Ravens vs Colts Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 1

A general overall interior view of Lucas Oil Stadium as Chicago Bears take on the Indianapolis Colts during an NFL football game, Sunday, Sept. 22, 2024, in Indianapolis. The Colts defeated the Bears 21-16. (AP Photo/Zach Bolinger)
(AP Photo/Zach Bolinger)
NEW: Promo Tokens This Week
  • The Ravens are -3.5 point favorites vs the Colts
  • Total (Over/Under): 49 points
  • Watch this game on CBS

The Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0) visit Lucas Oil Stadium to take on the Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0) on Sep. 13. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00 pm in Indianapolis, IN.

The Ravens are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-108).

The Ravens vs. Colts Over/Under is 49 total points for the game.

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Ravens vs. Colts Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Ravens-3.5 -10849 -135-185
Colts +3.5 -11049 +100+150

Ravens vs. Colts Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Colts will win this game with 58.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Ravens vs Colts Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Colts will cover the spread with 60.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Ravens players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Ravens Player Prop Bets Today

  • Lamar Jackson has hit the Longest Rush Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.95 Units / 73% ROI)
  • Derrick Henry has hit the Receptions Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+8.70 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Lamar Jackson has hit the Completions Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.80 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Derrick Henry has hit the Carries Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.65 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Zay Flowers has hit the Receptions Under in his last 6 away games (+6.25 Units / 88% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Colts players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Colts Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Tyler Warren has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.85 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Alec Pierce has hit the Longest Reception Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.65 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Alec Pierce has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.55 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Keenan Allen has hit the Receptions Under in 9 of his last 13 games (+5.20 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Tyler Warren has hit the Receptions Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+5.10 Units / 29% ROI)

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Colts vs Ravens

Player Name Anytime TD Odds
Jonathan Taylor -185
Derrick Henry -175
Zay Flowers +145
Mark Andrews +190
Tyler Warren +200

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Colts vs Ravens

Player Name Over Under
Zay Flowers 63.5 -115 63.5 -115
Tyler Warren 45.5 -111 45.5 -118
Rashod Bateman 24.5 -115 24.5 -115
Ja'Kobi Lane 20.5 -115 20.5 -115
Jonathan Taylor 17.5 -120 17.5 -110

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Colts vs Ravens

Player Name Over Under
Derrick Henry 78.5 -115 78.5 -115
Jonathan Taylor 75.5 -115 75.5 -115
Lamar Jackson 36.5 -111 36.5 -118
Daniel Jones 11.5 -111 11.5 -120
  • The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 1H Team Total Under in 14 of their last 17 games (+10.10 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 16 games (+9.95 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have covered the 4Q Spread in their last 5 away games (+5.05 Units / 87% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 4Q Moneyline in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 64% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 60% ROI)
  • The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.75 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 1H Team Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.45 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.20 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Indianapolis Colts have covered the 3Q Spread in 9 of their last 15 games (+4.05 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Indianapolis Colts have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+3.70 Units / 34% ROI)

Baltimore Ravens: Keys to the Game vs. the Indianapolis Colts

The Ravens were 3-6 (.333) at home (T-6th-lowest in NFL) and 5-3 (.625) on the road last season (T-7th-best in NFL).

The Ravens were 5-3 (.625) on the road (T-7th-best in NFL) and 3-6 (.333) at home last season (T-6th-lowest in NFL).

The Ravens were 1-4 (.200) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards last season — T-6th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .339.

The Ravens were 8-1 (.889) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season — 4th-best in NFL; League Avg: .659.

Indianapolis Colts: Keys to the Game vs. the Baltimore Ravens

The Colts were 7-1 (.875) when rushing for 100 or more yards (T-5th-best in NFL) and 1-8 (.111) when rushing for less than 100 yards last season (10th-lowest in NFL).

The Colts were 2-9 (.182) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season — 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .476.

The Colts were 1-8 (.111) when rushing for less than 100 yards last season — 10th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .315.

The Colts were 2-6 (.250) after a loss last season — T-5th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .413.

Additional Matchup Notes for Baltimore Ravens vs. Indianapolis Colts

The Colts ran 17.7% offensive plays in the red zone last season — 4th-best in NFL. The Ravens allowed their opponent to run 17.5% of plays in the red zone last season — 4th-highest in NFL.

The Colts scored on 50% of their drives in the second half last season — best in NFL. The Ravens defense allowed scores on 44% of opponent drives in the second half last season — 5th-highest in NFL.

The Colts had a third down conversion rate of 30.0% on 3rd and 10+ YTG in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 5th-best in NFL. The Ravens defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 41.7% on 3rd and 10+ YTG in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 2nd-highest in NFL.

The Ravens went three and out on 9.1% of their drives in the fourth quarter last season — T-best in NFL. The Colts forced three and outs on 7.5% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter last season — T-2nd-lowest in NFL.

The Ravens were successful on 63.2% of plays they ran on play action passes in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Colts allowed a success rate of 59.4% on play action passes in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 5th-highest in NFL.

Ravens WRs averaged just 12.4 targets per game last season — lowest in NFL. The Colts allowed 13.4 receptions per game to WRs last season — highest in NFL.

Baltimore Ravens Offense: Important Stats

49% of the Ravens offense’s first downs (141 of 287) came through the air last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 62%.

The Ravens had a third down conversion rate of 34% against open coverage last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 52%.

The Ravens averaged 6.7 yards per play in the 2nd half last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 5.7.

The Ravens threw the ball 9% of the time (4 Pass Attempts/46 plays) on second and 1-3 yards to go last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 31%.

Indianapolis Colts Offense: Important Stats

The Colts ran successful plays on 52% of pass attempts on motion plays last season — 4th-best in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

The Colts scored on 51% of their drives (20/39) in the 3rd quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 32%.

The Colts went three and out on 12% of their drives in the 1st quarter last season — 4th-best in NFL; League Avg: 20%.

The Colts ran successful plays on 16% of rush attempts against a light front last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 40%.

Baltimore Ravens Defense: Important Stats

The Ravens defense allowed a late down conversion rate of 7% when opponents had 4-6 yards to go last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 10%.

The Ravens defense allowed 64 receptions for 20+ yards last season — most in NFL.

Offenses facing the Ravens targeted TEs 18% of the time (112 Pass Attempts/625 plays) last season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 23%.

The Ravens defense sacked opposing QBs on just 5% of pass attempts (30/655) last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 7%.

Indianapolis Colts Defense: Important Stats

The Colts defense allowed 4 TDs that were 20+ yards last season — T-fewest in NFL.

18% of the plays ran against the Colts were in the red zone last season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 15%.

The Colts defense allowed successful plays on 39% of plays on contested throws last season — 5th-worst in NFL; League Avg: 33%.

The Colts defense allowed scores on 45% of opponent drives (24/53) in the 4th quarter last season — 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: 36%.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.