Ravens vs Dolphins Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NFL, Week 9

A Miami Dolphins football helmet sits on the grass during an NFL football game between the New England Patriots and the Miami Dolphins Sunday, Sept. 11, 2022, in Miami Gardens, Fla. (AP Photo/Doug Murray)
(AP Photo/Doug Murray)
  • The Ravens are -7.5 point favorites vs the Dolphins
  • Total (Over/Under): 50.5 points
  • Watch this game on Amazon

The Baltimore Ravens (2-5-0) visit Hard Rock Stadium to take on the Miami Dolphins (2-6-0) on Oct. 30. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15pm EDT in Miami, FL.

The Ravens are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).

The Ravens vs. Dolphins Over/Under is 50.5 total points for the game.

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Ravens vs. Dolphins Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Ravens-7.5 -11050.5 -110-425
Dolphins +7.5 -11050.5 -110325

Ravens vs. Dolphins Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Ravens will win this game with 77.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Ravens vs Dolphins Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Dolphins will cover the spread with 57.1% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Ravens players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Ravens Player Prop Bets Today

  • Lamar Jackson has hit the TD Passes Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.35 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Lamar Jackson has hit the Carries Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.80 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Derrick Henry has hit the Receptions Under in 11 of his last 18 games (+6.30 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Lamar Jackson has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+4.95 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Lamar Jackson has hit the Interceptions Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+4.80 Units / 20% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Dolphins players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dolphins Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Malik Washington has hit the Receptions Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+8.16 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Devon Achane has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 12 of his last 18 games (+5.15 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Malik Washington has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+4.85 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Ollie Gordon II has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Devon Achane has hit the Carries Under in 12 of his last 18 games (+4.75 Units / 23% ROI)

First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Dolphins vs Ravens

Player Name 1st TD Odds
Lamar Jackson (BAL) +1100
Derrick Henry (BAL) +450
Justice Hill (Bal) +3000
Keaton Mitchell (BAL) +6600
Rasheen Ali (BAL) +8000

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Dolphins vs Ravens

Player Name Over Under
Malik Washington (MIA) 28.5 -115 28.5 -115
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine (MIA) 17.5 -110 17.5 -118
DeAndre Hopkins (BAL) 15.5 -115 15.5 -115
Isaiah Likely (BAL) 21.5 -130 21.5 +100
De'Von Achane (MIA) 31.5 -118 31.5 -110

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Dolphins vs Ravens

Player Name Over Under
De'Von Achane (MIA) 63.5 +100 63.5 -135
Derrick Henry (BAL) 90.5 -115 90.5 -115
Lamar Jackson (BAL) 34.5 -110 34.5 -118
Ollie Gordon II (MIA) 19.5 -110 19.5 -120
  • The Baltimore Ravens have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.15 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+7.40 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 games (+5.17 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.70 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 games (+4.15 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Miami Dolphins have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.40 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Miami Dolphins have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.05 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Miami Dolphins have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+7.40 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Miami Dolphins have hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 games (+7.08 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Miami Dolphins have hit the 2H Game Total Over in their last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 90% ROI)

Ravens Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Ravens are 2-5 (-3.55 Units / -45.51% ROI).

  • Ravens are 2-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -5 Units / -29.5% ROI
  • Ravens are 6-1 when betting the Over for +4.9 Units / 63.64% ROI
  • Ravens are 1-6 when betting the Under for -5.6 Units / ROI

Dolphins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Dolphins are 4-4 (-0.4 Units / -4.49% ROI).

  • Dolphins are 2-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.75 Units / -30.22% ROI
  • Dolphins are 6-1 when betting the Over for +4.9 Units / 55.68% ROI
  • Dolphins are 1-6 when betting the Under for -5.6 Units / -63.64% ROI

Baltimore Ravens: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Dolphins

The Dolphins defense has allowed a Completion Pct of 74% (165 completions/224 attempts) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 66%.

The Dolphins defense has allowed 20+ yard rushes 10 times this season — T-most in NFL.

The Dolphins defense has allowed successful plays on 59% of pass attempts in the 1st half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

The Dolphins defense has allowed 12 first down receptions on 3rd and short this season — most in NFL.

Miami Dolphins: Keys to the Game vs. the Baltimore Ravens

The Dolphins have run successful plays on 31% of rush attempts in the 3rd quarter this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Dolphins have run successful plays on 31% of plays in the 3rd quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Dolphins have run 21% of their plays in the red zone in the 1st half this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: 14%.

The Dolphins have averaged -0.86 epa per play against tight coverage this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.48.

Additional Matchup Notes for Baltimore Ravens vs. Miami Dolphins

The Dolphins have run successful plays on 31% of rush attempts in the 3rd quarter this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Dolphins have run successful plays on 31% of plays in the 3rd quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Dolphins have run 21% of their plays in the red zone in the 1st half this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: 14%.

The Dolphins have averaged -0.86 epa per play against tight coverage this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.48.

The Dolphins defense has allowed a Completion Pct of 74% (165 completions/224 attempts) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 66%.

The Dolphins defense has allowed 20+ yard rushes 10 times this season — T-most in NFL.

The Dolphins defense has allowed successful plays on 59% of pass attempts in the 1st half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

The Dolphins defense has allowed 12 first down receptions on 3rd and short this season — most in NFL.

Baltimore Ravens Offense: Important Stats

The Dolphins defense has allowed a Completion Pct of 74% (165 completions/224 attempts) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 66%.

The Dolphins defense has allowed 20+ yard rushes 10 times this season — T-most in NFL.

The Dolphins defense has allowed successful plays on 59% of pass attempts in the 1st half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

The Dolphins defense has allowed 12 first down receptions on 3rd and short this season — most in NFL.

Miami Dolphins Offense: Important Stats

The Dolphins have run successful plays on 31% of rush attempts in the 3rd quarter this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Dolphins have run successful plays on 31% of plays in the 3rd quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Dolphins have run 21% of their plays in the red zone in the 1st half this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: 14%.

The Dolphins have averaged -0.86 epa per play against tight coverage this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.48.

Baltimore Ravens Defense: Important Stats

The Dolphins defense has allowed a Completion Pct of 74% (165 completions/224 attempts) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 66%.

The Dolphins defense has allowed 20+ yard rushes 10 times this season — T-most in NFL.

The Dolphins defense has allowed successful plays on 59% of pass attempts in the 1st half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

The Dolphins defense has allowed 12 first down receptions on 3rd and short this season — most in NFL.

Miami Dolphins Defense: Important Stats

The Dolphins have run successful plays on 31% of rush attempts in the 3rd quarter this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Dolphins have run successful plays on 31% of plays in the 3rd quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Dolphins have run 21% of their plays in the red zone in the 1st half this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: 14%.

The Dolphins have averaged -0.86 epa per play against tight coverage this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.48.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.