Rams vs Bengals Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 3 MNF

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(AP Photo/Jeff Dean)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 19, 2023, 3:42 PM
  • The Bengals are -1.5 point favorites vs the Rams
  • Total (Over/Under): 43.5 points
  • Watch Monday Night Football on ESPN

The Los Angeles Rams (1-1) visit Paycor Stadium to take on the Cincinnati Bengals (0-2) on Sep. 25. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15pm EDT in Cincinnati.

The Bengals are betting favorites in this Week 3 matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Rams vs. Bengals Over/Under is 43.5 total points for the game.

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Rams vs. Bengals Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Rams+1.5 -11043.5 -110+105
Bengals -1.5 -11043.5 -110-125

Rams vs. Bengals Prediction

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Bengals will win this Week 3 game with 57.0% confidence.

Rams vs Bengals Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Bengals will cover the spread with 53.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Rams and Bengals, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Rams Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Rams players this Week 3 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Matthew Stafford has hit the Passing Yards Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.50 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Ben Skowronek has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 8 of his last 12 games (+3.50 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Cam Akers has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+3.30 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Cooper Kupp has hit the Longest Reception Under in 7 of his last 10 games (+3.30 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Matthew Stafford has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 4 of his last 5 away games (+3.00 Units / 57% ROI)

Best Bengals Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Bengals players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ja’Marr Chase has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Ja’Marr Chase has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+6.05 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Joe Burrow has hit the Interceptions Under in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+5.20 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Joe Mixon has hit the Longest Rush Under in 13 of his last 19 games (+5.10 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Joe Burrow has hit the Passing Yards Under in 14 of his last 21 games (+5.00 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 9 away games (+6.85 Units / 65% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.40 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 19 games (+3.65 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 10 away games (+0.45 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have covered the 2Q Spread in 5 of their last 9 away games (+0.30 Units / 3% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have covered the Spread in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.15 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 22 games (+6.90 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.15 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+5.95 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have scored first in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.55 Units / 44% ROI)

Rams Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Rams went 1-0 (+1 Units / 45.45% ROI).

  • Rams are 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.8 Units / 40% ROI
  • Rams are 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Rams are 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / ROI

Bengals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Bengals went 0-2 (-2.25 Units / -100% ROI).

  • Bengals are 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.75 Units / -100% ROI
  • Bengals are 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Bengals are 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Los Angeles Rams: Keys to the Game vs. the Cincinnati Bengals

The Rams are 5-2 (.714) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2022 season — tied for seventh-best in NFL. The Bengals have averaged just 1.8 sacks per game over that time span — fourth-worst in NFL.

The Rams were winless (0-8) vs top 10 offenses in the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .315.

The Rams were 1-7 (.125) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .497.

The Rams were winless (0-4) vs top 10 run defenses in the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .438.

Cincinnati Bengals: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Rams

The Bengals are 6-1 (.857) vs top 10 pass offenses since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .363.

The Bengals are undefeated (3-0) vs top 10 pass offenses since the 2022 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .362.

The Bengals were undefeated (3-0) vs bottom 10 run offenses in the 2022 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .538.

The Bengals are undefeated (3-0) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2022 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .594.

Additional Matchup Notes for Los Angeles Rams vs. Cincinnati Bengals

The Bengals have run 49.2% offensive plays in on their opponent’s side of the field since the 2022 season — fourth-best in NFL. Rams have allowed their opponents to run 47.9% of plays in their territory since the 2022 season — third-worst in NFL.

The Bengals have allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 18% of pass attempts since the 2022 season — tied for third-best in NFL. The Rams have pressured opposing QBs on just 19.6% of passing plays since the 2022 season — fifth-worst in NFL.

The Bengals have run 16.6% offensive plays in the red zone since the 2022 season — fourth-best in NFL. Rams has allowed their opponent to run 16.8% of plays in the red zone since the 2022 season — third-worst in NFL.

Rams RBs have averaged just 1.5 yards after contact per carry since the 2022 season — tied for second-worst in NFL. The Bengals have allowed just 1.3 yards after contact per carry to RBs since the 2022 season — tied for second-best in NFL.

The Rams have 17 touchdown passes since the 2022 season — tied for second-fewest in NFL. The Bengals have allowed 20 passing TDs since the 2022 season — fourth-fewest in NFL.

The Rams are 5-2 (.714) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2022 season — tied for seventh-best in NFL. The Bengals have averaged just 1.8 sacks per game over that time span — fourth-worst in NFL.

Los Angeles Rams Offense: Important Stats

The Rams have been flagged 70 times on offense since the 2021 season — 2nd-fewest in NFL.

The Rams have a third down conversion rate of 58% this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 39%.

The Rams have a third down conversion rate of 75% in the 1st half this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 40%.

The Rams have converted first downs on 18 of 31 plays (58%) on 3rd down this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 39%.

Cincinnati Bengals Offense: Important Stats

The Bengals have gone three and out on 64% of their drives in the 1st half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 25%.

The Bengals have run successful plays on 0% of rush attempts in the 1st quarter this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Bengals have gone three and out 4 times in the 1st quarter this season — most in NFL.

The Bengals ran 58% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 2nd half in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

Los Angeles Rams Defense: Important Stats

The Rams defense has allowed at least 5 yards on 60% of first down plays this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Rams defense have forced three and outs on 55% of opponent drives in the 2nd half this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 21%.

24% of the plays ran against the Rams were in the red zone in the 4th quarter in the 2022 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 15%.

The Rams defense allowed successful plays on 62% of pass attempts in the 3rd quarter in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

Cincinnati Bengals Defense: Important Stats

The Bengals defense allowed successful plays on 31% of pass attempts in the 3rd quarter in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Bengals defense allowed successful plays on 33% of plays in the 3rd quarter in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Bengals defense allowed a passer rating of just 70.3 when blitzing (98 Pass Attempts) in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 92.0.

The Bengals defense allowed a Completion Pct of just 59% (332 completions/565 attempts) in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 64%.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.