Ravens vs Bengals Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – AFC Wild Card Playoffs

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 15, 2023, 11:05 AM
  • The Bengals (12-4) are -7 point favorites vs the Ravens (10-7)
  • Total (Over/Under): 41.5 points
  • Watch the game on NBC

The Baltimore Ravens (10-7) visit Paycor Stadium to take on the Cincinnati Bengals (12-4) on Jan. 15. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15pm EST in Cincinnati for this AFC Wild Card game.

The Bengals are betting favorites in this AFC Wild Card game, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).

The Ravens vs. Bengals Over/Under is 40.5 total points for the game.

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Ravens vs. Bengals Odds, Spread, Over/Under, AFC Wild Card Game

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Ravens+8.5 -11040.5 -110+310
Bengals -8.5 -11040.5 -110-400

Ravens vs. Bengals Prediction for AFC Wild Card game

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Bengals will win this AFC Wild Card game with 69.3% confidence.

Ravens vs Bengals Spread Prediction for AFC Wild Card game

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Ravens will cover the spread in this AFC Wild Card game with 56.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Ravens and Bengals, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Ravens Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Ravens players for the AFC Wild Card game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Lamar Jackson has hit the TD Passes Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.35 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Lamar Jackson has hit the Completions Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.30 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Devin Duvernay has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+4.65 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Demarcus Robinson has hit the Receptions Over in 6 of his last 9 games (+4.05 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Mark Andrews has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 82% ROI)

Best Bengals Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Bengals players for the AFC Wild Card game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ja’Marr Chase has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 86% ROI)
  • Ja’Marr Chase has hit the Receptions Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.90 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Joe Burrow has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 14 of his last 21 games (+5.35 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Joe Burrow has hit the Interceptions Under in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+5.20 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Joe Mixon has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 12 of his last 19 games (+4.20 Units / 20% ROI)

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Bengals vs Ravens

Player Name Over Under
Hayden Hurst 31.5 -115 31.5 -115
Joe Mixon 25.5 -110 25.5 -120
Tee Higgins 61.5 -115 61.5 -115
Ja’Marr Chase 76.5 -110 76.5 -120
Tyler Boyd 33.5 -115 33.5 -115

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Bengals vs Ravens

Player Name Over Under
J.K. Dobbins 61.5 -120 61.5 -115
Joe Burrow 10.5 -110 10.5 -120
Samaje Perine 16.5 -120 16.5 -110
Joe Mixon 54.5 -120 54.5 -110
  • The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.70 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.70 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+6.95 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.05 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.65 Units / 46% ROI)
  • No trends found

Ravens Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Ravens have gone 7-9 (-3.05 Units / -16.22% ROI).

  • Ravens are 10-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.3 Units / 0.85% ROI
  • Ravens are 5-12 when betting the Over for -8.2 Units / -43.85% ROI
  • Ravens are 12-5 when betting the Under for +6.5 Units / ROI

Bengals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Bengals have gone 12-4 (+7.45 Units / 42.21% ROI).

  • Bengals are 12-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.85 Units / 7.44% ROI
  • Bengals are 6-9 when betting the Over for -3.95 Units / -22.38% ROI
  • Bengals are 9-6 when betting the Under for +2.4 Units / 13.68% ROI

Baltimore Ravens: Keys to the Game vs. the Cincinnati Bengals

The Ravens are 2-1 (.667) when rushing less than 25 times this season — tied for 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .321.

The Ravens are 9-4 (.692) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season — 10th-best in NFL; League Avg: .579.

The Ravens are 6-2 (.750) when intercepting at least 1 pass this season — tied for 6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .611.

The Ravens are winless (0-4) when allowing more than 50% of third down conversions opportunities since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .272.

Cincinnati Bengals: Keys to the Game vs. the Baltimore Ravens

The Bengals are undefeated (16-0) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .585.

The Bengals are 9-3 (.750) when not forcing a turnover since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .268.

The Bengals are 2-1 (.667) when underdogs this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .339.

The Bengals are undefeated (9-0) when leading at the end of the first half this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .701.

Additional Matchup Notes for Baltimore Ravens vs. Cincinnati Bengals

The Bengals went three and out on 38.5% of their drives last week — fifth-worst in NFL. Ravens forced three and outs on 38.5% of opponent drives in Week 18 — fifth-best in NFL.

The Bengals have run 16.6% offensive plays in the red zone this season — fifth-best in NFL. Ravens has allowed their opponent to run 17.3% of plays in the red zone this season — worst in NFL.

The Bengals were successful on just 32.8% of plays they have run last week — fifth-worst in NFL. Ravens allowed their opponents to be successful on just 32.8% of plays in Week 18 — fifth-best in NFL.

The Ravens have run successful plays on just 38.4% of pass attempts on their opponent’s side of the field this season — fourth-worst in NFL. Bengals have allowed successful plays on just 42.4% of pass attempts on their own side of the field this season — third-best in NFL.

The Ravens have run successful plays on just 24.3% of pass attempts on their opponent’s side of the field since Week 15 — worst in NFL. Bengals have allowed successful plays on just 39.5% of pass attempts on their own side of the field since Week 15 — fifth-best in NFL.

Ravens WRs have 7 receiving touchdowns this season — tied for third-fewest in NFL. The Bengals have allowed 17 receiving touchdowns this season — tied for third-fewest in NFL.

Baltimore Ravens Offense: Important Stats for AFC Wild Card game

The Ravens have targeted WRs 41% of the time (198 Pass Attempts/488 plays) this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 57%.

The Ravens have thrown the ball 12% of the time (8 Pass Attempts/64 plays) on 3rd and short this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Ravens have targeted TEs 42% of the time (203 Pass Attempts/488 plays) this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 20%.

The Ravens have targeted TEs 34% of the time (376 Pass Attempts/1,099 plays) since the 2021 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 20%.

Cincinnati Bengals Offense: Important Stats for AFC Wild Card game

The Bengals had 21 TDs that were 20+ yards last season — most in NFL.

The Bengals have run 58% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 2nd half this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

The Bengals have thrown for 36 TDs this season — 2nd-most in NFL.

The Bengals ran successful plays on 8% of rush attempts in the 2nd half in Week 18 — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

Baltimore Ravens Defense: Important Stats for AFC Wild Card game

29% of the plays run against the Ravens have been in the red zone in the 4th quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 15%.

25% of the plays run against the Ravens have been in the red zone in the 4th quarter since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 16%.

The Ravens defense allowed 74 receptions for 20+ yards last season — most in NFL.

23% of the plays run against the Ravens have been in the red zone in the 2nd half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 14%.

Cincinnati Bengals Defense: Important Stats for AFC Wild Card game

The Bengals defense has allowed successful plays on 31% of pass attempts in the 3rd quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Bengals defense has allowed successful plays on 33% of plays in the 3rd quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Bengals defense has allowed a passer rating of just 80.0 (565 Pass Attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 89.1.

The Bengals defense has allowed successful plays on 36% of plays in the 3rd quarter since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.