Rams vs Ravens Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 6

BetMGM Betting Oct 08, 2025, 10:10 PM

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(AP Photo/Terrance Williams)

The Rams are -7.5 point favorites vs the Ravens
Total (Over/Under): 45 points
Watch this game on FOX

The Los Angeles Rams (3-2-0) visit M&T Bank Stadium to take on the Baltimore Ravens (1-4-0) on Oct. 12. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.

The Rams are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).

The Rams vs. Ravens Over/Under is 45 total points for the game.

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Rams vs. Ravens Odds, Spread, Over/Under

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Rams	-7.5 -110	45 -110	-425
Ravens	+7.5 -110	45 -110	325

Rams vs. Ravens Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Rams will win this game with 77.3% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Rams vs Ravens Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Ravens will cover the spread with 57.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Rams players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rams Player Prop Bets Today

Puka Nacua has hit the Receptions Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.90 Units / 34% ROI)
Puka Nacua has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+5.95 Units / 30% ROI)
Davante Adams has hit the Longest Reception Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 85% ROI)
Matthew Stafford has hit the TD Passes Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+4.85 Units / 22% ROI)
Kyren Williams has hit the Receptions Under in 6 of his last 8 away games (+4.65 Units / 46% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Ravens players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Ravens Player Prop Best Bets Today

Derrick Henry has hit the Receptions Under in 11 of his last 19 games (+4.70 Units / 17% ROI)
Cooper Rush has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.50 Units / 42% ROI)
Cooper Rush has hit the Carries Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.40 Units / 60% ROI)
DeAndre Hopkins has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 12 of his last 20 games (+3.00 Units / 13% ROI)
Mark Andrews has hit the Longest Reception Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.90 Units / 52% ROI)

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Ravens vs Rams

Player Name	Over	Under
Puka Nacua (LAR)	98.5 -115	98.5 -115
Davante Adams (LAR)	62.5 -110	62.5 -118
Zay Flowers (BAL)	55.5 -110	55.5 -118
Mark Andrews (BAL)	27.5 -118	27.5 -110
Jordan Whittington (LAR)	12.5 -118	12.5 -110

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Ravens vs Rams

Player Name	Over	Under
Kyren Williams (LAR)	71.5 -110	71.5 -118
Derrick Henry (BAL)	67.5 -115	67.5 -115
Matthew Stafford (LAR)	0.5 -105	0.5 -125

Rams Best Bets:

The Los Angeles Rams have covered the Spread in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.40 Units / 39% ROI)
The Los Angeles Rams have covered the 2Q Spread in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.60 Units / 40% ROI)
The Los Angeles Rams have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.80 Units / 22% ROI)
The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.65 Units / 26% ROI)
The Los Angeles Rams have covered the 2H Spread in 7 of their last 8 away games (+5.97 Units / 66% ROI)

Ravens Best Bets:

The Baltimore Ravens have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 22 games (+10.50 Units / 43% ROI)
The Baltimore Ravens have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.15 Units / 34% ROI)
The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.17 Units / 12% ROI)
The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 games (+7.15 Units / 16% ROI)
The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games (+6.70 Units / 26% ROI)

Rams Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Rams are 3-2 (+0.8 Units / 14.41% ROI).

Rams are 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.4 Units / -21.24% ROI
Rams are 3-2 when betting the Over for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI
Rams are 2-3 when betting the Under for -1.3 Units / ROI

Ravens Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Ravens are 1-4 (-3.4 Units / -61.82% ROI).

Ravens are 1-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -5 Units / -34.48% ROI
Ravens are 5-0 when betting the Over for +5 Units / 90.91% ROI
Ravens are 0-5 when betting the Under for -5.5 Units / -100% ROI

Los Angeles Rams: Keys to the Game vs. the Baltimore Ravens

The Ravens defense has allowed 13 TD passes in the red zone this season — most in NFL.

The Ravens defense has allowed 19 TDs in the red zone this season — most in NFL.

The Ravens defense have allowed 11.1 yards per play on contested throws this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 5.6.

The Ravens defense has allowed scores on 58% of opponent drives (32/55) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 40%.

Baltimore Ravens: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Rams

The Rams have not converted a late down on 178 plays (0%) with over 10 yards to go since the 2024 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 3%.

The Rams have run none of their plays in the red zone in the 1st quarter this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: 13%.

The Rams have averaged 0.83 epa per play against a light rush since the 2024 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 0.03.

The Rams have 24 receptions for 20+ yards this season — most in NFL.

Additional Matchup Notes for Los Angeles Rams vs. Baltimore Ravens