Ravens vs Jaguars Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 12

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 27, 2022, 10:28 AM
  • The Ravens (7-3) are -4 point favorites vs the Jaguars (3-7)
  • Total (Over/Under): 44 points
  • Watch the game on CBS

The Baltimore Ravens (7-3) visit TIAA Bank Field to take on the Jacksonville Jaguars (3-7) on Nov. 27. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Jacksonville.

The Ravens are betting favorites in Week 12, with the spread sitting at -4 (-110).

The Ravens vs. Jaguars Over/Under is 43.5 total points for the game.

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Ravens vs. Jaguars Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 12

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Ravens-4 -11043.5 -110-200
Jaguars +4 -11043.5 -110+165

Ravens vs. Jaguars Prediction for Week 12

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Ravens will win this Week 12 game with 60.5% confidence.

Ravens vs Jaguars Spread Prediction for Week 12

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Jaguars will cover the spread this Week 12 with 56.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Ravens and Jaguars, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Ravens Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Ravens players for Week 12, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Mark Andrews has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.10 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Mark Andrews has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 16 games (+4.35 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Devin Duvernay has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 away games (+3.80 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Lamar Jackson has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 4 of his last 5 away games (+2.95 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Lamar Jackson has hit the Completions Under in 5 of his last 7 away games (+2.25 Units / 25% ROI)

Best Jaguars Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Jaguars players for Week 12, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Zay Jones has hit the Receptions Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+10.80 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Trevor Lawrence has hit the Completions Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.35 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Travis Etienne has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.85 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Christian Kirk has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 16 games (+3.90 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Trevor Lawrence has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+3.80 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+9.30 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have scored first in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.50 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.35 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 1H Game Total Under in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 away games (+5.85 Units / 65% ROI)
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have scored first in 9 of their last 13 games (+6.65 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+6.10 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+6.05 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the Game Total Under in their last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 92% ROI)
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have covered the 3Q Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.85 Units / 35% ROI)

Ravens Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Ravens have gone 4-5 (-1.55 Units / -14.09% ROI).

  • Ravens are 7-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.05 Units / 9.03% ROI
  • Ravens are 3-7 when betting the Over for -4.7 Units / -42.73% ROI
  • Ravens are 7-3 when betting the Under for +3.7 Units / ROI

Jaguars Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Jaguars have gone 3-7 (-4.7 Units / -42.73% ROI).

  • Jaguars are 3-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.2 Units / -39.69% ROI
  • Jaguars are 4-6 when betting the Over for -2.65 Units / -23.98% ROI
  • Jaguars are 6-4 when betting the Under for +1.6 Units / 14.61% ROI

Baltimore Ravens: Keys to the Game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars

The Ravens are 7-1 (.875) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .580.

The Ravens are 9-3 (.750) when forcing at least one fumble since the 2021 season — 8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .611.

The Ravens are winless (0-4) when allowing more than 50% of third down conversions opportunities since the 2020 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .303.

The Ravens are undefeated (3-0) since Week 8 — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .500.

Jacksonville Jaguars: Keys to the Game vs. the Baltimore Ravens

The Jaguars are winless (0-11) on the road since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .469.

The Jaguars are 3-5 (.375) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .775.

The Jaguars are winless (0-15) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .437.

The Jaguars are winless (0-5) when scoring less than 22 points this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .269.

Additional Matchup Notes for Baltimore Ravens vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

The Jaguars have run 16.9% offensive plays in the red zone this season — third-best in NFL. Ravens has allowed their opponent to run 17.5% of plays in the red zone this season — fourth-worst in NFL.

Jaguars WRs have 45 receptions in 3 games (15.0 per game) since Week 7 — fourth-best in NFL. The Ravens have allowed 14.7 receptions per game to WRs since Week 7 — tied for fourth-worst in NFL.

Jaguars WRs have been targeted 17 times inside the 10 yardline this season — tied for third-most in NFL. The Ravens have allowed 6 receiving touchdowns inside the 10 yardline to WRs this season — tied for second-most in NFL.

Ravens TEs have 74.3 receiving yards per game since Week 7 — third-best in NFL. The Jaguars have allowed an average of78.7 receiving yards per game to TEs since Week 7 — second-worst in NFL.

Baltimore Ravens Offense: Important Stats for Week 12

The Ravens have targeted WRs 41% of the time (118 Pass Attempts/290 plays) this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 57%.

The Ravens threw the ball 24% of the time (13 Pass Attempts/55 plays) on 3rd and short last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 48%.

The Ravens have targeted TEs 40% of the time (116 Pass Attempts/290 plays) this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 20%.

The Ravens ran successful plays on 58% of rush attempts in the 4th quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

Jacksonville Jaguars Offense: Important Stats for Week 12

The Jaguars have committed 4 turnovers in the red zone this season — tied for most in NFL.

The Jaguars have run successful plays on 61% of pass attempts in the 3rd quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

The Jaguars ran 37% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 2nd half last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

The Jaguars converted first downs on just 46 of 187 plays (25%) in close and late situations last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 29%.

Baltimore Ravens Defense: Important Stats for Week 12

32% of the plays run against the Ravens have been in the red zone in the 4th quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 16%.

24% of the plays run against the Ravens have been in the red zone in the 4th quarter since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 16%.

The Ravens defense averaged a turnover percentage of 6% (3 / 54) in Week 11 — best in NFL; League Avg: 1%.

The Ravens defense allowed 74 receptions for 20+ yards last season — most in NFL.

Jacksonville Jaguars Defense: Important Stats for Week 12

The Jaguars defense has allowed successful plays on 23% of rush attempts in the 1st quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

The Jaguars defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 17% on 3rd and short since Week 8 — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 63%.

The Jaguars defense intercepted 6 of 542 attempts (90.3 pass attempts per int.) last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 42.6.

The Jaguars defense have allowed 48 broken tackles this season — most in NFL.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.