Ravens vs Patriots Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 3

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 25, 2022, 10:44 AM
  • The Ravens (1-1) are -2.5 point favorites vs the Patriots (1-1)
  • Total (Over/Under): 45 points
  • Watch the game on FOX

The Baltimore Ravens (1-1) visit Gillette Stadium to take on the New England Patriots (1-1) on Sep. 25. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Foxborough.

The Ravens are betting favorites in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The Ravens vs. Patriots Over/Under is 45 total points for the game.

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Ravens vs. Patriots Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 3

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Baltimore Ravens-2.5 -11545 -110-145
New England Patriots +2.5 -10545 -110+120

Ravens vs. Patriots Prediction for Week 3

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Ravens will win this Week 3 game with 53.5% confidence.

Ravens vs Patriots Spread Prediction for Week 3

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Patriots will cover the spread this Week 3 with 62.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Ravens and Patriots, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Ravens Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Ravens players for Week 3, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Mark Andrews has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+8.70 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Mark Andrews has hit the Receptions Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+8.40 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Lamar Jackson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 6 away games (+6.10 Units / 86% ROI)
  • Lamar Jackson has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.70 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Mike Davis has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.55 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Best Patriots Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Patriots players for Week 3, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jonnu Smith has hit the Receptions Under in his last 10 games (+10.25 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Kendrick Bourne has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.60 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Mac Jones has hit the Interceptions Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+6.45 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Kendrick Bourne has hit the Receptions Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+6.35 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Mac Jones has hit the TD Passes Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+5.05 Units / 66% ROI)
  • First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Patriots vs Ravens

    Player Name 1st TD Odds
    Mark Andrews +800
    Damien Harris +900
    Lamar Jackson +1000
    Rashod Bateman +1100
    Rhamondre Stevenson +1100

    Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Patriots vs Ravens

    Player Name Anytime TD Odds
    Damien Harris +115
    Mark Andrews +130
    Lamar Jackson +155
    Rhamondre Stevenson +155
    Rashod Bateman +185

    Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Patriots vs Ravens

    Player Name Over Under
    Damien Harris 11.5 -110 11.5 -115
    Mark Andrews 57.5 -115 57.5 -115
    Rashod Bateman 46.5 -115 46.5 -115
    Demarcus Robinson 14.5 -115 14.5 -115
    Devin Duvernay 25.5 -115 25.5 -110

    Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Patriots vs Ravens

    Player Name Over Under
    Lamar Jackson 51.5 -115 51.5 -110
    Rhamondre Stevenson 37.5 -115 37.5 -110
    Mac Jones 6.5 -115 6.5 -115
    Damien Harris 47.5 -115 47.5 -115
  • The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 17 games (+11.85 Units / 61% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.75 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have scored first in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.10 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+5.05 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.95 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The New England Patriots have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+9.25 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The New England Patriots have covered the 4Q Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.90 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The New England Patriots have covered the 2H Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.55 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The New England Patriots have hit the 2H Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.50 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The New England Patriots have hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+6.15 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Ravens Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this NFL season, the Ravens have gone 1-1 (-0.05 Units / -2.33% ROI).

    • Ravens are 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.65 Units / -14.29% ROI
    • Ravens are 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
    • Ravens are 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / ROI

    Patriots Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this NFL season, the Patriots have gone 0-1 (-1.05 Units / -48.84% ROI).

    • Patriots are 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
    • Patriots are 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
    • Patriots are 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI

    Baltimore Ravens: Keys to the Game vs. the New England Patriots

    The Ravens were winless (0-1) when rushing less than 20 times last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .121.

    The Ravens are 4-9 (.308) when not forcing a fumble since the 2021 season — tied for 7th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .416.

    The Ravens are winless (0-1) when rushing at least 4 yards less than 5 times in a game since the 2019 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .326.

    The Ravens are 5-1 (.833) when forcing at least one fumble since the 2021 season — tied for 5th-best in NFL; League Avg: .618.

    New England Patriots: Keys to the Game vs. the Baltimore Ravens

    The Patriots were winless (0-3) when rushing less than 20 times last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .121.

    The Patriots were undefeated (5-0) when not committing any turnovers last season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .731.

    The Patriots were 2-4 (.333) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times last season — tied for 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .165.

    The Patriots are 2-4 (.333) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2021 season — tied for 4th-best in NFL; League Avg: .172.

    Additional Matchup Notes for Baltimore Ravens vs. New England Patriots

    The Patriots had a third down conversion rate of 56.2% last week — fourth-best in NFL. The Ravens defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 63.6% in Week 2 — second-worst in NFL.

    The Patriots have a third down conversion rate of 50.0% in the second half this season — tied for fifth-best in NFL. The Ravens defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 53.3% in the second half this season — tied for fourth-worst in NFL.

    Patriots RBs have averaged 8.4 yards after the catch since the 2021 season — tied for fourth-best in NFL. The Ravens have allowed 8.5 yards after catch per reception to RBs since the 2021 season — tied for fourth-worst in NFL.

    The Ravens are averaging just 2.6 yards per carry this season — worst in NFL. The Patriots have allowed just 3.6 yards per carry this season — fourth-best in NFL.

    Ravens RBs have averaged just 39.5 rushing yards per game this season — worst in NFL. The Patriots have allowed an average of just 78.0 rushing yards per game this season — fifth-best in NFL.

    The Ravens allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 6.9% of pass attempts last week — second-best in NFL. The Patriots have pressured opposing QBs on just 9.1% of passing plays in Week 2 — fourth-worst in NFL.

    Baltimore Ravens Offense: Important Stats for Week 3

    The Ravens have thrown the ball 19% of the time (23 Pass Attempts/123 plays) on 3rd and short since the 2020 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

    The Ravens have thrown the ball 21% of the time (34 Pass Attempts/163 plays) on 3rd and short since the 2019 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 49%.

    The Ravens have 4 TDs that were 20+ yards this season — most in NFL.

    The Ravens have thrown the ball 23% of the time (15 Pass Attempts/64 plays) on 3rd and short since the 2021 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 48%.

    New England Patriots Offense: Important Stats for Week 3

    The Patriots started 4 drives inside their own 20 yard line in the 1st quarter last season — tied for fewest in NFL.

    The Patriots started 6 drives inside their own 10 yard line last season — 2nd-fewest in NFL.

    The Patriots ran successful plays on 59% of pass attempts in the 1st quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

    The Patriots started 30 drives inside their own 20 yard line last season — 2nd-fewest in NFL.

    Baltimore Ravens Defense: Important Stats for Week 3

    The Ravens defense allowed 35.0 points per game to opposing offenses (35 points / 1 games) in the 2nd half in Week 2 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 10.1.

    The Ravens defense has allowed 388.0 receiving yards per game (776/2) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 242.8.

    The Ravens defense has allowed 22.5 receptions per game (45/2) to WRs this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 12.9.

    The Ravens defense allowed an average of 67.2 fantasy points per game as a unit to WRs in Week 2 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 23.8.

    New England Patriots Defense: Important Stats for Week 3

    The Patriots defense has allowed 7 rushing TDs on 76 carries (10.9 Carries Per TD) in the red zone since the 2021 season — best Carries Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.3.

    The Patriots defense allowed just 6.6 points per game to opposing offenses (112 points / 17 games) in the 2nd half last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 10.9.

    The Patriots defense allowed a passer rating of just 73.4 (539 Pass Attempts) last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 90.8.

    The Patriots defense allowed 9 rushing TDs on 450 carries (50 Carries Per TD) last season — best Carries Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 27.9.

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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.