Rams vs Saints Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 11

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New Orleans Saints quarterback Jameis Winston (2) celebrates a touchdown during an NFL preseason football game against the Los Angeles Chargers, Friday, Aug. 26, 2022, in New Orleans. (AP Photo/Tyler Kaufman)
(AP Photo/Tyler Kaufman)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 17, 2022, 1:45 PM
  • The Saints (3-7) are -4 point favorites vs the Rams (3-6)
  • Total (Over/Under): 38.5 points
  • Watch the game on FOX

The Los Angeles Rams (3-7) visit Caesars Superdome to take on the New Orleans Saints (4-7) on Nov. 20. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in New Orleans.

The are betting favorites in Week 11, with the spread sitting at ().

The Rams vs. Saints Over/Under is total points for the game.

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Rams vs. Saints Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 11

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Rams
Saints

Rams vs. Saints Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Saints will win this Week 11 game with 58.8% confidence.

Rams vs Saints Spread Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Rams will cover the spread this Week 11 with 53.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Rams and Saints, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Rams Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Rams players for Week 11, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Darrell Henderson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.25 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Van Jefferson has hit the Receptions Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.10 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Ben Skowronek has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.85 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Matthew Stafford has hit the Interceptions Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+4.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Allen Robinson has hit the Receptions Under in his last 4 away games (+4.10 Units / 77% ROI)

Best Saints Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Saints players for Week 11, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Mark Ingram has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Tre’Quan Smith has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+4.80 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Marquez Callaway has hit the Receptions Under in 9 of his last 13 games (+4.75 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Taysom Hill has hit the Interceptions Under in his last 4 games (+4.55 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Jarvis Landry has hit the Receptions Under in 7 of his last 10 games (+4.20 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games (+9.10 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.55 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in their last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 89% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.95 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 21 games (+5.20 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Saints have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.45 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Saints have scored last in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.75 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Saints have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games (+4.95 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Saints have covered the 2Q Spread in 11 of their last 16 games (+4.75 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Saints have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+4.65 Units / 41% ROI)

Rams Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Rams have gone 2-6 (-4.65 Units / -46.97% ROI).

  • Rams are 3-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.2 Units / -27.08% ROI
  • Rams are 3-6 when betting the Over for -3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • Rams are 6-3 when betting the Under for +2.7 Units / ROI

Saints Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Saints have gone 3-7 (-4.7 Units / -42.73% ROI).

  • Saints are 3-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.3 Units / -32.82% ROI
  • Saints are 5-5 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Saints are 5-5 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI

Los Angeles Rams: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Saints

The Rams are winless (0-4) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .441.

The Rams are winless (0-6) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .455.

The Rams are 1-8 (.111) vs top 10 defenses since the 2021 season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .479.

The Rams are undefeated (4-0) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2021 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .583.

New Orleans Saints: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Rams

The Saints are winless (0-2) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .438.

The Saints are winless (0-4) when converting less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .444.

The Saints are 1-5 (.167) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards this season — tied for 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .434.

The Saints are 2-6 (.250) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties this season — tied for 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .476.

Additional Matchup Notes for Los Angeles Rams vs. New Orleans Saints

The Saints are averaging just 3.3 yards per carry since Week 7 — tied for worst in NFL. The Rams have allowed just 3.5 yards per carry since Week 7 — third-best in NFL.

Saints RBs have averaged just 48.5 rushing yards per game since Week 7 — worst in NFL. The Rams have allowed an average of just 80.3 rushing yards per game since Week 7 — fourth-best in NFL.

The Saints have thrown for 20+ yards on 7 of 138 attempts since Week 7 — worst in NFL. The Rams allowed 20+ yards on just 5.0% of attempts since Week 7 — third-best in NFL.

Rams RBs have just 22.4 receiving yards per game this season — fifth-worst in NFL. The Saints have averaged just 25.9 receiving yards per game allowed to RBs this season — fifth-best in NFL.

The Rams have thrown for just 5.8 yards per attempt since Week 7 — tied for third-worst in NFL. The Saints have allowed just 5.2 yards per dropback since Week 7 — tied for third-best in NFL.

The Rams have gained at least 5 yards on just 32.9% of first down plays since Week 7 — fourth-worst in NFL. The Saints have allowed at least 5 yards on just 33.9% of first down plays since Week 7 — tied for third-best in NFL.

Los Angeles Rams Offense: Important Stats for Week 11

The Rams have run successful plays on 30% of rush attempts in the 1st half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Rams have scored on 5% of their drives in close and late situations this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 33%.

The Rams ran 27% of their plays in the red zone in the 4th quarter last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 17%.

The Rams have run 26% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in close and late situations this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 48%.

New Orleans Saints Offense: Important Stats for Week 11

The Saints ran successful plays on 10% of plays in the 2nd half in Week 10 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Saints ran successful plays on 7% of rush attempts in Week 10 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Saints ran successful plays on 0% of rush attempts in the 2nd half in Week 10 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

The Saints ran successful plays on 0% of rush attempts in the 3rd quarter in Week 10 — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: 54%.

Los Angeles Rams Defense: Important Stats for Week 11

The Rams’ opponents averaged 36.7 Passing Attempts per TD (624 Pass Attempts/17 Passing TDs) last season — 2nd-best Pass Attempts Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 22.3.

The Rams defense allowed successful plays on 28% of rush attempts in the 1st quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

The Rams have been flagged 7 times on Defense this season — fewest in NFL.

The Rams defense allowed 17 TD passes last season — 2nd-fewest in NFL.

New Orleans Saints Defense: Important Stats for Week 11

The Saints defense allowed successful plays on 33% of rush attempts last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Saints defense has intercepted 2 of 313 attempts (156.5 pass attempts per int.) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45.1.

The Saints defense missed 13 tackles in Week 9 — most in NFL.

Only 8% of the plays ran against the Saints were in the red zone in the 4th quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 17%.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.