- The Ravens (1-1) are -2.5 point favorites vs the Patriots (1-1)
- Total (Over/Under): 45 points
- Watch the game on FOX
The Baltimore Ravens (1-1) visit Gillette Stadium to take on the New England Patriots (1-1) on Sep. 25. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Foxborough.
The Ravens are betting favorites in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).
The Ravens vs. Patriots Over/Under is 45 total points for the game.
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Ravens vs. Patriots Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 3
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Baltimore Ravens | -2.5 -115 | 45 -110 | -145 |
| New England Patriots | +2.5 -105 | 45 -110 | +120 |
Ravens vs. Patriots Prediction for Week 3
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Ravens will win this Week 3 game with 53.5% confidence.
Ravens vs Patriots Spread Prediction for Week 3
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Patriots will cover the spread this Week 3 with 62.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Ravens and Patriots, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Best Ravens Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Ravens players for Week 3, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Patriots Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Patriots players for Week 3, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Patriots vs Ravens
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Mark Andrews | +800 |
| Damien Harris | +900 |
| Lamar Jackson | +1000 |
| Rashod Bateman | +1100 |
| Rhamondre Stevenson | +1100 |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Patriots vs Ravens
| Player Name | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Damien Harris | +115 |
| Mark Andrews | +130 |
| Lamar Jackson | +155 |
| Rhamondre Stevenson | +155 |
| Rashod Bateman | +185 |
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Patriots vs Ravens
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Damien Harris | 11.5 -110 | 11.5 -115 |
| Mark Andrews | 57.5 -115 | 57.5 -115 |
| Rashod Bateman | 46.5 -115 | 46.5 -115 |
| Demarcus Robinson | 14.5 -115 | 14.5 -115 |
| Devin Duvernay | 25.5 -115 | 25.5 -110 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Patriots vs Ravens
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Lamar Jackson | 51.5 -115 | 51.5 -110 |
| Rhamondre Stevenson | 37.5 -115 | 37.5 -110 |
| Mac Jones | 6.5 -115 | 6.5 -115 |
| Damien Harris | 47.5 -115 | 47.5 -115 |
Ravens Betting Trends: ATS, Moneyline, Over/Under
Patriots Betting Trends: ATS, Moneyline, Over/Under
Ravens Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Ravens have gone 1-1 (-0.05 Units / -2.33% ROI).
- Ravens are 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.65 Units / -14.29% ROI
- Ravens are 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Ravens are 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / ROI
Patriots Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Patriots have gone 0-1 (-1.05 Units / -48.84% ROI).
- Patriots are 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- Patriots are 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
- Patriots are 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
Baltimore Ravens: Keys to the Game vs. the New England Patriots
The Ravens were winless (0-1) when rushing less than 20 times last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .121.
The Ravens are 4-9 (.308) when not forcing a fumble since the 2021 season — tied for 7th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .416.
The Ravens are winless (0-1) when rushing at least 4 yards less than 5 times in a game since the 2019 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .326.
The Ravens are 5-1 (.833) when forcing at least one fumble since the 2021 season — tied for 5th-best in NFL; League Avg: .618.
New England Patriots: Keys to the Game vs. the Baltimore Ravens
The Patriots were winless (0-3) when rushing less than 20 times last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .121.
The Patriots were undefeated (5-0) when not committing any turnovers last season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .731.
The Patriots were 2-4 (.333) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times last season — tied for 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .165.
The Patriots are 2-4 (.333) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2021 season — tied for 4th-best in NFL; League Avg: .172.
Additional Matchup Notes for Baltimore Ravens vs. New England Patriots
The Patriots had a third down conversion rate of 56.2% last week — fourth-best in NFL. The Ravens defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 63.6% in Week 2 — second-worst in NFL.
The Patriots have a third down conversion rate of 50.0% in the second half this season — tied for fifth-best in NFL. The Ravens defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 53.3% in the second half this season — tied for fourth-worst in NFL.
Patriots RBs have averaged 8.4 yards after the catch since the 2021 season — tied for fourth-best in NFL. The Ravens have allowed 8.5 yards after catch per reception to RBs since the 2021 season — tied for fourth-worst in NFL.
The Ravens are averaging just 2.6 yards per carry this season — worst in NFL. The Patriots have allowed just 3.6 yards per carry this season — fourth-best in NFL.
Ravens RBs have averaged just 39.5 rushing yards per game this season — worst in NFL. The Patriots have allowed an average of just 78.0 rushing yards per game this season — fifth-best in NFL.
The Ravens allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 6.9% of pass attempts last week — second-best in NFL. The Patriots have pressured opposing QBs on just 9.1% of passing plays in Week 2 — fourth-worst in NFL.
Baltimore Ravens Offense: Important Stats for Week 3
The Ravens have thrown the ball 19% of the time (23 Pass Attempts/123 plays) on 3rd and short since the 2020 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
The Ravens have thrown the ball 21% of the time (34 Pass Attempts/163 plays) on 3rd and short since the 2019 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 49%.
The Ravens have 4 TDs that were 20+ yards this season — most in NFL.
The Ravens have thrown the ball 23% of the time (15 Pass Attempts/64 plays) on 3rd and short since the 2021 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 48%.
New England Patriots Offense: Important Stats for Week 3
The Patriots started 4 drives inside their own 20 yard line in the 1st quarter last season — tied for fewest in NFL.
The Patriots started 6 drives inside their own 10 yard line last season — 2nd-fewest in NFL.
The Patriots ran successful plays on 59% of pass attempts in the 1st quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
The Patriots started 30 drives inside their own 20 yard line last season — 2nd-fewest in NFL.
Baltimore Ravens Defense: Important Stats for Week 3
The Ravens defense allowed 35.0 points per game to opposing offenses (35 points / 1 games) in the 2nd half in Week 2 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 10.1.
The Ravens defense has allowed 388.0 receiving yards per game (776/2) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 242.8.
The Ravens defense has allowed 22.5 receptions per game (45/2) to WRs this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 12.9.
The Ravens defense allowed an average of 67.2 fantasy points per game as a unit to WRs in Week 2 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 23.8.
New England Patriots Defense: Important Stats for Week 3
The Patriots defense has allowed 7 rushing TDs on 76 carries (10.9 Carries Per TD) in the red zone since the 2021 season — best Carries Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.3.
The Patriots defense allowed just 6.6 points per game to opposing offenses (112 points / 17 games) in the 2nd half last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 10.9.
The Patriots defense allowed a passer rating of just 73.4 (539 Pass Attempts) last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 90.8.
The Patriots defense allowed 9 rushing TDs on 450 carries (50 Carries Per TD) last season — best Carries Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 27.9.
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