Ravens vs Packers Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 17

BetMGM Betting Dec 27, 2025, 11:11 AM

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(AP Photo/Tyler Kaufman)

The Packers are -2.5 point favorites vs the Ravens
Total (Over/Under): 40.5 points
Watch this game on PEAC

The Baltimore Ravens (7-8-0) visit Lambeau Field to take on the Green Bay Packers (9-5-1) on Dec. 27. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Green Bay, WI.

The Packers are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The Ravens vs. Packers Over/Under is 40.5 total points for the game.

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Ravens vs. Packers Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Ravens vs. Packers Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Packers will win this game with 56.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Ravens vs Packers Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Ravens will cover the spread with 52.4% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Ravens players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Ravens Player Prop Bets Today

Lamar Jackson has hit the Longest Rush Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.95 Units / 72% ROI)
Lamar Jackson has hit the Completions Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.30 Units / 40% ROI)
Derrick Henry has hit the Receptions Under in 13 of his last 19 games (+6.95 Units / 22% ROI)
Rashod Bateman has hit the Receptions Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+6.35 Units / 34% ROI)
Tylan Wallace has hit the Receptions Under in his last 6 games (+6.30 Units / 72% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Packers players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Packers Player Prop Best Bets Today

Jordan Love has hit the Completions Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+7.15 Units / 34% ROI)
Emanuel Wilson has hit the Longest Rush Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 88% ROI)
Jordan Love has hit the TD Passes Under in 12 of his last 19 games (+5.70 Units / 26% ROI)
Matthew Golden has hit the Receptions Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.45 Units / 93% ROI)
Jordan Love has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 12 of his last 18 games (+4.95 Units / 24% ROI)

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Packers vs Ravens

Player Name	Over	Under
Derrick Henry (BAL)	80.5 -115	80.5 -115

Ravens Best Bets:

The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.75 Units / 40% ROI)
The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 1H Team Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.50 Units / 31% ROI)
The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.60 Units / 44% ROI)
The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 away games (+4.70 Units / 36% ROI)
The Baltimore Ravens have covered the 3Q Spread in 6 of their last 8 away games (+4.20 Units / 47% ROI)

Packers Best Bets:

The Green Bay Packers have hit the 1H Team Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games (+6.85 Units / 27% ROI)
The Green Bay Packers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+6.80 Units / 67% ROI)
The Green Bay Packers have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.30 Units / 30% ROI)
The Green Bay Packers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+3.00 Units / 14% ROI)
The Green Bay Packers have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 11 games at home (+2.47 Units / 19% ROI)

Ravens Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Ravens are 5-10 (-6.05 Units / -36.45% ROI).

Ravens are 7-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.7 Units / -17.65% ROI
Ravens are 9-6 when betting the Over for +2.4 Units / 14.55% ROI
Ravens are 6-9 when betting the Under for -3.9 Units / ROI

Packers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Packers are 6-9 (-3.9 Units / -23.35% ROI).

Packers are 9-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.05 Units / -12.87% ROI
Packers are 8-7 when betting the Over for +0.3 Units / 1.82% ROI
Packers are 7-8 when betting the Under for -1.8 Units / -10.91% ROI

Baltimore Ravens: Keys to the Game vs. the Green Bay Packers

The Packers have converted first downs on 31 of 76 plays (41%) on 3rd and long this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 25%.

The Packers have run 60% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 2nd half this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 49%.

The Packers have averaged 5.7 yards per play against tight coverage this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 3.1.

The Packers have converted late downs on 28 of 251 plays (11%) with 7-10 yards to go this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 6%.

Green Bay Packers: Keys to the Game vs. the Baltimore Ravens

The Packers defense has allowed successful plays on 35% of pass attempts in the 1st quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

The Packers defense has allowed a passer rating of 54.9 with tight coverage (115 Pass Attempts) this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 23.7.

The Packers defense has allowed first downs on just 14% of plays on 3rd and long this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 25%.

The Packers defense has not allowed a first down on any of their opponents’ 9 rush attempts on 3rd and long this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: 21%.

Additional Matchup Notes for Baltimore Ravens vs. Green Bay Packers