / -18.06% ROI).

  • Raiders are 2-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.95 Units / -42.31% ROI
  • Raiders are 5-2 when betting the Over for +2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI
  • Raiders are 2-5 when betting the Under for -3.5 Units / ROI

Jaguars Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Jaguars have gone 2-6 (-4.6 Units / -52.27% ROI).

  • Jaguars are 2-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.4 Units / -48.65% ROI
  • Jaguars are 4-4 when betting the Over for -0.45 Units / -5.08% ROI
  • Jaguars are 4-4 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / -4.57% ROI

Las Vegas Raiders: Keys to the Game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars

The Raiders are winless (0-2) when allowing 3 or more sacks this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .396.

The Raiders are winless (0-2) when underdogs this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .377.

The Raiders are 1-5 (.167) when not forcing a fumble this season — tied for 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .424.

The Raiders are 5-6 (.455) when not forcing a turnover since the 2021 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .258.

Jacksonville Jaguars: Keys to the Game vs. the Las Vegas Raiders

The Jaguars are 1-9 (.100) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .496.

The Jaguars are 2-5 (.286) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .780.

The Jaguars are winless (0-15) when intercepting no passes since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .344.

The Jaguars are winless (0-2) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .443.

Additional Matchup Notes for Las Vegas Raiders vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

Jaguars QBs have been 12 sacked this season — tied for third-fewest in NFL. The Raiders have sacked the quarterback 9 times this season — fewest in NFL.

The Jaguars have allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 16.2% of pass attempts this season — third-best in NFL. The Raiders have pressured opposing QBs on just 16.8% of passing plays this season — fifth-worst in NFL.

The Jaguars have a third down conversion rate of 58.3% against the blitz this season — second-best in NFL. The Raiders defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 63.2% when blitzing this season — worst in NFL.

The Raiders have scored on 52.9% of their drives in late and close games this season — best in NFL. The Jaguars defense has allowed scores on 50% of opponent drives in close and late situations this season — fifth-worst in NFL.

Las Vegas Raiders Offense: Important Stats for Week 9

The Raiders have run successful plays on 61% of rush attempts in the 2nd half this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Raiders have converted first downs on just 45 of 93 plays (48%) on 3rd and short since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 61%.

The Raiders have converted first downs on just 83 of 162 plays (51%) on 3rd and short since the 2020 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 61%.

The Raiders converted first downs on just 36 of 73 plays (49%) on 3rd and short last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 62%.

Jacksonville Jaguars Offense: Important Stats for Week 9

The Jaguars have committed 4 turnovers in the red zone this season — most in NFL.

The Jaguars ran 39% of their plays in their opponent’s territory last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Jaguars have run successful plays on 54% of plays in the 1st quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Jaguars have run 52% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 1st half this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

Las Vegas Raiders Defense: Important Stats for Week 9

The Raiders defense has intercepted 9 of 856 attempts (95.1 pass attempts per int.) since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43.2.

The Raiders defense has allowed 4.9 TDs per interception (44 TDs allowed, and 9 INT) since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 1.9.

The Raiders defense allowed first downs on 81% of pass attempts on 3rd and short last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 58%.

The Raiders defense allowed first downs on 55% of rush attempts on 3rd and short last season — tied for 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 69%.

Jacksonville Jaguars Defense: Important Stats for Week 9

The Jaguars defense has allowed successful plays on 19% of rush attempts in the 1st quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

The Jaguars defense sacked opposing QBs on just 4% of pass attempts (3/76) on 3rd and long last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 10%.

Only 23% of the plays run against the Jaguars have been in their own territory in the 1st quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 40%.

The Jaguars defense averaged 0.4 interceptions per game (6/17) last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.8.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.