Raiders at Rams: NFL Betting Trends for Teams On a Winning Streak

min read
Las Vegas Raiders cornerback Nate Hobbs (39) celebrates with cornerback Sam Webb (27) after the Los Angeles Chargers turned the ball over on downs during the second half of an NFL football game, Sunday, Dec. 4, 2022, in Las Vegas. The Raiders won 27-20. (AP Photo/David Becker)
(AP Photo/David Becker)
Andrew Doughty @DoughtyBetMGM Dec 05, 2022, 5:22 PM

From 2003-18, the Las Vegas Raiders had a winning streak of at least three games only twice. With a win over the Los Angeles Chargers in Week 13, the Raiders have five winning streaks of at least three games since 2020.

In the four previous instances of carrying a three-game winning streak into a game the last three seasons, the Raiders are 1-3 outright and 2-2 against the spread, most recently covering +3 in a win against the Chargers in Week 18 last season.

They’ll aim for a four-game winning streak – and to improve their season ATS record to 7-6 – against the Los Angeles Rams in Week 14. As of Monday, the Raiders are a 6-point road favorite at the online sportsbook.

Betting Teams On a Winning Streak

NFL teams on a winning streak of at least three games are 24-17-1 (.585, -3.5% ROI) on the moneyline this season after spending most of the last decade around .500 with a slightly negative ROI (-0.4%).

Those teams are 12-13-1 (.480, -7.6%) against the spread this season after posting an ROI of -3.7% over the last decade.

Further digging doesn’t favor the Raiders at SoFi Stadium on Thursday Night Football.

When the winning-streak team is favored, the moneyline ROI since 2011 drops from -0.4% to -2.5% and the spread ROI since 2011 drops from -3.7% to -5.2%.

When the favored winning-streak team is playing a losing-streak opponent (at least three games) – as the Rams are with six straight losses – the moneyline ROI since 2011 drops from -2.5% to -5.8%. And the spread ROI since 2011 drops from -5.2% to -16.4%.

The moneyline ROI drops again – from -5.8% to -12.1% – for road teams, as does the spread ROI – from -16.4% to -25.2%.

Raiders-Rams Prediction

I’m betting against trends and paying a premium for the Raiders. They’ll win outright and cover as a road favorite of at least six points since Week 11 of the 2002 season.

The Rams’ rushing attack – adequate efficiency from Cam Akers and creativity from Sean McVay in clearing room for Tutu Atwell and Brandon Powell – kept them alive against the Seattle Seahawks in Week 13. That won’t happen against a Raiders’ defense that hasn’t allowed more than 100 team rushing yards since Week 10.

Raiders 27, Rams 17

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About the Author

Andrew Doughty

Read More @DoughtyBetMGM

Andrew Doughty is a writer for BetMGM with a focus on college football, NFL, college basketball, and NASCAR. A graduate of the University of Kansas, he previously wrote for Sports Illustrated and HERO Sports.

Andrew Doughty is a writer for BetMGM with a focus on college football, NFL, college basketball, and NASCAR. A graduate of the University of Kansas, he previously wrote for Sports Illustrated and HERO Sports.