From 2003-18, the Las Vegas Raiders had a winning streak of at least three games only twice. With a win over the Los Angeles Chargers in Week 13, the Raiders have five winning streaks of at least three games since 2020.
In the four previous instances of carrying a three-game winning streak into a game the last three seasons, the Raiders are 1-3 outright and 2-2 against the spread, most recently covering +3 in a win against the Chargers in Week 18 last season.
They’ll aim for a four-game winning streak – and to improve their season ATS record to 7-6 – against the Los Angeles Rams in Week 14. As of Monday, the Raiders are a 6-point road favorite at the online sportsbook.
Betting Teams On a Winning Streak
NFL teams on a winning streak of at least three games are 24-17-1 (.585, -3.5% ROI) on the moneyline this season after spending most of the last decade around .500 with a slightly negative ROI (-0.4%).
Those teams are 12-13-1 (.480, -7.6%) against the spread this season after posting an ROI of -3.7% over the last decade.
Further digging doesn’t favor the Raiders at SoFi Stadium on Thursday Night Football.
When the winning-streak team is favored, the moneyline ROI since 2011 drops from -0.4% to -2.5% and the spread ROI since 2011 drops from -3.7% to -5.2%.
When the favored winning-streak team is playing a losing-streak opponent (at least three games) – as the Rams are with six straight losses – the moneyline ROI since 2011 drops from -2.5% to -5.8%. And the spread ROI since 2011 drops from -5.2% to -16.4%.
The moneyline ROI drops again – from -5.8% to -12.1% – for road teams, as does the spread ROI – from -16.4% to -25.2%.
I’m betting against trends and paying a premium for the Raiders. They’ll win outright and cover as a road favorite of at least six points since Week 11 of the 2002 season.
The Rams’ rushing attack – adequate efficiency from Cam Akers and creativity from Sean McVay in clearing room for Tutu Atwell and Brandon Powell – kept them alive against the Seattle Seahawks in Week 13. That won’t happen against a Raiders’ defense that hasn’t allowed more than 100 team rushing yards since Week 10.
Raiders 27, Rams 17
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