Rams vs Packers Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 15, MNF

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 19, 2022, 1:20 PM
  • The Packers (5-8) are -7 point favorites vs the Rams (4-9)
  • Total (Over/Under): 39.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN

The Los Angeles Rams (4-9) visit Lambeau Field to take on the Green Bay Packers (5-8) on Dec. 19. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15pm EST in Green Bay for Monday Night Football.

The Packers are betting favorites in Week 15, with the spread sitting at -7 (-110).

The Rams vs. Packers Over/Under is 39.5 total points for the game.

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Rams vs. Packers Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 15

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Rams+7 -11039.5 -110+240
Packers -7 -11039.5 -110-300

Rams vs. Packers Prediction for Week 15

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Packers will win this Week 15 game with 74.5% confidence.

Rams vs Packers Spread Prediction for Week 15

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Rams will cover the spread this Week 15 with 52.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Rams and Packers, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Rams Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Rams players for Week 15, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Van Jefferson has hit the Receptions Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.40 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Cam Akers has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.60 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Tyler Higbee has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 7 away games (+5.00 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Ben Skowronek has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+4.60 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Matthew Stafford has hit the Passing Yards Under in 12 of his last 18 games (+4.60 Units / 21% ROI)

Best Packers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Packers players for Week 15, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Aaron Rodgers has hit the Interceptions Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Aaron Rodgers has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.25 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Robert Tonyan has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 79% ROI)
  • Romeo Doubs has hit the Receptions Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Aaron Rodgers has hit the Passing Yards Under in 11 of his last 17 games (+3.75 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.40 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games (+7.80 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 9 away games (+6.80 Units / 67% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.75 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 15 games (+4.70 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Green Bay Packers have scored last in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.65 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Green Bay Packers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.40 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Green Bay Packers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games (+4.40 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Green Bay Packers have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.45 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Green Bay Packers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 17 games (+3.25 Units / 17% ROI)

Rams Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Rams have gone 4-8 (-4.85 Units / -34.04% ROI).

  • Rams are 4-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.9 Units / -25.43% ROI
  • Rams are 5-8 when betting the Over for -3.8 Units / -26.57% ROI
  • Rams are 8-5 when betting the Under for +2.5 Units / ROI

Packers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Packers have gone 5-8 (-3.9 Units / -27.18% ROI).

  • Packers are 5-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.6 Units / -36.24% ROI
  • Packers are 7-6 when betting the Over for +0.4 Units / 2.8% ROI
  • Packers are 6-7 when betting the Under for -1.7 Units / -11.89% ROI

Los Angeles Rams: Keys to the Game vs. the Green Bay Packers

The Rams are winless (0-6) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .435.

The Rams are 1-6 (.143) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .495.

The Rams are winless (0-7) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .462.

The Rams were 4-3 (.571) vs top 10 offenses last season — 8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .376.

Green Bay Packers: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Rams

The Packers are 1-7 (.125) when making less than 3 explosive runs in a game this season — 6th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .424.

The Packers are 2-7 (.222) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties this season — tied for 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .475.

The Packers are 1-3 (.250) when converting less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season — 8th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .435.

The Packers are 11-2 (.846) at home since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .527.

Additional Matchup Notes for Los Angeles Rams vs. Green Bay Packers

The Packers have allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 17.5% of pass attempts this season — tied for fourth-best in NFL. The Rams have pressured opposing QBs on just 17.5% of passing plays this season — third-worst in NFL.

The Packers have a third down conversion rate of 28.6% on 3rd and 10+ YTG since Week 11 — tied for fourth-best in NFL. The Rams defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 28.6% on 3rd and 10+ YTG since Week 11 — second-worst in NFL.

The Rams have gone three and out on 27.5% of their drives this season — fourth-worst in NFL. Packers have forced three and outs on 28.3% of opponent drives this season — best in NFL.

The Rams have gone three and out on 30.4% of their drives in the first half this season — third-worst in NFL. Packers have forced three and outs on 32.9% of opponent drives in the first half this season — tied for best in NFL.

Rams RBs have averaged 2.1 yards after contact per carry since Week 11 — fourth-best in NFL. The Packers have allowed 2.2 yards after contact per carry since Week 11 — tied for worst in NFL.

Los Angeles Rams Offense: Important Stats for Week 15

The Rams started 5 drives inside their own 20 yard line in Week 14 — tied for most in NFL.

The Rams have targeted WRs 69% of the time (719 Pass Attempts/1,044 plays) since the 2021 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 57%.

The Rams had a third down conversion rate of 34% on third and 10+ yards to go last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 20%.

The Rams ran 27% of their plays in the red zone in the 4th quarter last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 17%.

Green Bay Packers Offense: Important Stats for Week 15

The Packers have run successful plays on 10% of rush attempts in the red zone since Week 11 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

The Packers have run 11% of their plays in the red zone this season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 14%.

The Packers have run successful plays on 0% of pass attempts on passes when their QB has been pressured since Week 11 — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: 29%.

The Packers ran successful plays on 50% of plays in the 2nd half last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

Los Angeles Rams Defense: Important Stats for Week 15

The Rams defense allowed successful plays on 28% of rush attempts in the 1st quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

The Rams defense allowed 17 TD passes last season — 2nd-fewest in NFL.

25% of the plays run against the Rams have been in the red zone since Week 11 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 14%.

The Rams defense allowed a passer rating of just 71.5 in the red zone (79 Pass Attempts) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 96.0.

Green Bay Packers Defense: Important Stats for Week 15

The Packers defense has allowed successful plays on 55% of rush attempts in the 3rd quarter since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

The Packers defense allowed successful plays on 55% of rush attempts in the 3rd quarter last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

The Packers defense has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 10 of 363 attempts (3%) this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 1%.

23% of the plays run against the Packers have been in the red zone in the 4th quarter this season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 16%.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.