Rams vs Chargers Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 17

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 27, 2022, 1:23 PM
  • The Chargers (9-6) are -6.5 point favorites vs the Rams (5-10)
  • Total (Over/Under): 41 points
  • Watch the game on NBC

The Los Angeles Rams (5-10) visit SoFi Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Chargers (9-6) on Jan. 1. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:20pm EST in Inglewood.

The Chargers are betting favorites in Week 17, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The Rams vs. Chargers Over/Under is 41 total points for the game.

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Rams vs. Chargers Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 17

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Rams+6.5 -11041 -110+240
Chargers -6.5 -11041 -110-300

Rams vs. Chargers Prediction for Week 17

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Chargers will win this Week 17 game with 72.8% confidence.

Rams vs Chargers Spread Prediction for Week 17

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Rams will cover the spread this Week 17 with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Rams and Chargers, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Rams Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Rams players for Week 17, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Tyler Higbee has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 7 away games (+5.00 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Allen Robinson has hit the Receptions Under in his last 4 away games (+4.10 Units / 77% ROI)
  • Allen Robinson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 81% ROI)
  • Matthew Stafford has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 5 of his last 6 away games (+4.00 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Ben Skowronek has hit the Receptions Under in his last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 58% ROI)

Best Chargers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Chargers players for Week 17, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Gerald Everett has hit the Receptions Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.15 Units / 72% ROI)
  • Justin Herbert has hit the Completions Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.55 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Josh Palmer has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 88% ROI)
  • Justin Herbert has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+4.70 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Austin Ekeler has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 11 of his last 17 games (+3.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games (+7.65 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 9 away games (+6.90 Units / 69% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have covered the 4Q Spread in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 82% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.75 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+5.30 Units / 88% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have covered the 2Q Spread in 14 of their last 17 games (+10.35 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 11 games (+10.05 Units / 84% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 17 games (+9.75 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.90 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+6.85 Units / 69% ROI)

Rams Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Rams have gone 5-9 (-4.95 Units / -30.09% ROI).

  • Rams are 5-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.5 Units / -21.83% ROI
  • Rams are 6-9 when betting the Over for -3.9 Units / -23.64% ROI
  • Rams are 9-6 when betting the Under for +2.4 Units / ROI

Chargers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Chargers have gone 9-5 (+3.5 Units / 21.41% ROI).

  • Chargers are 9-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.55 Units / 2.32% ROI
  • Chargers are 5-9 when betting the Over for -4.9 Units / -29.7% ROI
  • Chargers are 9-5 when betting the Under for +3.5 Units / 21.21% ROI

Los Angeles Rams: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Chargers

The Rams are 2-8 (.200) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season — tied for 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .411.

The Rams are 1-6 (.143) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .496.

The Rams are winless (0-6) vs top 10 offenses this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .320.

The Rams are 2-8 (.200) when making less than 7 explosive plays this season — tied for 5th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .395.

Los Angeles Chargers: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Rams

The Chargers are undefeated (4-0) vs bottom 10 run offenses this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .533.

The Chargers are 6-2 (.750) when intercepting at least 1 pass this season — tied for 7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .607.

The Chargers are 8-2 (.800) when favorites this season — tied for 6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .642.

The Chargers are 6-2 (.750) when not losing a fumble this season — 8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .573.

Additional Matchup Notes for Los Angeles Rams vs. Los Angeles Chargers

Chargers RBs have averaged just 75.9 rushing yards per game this season — fourth-worst in NFL. The Rams have allowed an average of just 105.3 rushing yards per game this season — fifth-best in NFL.

The Chargers have an average drive start position from the 28.3 yard line this season — tied for fifth-best in NFL. The Rams have allowed an average drive start position from the 27.8 yard line this season — third-worst in NFL.

The Chargers are averaging just 3.8 yards per carry this season — tied for second-worst in NFL. The Rams have allowed just 4.2 yards per carry this season — tied for fourth-best in NFL.

The Rams have thrown the ball 10 yards or less 75.5% of pass attempts this season — second-highest in NFL. The Chargers have allowed just 5.5 yards per dropback on pass attempts between 1 and 10 yards this season — tied for third-best in NFL.

The Rams have a third down conversion rate of just 19.0% in the second half since Week 13 — third-worst in NFL. The Chargers defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 22.7% in the second half since Week 13 — second-best in NFL.

Los Angeles Rams Offense: Important Stats for Week 17

The Rams ran 27% of their plays in the red zone in the 4th quarter last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 17%.

The Rams have been flagged 61 times on offense since the 2021 season — 2nd-fewest in NFL.

The Rams had a third down conversion rate of 34% on third and 10+ yards to go last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 20%.

The Rams scored on 89% of their drives in Week 16 — best in NFL; League Avg: 36%.

Los Angeles Chargers Offense: Important Stats for Week 17

The Chargers averaged 121.6 yards from scrimmage per game (2,067 yards / 17 games) in the 4th quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 94.8.

The Chargers have faced a blitz 19% of the time on Early Downs since Week 12 of the 2021 Season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 8%.

The Chargers have faced a blitz 16% of the time on 1st down since Week 12 of the 2021 Season — 2nd-highest in NFL; League Avg: 7%.

The Chargers had a third down conversion rate of 35% on third and 10+ yards to go last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 20%.

Los Angeles Rams Defense: Important Stats for Week 17

The Rams’ opponents averaged 36.7 Passing Attempts per TD (624 Pass Attempts/17 Passing TDs) last season — 2nd-best Pass Attempts Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 22.3.

The Rams defense allowed 17 TD passes last season — 2nd-fewest in NFL.

The Rams defense has allowed 3 TD passes when the opposing QB has scrambled this season — tied for most in NFL.

24% of the plays run against the Rams have been in the red zone in the 4th quarter this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 16%.

Los Angeles Chargers Defense: Important Stats for Week 17

The Chargers defense has allowed an average of 2.2 yards after contact per carry (885 carries) since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 1.8.

The Chargers defense has allowed successful plays on 59% of rush attempts in the 3rd quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

The Chargers defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 49% last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

The Chargers defense hurried opposing QBs on 24% of pass attempts in Week 16 — best in NFL; League Avg: 7%.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.