Ravens vs Steelers Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 14

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Pittsburgh Steelers head coach Mike Tomlin works during the first half of an NFL football game against the Atlanta Falcons, Sunday, Dec. 4, 2022, in Atlanta. The Pittsburgh Steelers won 19-16.
(AP Photo/Danny Karnik)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 11, 2022, 10:00 AM
  • The Steelers (5-7) are -2.5 point favorites vs the Ravens (8-4)
  • Total (Over/Under): 37 points
  • Watch the game on CBS

The Baltimore Ravens visit Acrisure Stadium to take on the Pittsburgh Steelers on Dec. 11. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Pittsburgh.

The Steelers are betting favorites in Week 14, with the spread sitting at -2 (-110).

The Ravens vs. Steelers Over/Under is 36.5 total points for the game.

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Ravens vs. Steelers Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 14

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Ravens+2 -11036.5 -110+110
Steelers -2 -11036.5 -110-130

Ravens vs. Steelers Prediction for Week 14

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Steelers will win this Week 14 game with 55.3% confidence.

Ravens vs Steelers Spread Prediction for Week 14

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Ravens will cover the spread this Week 14 with 53.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Ravens and Steelers, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Ravens Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Ravens players for Week 14, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Lamar Jackson has hit the Completions Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.05 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Devin Duvernay has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+4.80 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Mark Andrews has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 16 games (+4.15 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Lamar Jackson has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 5 of his last 6 away games (+3.95 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Mark Andrews has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 10 of his last 16 games (+2.85 Units / 15% ROI)

Best Steelers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Steelers players for Week 14, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Kenny Pickett has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 7 games (+7.45 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Najee Harris has hit the Carries Over in his last 6 games at home (+6.05 Units / 92% ROI)
  • Kenny Pickett has hit the Interceptions Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.65 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Pat Freiermuth has hit the Receptions Over in his last 5 games at home (+5.25 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Najee Harris has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 12 of his last 18 games (+4.20 Units / 18% ROI)

First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Steelers vs Ravens

Player Name 1st TD Odds
Najee Harris +650
Mark Andrews +800
Jaylen Warren +800
J.K. Dobbins +900
Gus Edwards +900

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Steelers vs Ravens

Player Name Anytime TD Odds
Najee Harris +115
Mark Andrews +130
Jaylen Warren +150
J.K. Dobbins +180
Gus Edwards +180

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Steelers vs Ravens

Player Name Over Under
Diontae Johnson 48.5 -110 48.5 -120
George Pickens 42.5 -110 42.5 -120
Pat Freiermuth 42.5 -110 42.5 -120
Mark Andrews 58.5 -115 58.5 -115
Najee Harris 10.5 -115 10.5 -115

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Steelers vs Ravens

Player Name Over Under
Kenny Pickett 20.5 -120 20.5 -110
Najee Harris 54.5 -110 54.5 -120
Tyler Huntley 39.5 -110 39.5 -120
Gus Edwards 34.5 -115 34.5 -115
J.K. Dobbins 35.5 -120 35.5 -110
  • The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 1H Game Total Under in their last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.70 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have scored first in 12 of their last 16 games (+6.60 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in their last 6 games (+6.05 Units / 92% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 away games (+5.85 Units / 65% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.90 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+5.45 Units / 69% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 12 games (+4.25 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.85 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+3.75 Units / 51% ROI)

Ravens Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Ravens have gone 4-7 (-3.8 Units / -28.68% ROI).

  • Ravens are 8-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.4 Units / 4.94% ROI
  • Ravens are 4-8 when betting the Over for -4.8 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • Ravens are 8-4 when betting the Under for +3.6 Units / ROI

Steelers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Steelers have gone 6-5 (+0.5 Units / 3.8% ROI).

  • Steelers are 5-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.8 Units / 13.9% ROI
  • Steelers are 5-7 when betting the Over for -2.7 Units / -20.45% ROI
  • Steelers are 7-5 when betting the Under for +1.5 Units / 11.36% ROI

Baltimore Ravens: Keys to the Game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers

The Ravens are 2-1 (.667) when rushing less than 25 times this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .302.

The Ravens are 4-2 (.667) at home this season — 9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .564.

The Ravens are 8-2 (.800) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season — 5th-best in NFL; League Avg: .584.

The Ravens are 6-3 (.667) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays this season — tied for 9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .547.

Pittsburgh Steelers: Keys to the Game vs. the Baltimore Ravens

The Steelers are winless (0-5) when committing 1 or more turnovers this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .404.

The Steelers are winless (0-4) when throwing 2 or more interceptions since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .210.

The Steelers are winless (0-5) when allowing 22 or more points this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .268.

The Steelers are 1-6 (.143) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays this season — tied for 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .437.

Additional Matchup Notes for Baltimore Ravens vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

The Steelers are averaging just 3.9 yards per carry on first down this season — tied for fourth-worst in NFL. The Ravens have allowed just 4.0 yards per carry on first down this season — tied for fifth-best in NFL.

The Steelers have a third down conversion rate of just 27.6% against the blitz this season — fifth-worst in NFL. The Ravens defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 16.7% when blitzing this season — best in NFL.

The Steelers have gone three and out on 7.1% of their drives in the fourth quarter since Week 10 — tied for third-best in NFL. Ravens have forced three and outs on 0% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter since Week 10 — tied for worst in NFL.

The Ravens have run successful plays on just 29.8% of pass attempts on their opponent’s side of the field since Week 10 — worst in NFL. Steelers have allowed successful plays on just 41.8% of pass attempts on their own side of the field since Week 10 — fourth-best in NFL.

Ravens TEs have 9 receiving touchdowns this season — second-most in NFL. The Steelers have allowed 24 receiving touchdowns this season — tied for most in NFL.

Ravens WRs have just 113.0 receiving yards per game since Week 10 — third-worst in NFL. The Steelers have averaged just 129.2 receiving yards per game allowed to WRs since Week 10 — fourth-best in NFL.

Baltimore Ravens Offense: Important Stats for Week 14

The Ravens have targeted WRs 41% of the time (149 Pass Attempts/359 plays) this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 57%.

The Ravens have targeted TEs 39% of the time (140 Pass Attempts/359 plays) this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 20%.

The Ravens ran the ball on 76% of plays (42 carries/55 plays) on 3rd and short last season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 49%.

The Ravens have targeted TEs 32% of the time (313 Pass Attempts/970 plays) since the 2021 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 20%.

Pittsburgh Steelers Offense: Important Stats for Week 14

The Steelers are averaging 32.0 drives per TD in the 3rd quarter this season — 2nd-worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.5.

The Steelers ran the ball on 27% of plays (39 carries/144 plays) in the red zone last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

The Steelers ran successful plays on 40% of pass attempts in the 1st half last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

The Steelers ran successful plays on 41% of pass attempts last season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

Baltimore Ravens Defense: Important Stats for Week 14

30% of the plays run against the Ravens have been in the red zone in the 4th quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 16%.

24% of the plays run against the Ravens have been in the red zone in the 4th quarter since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 17%.

The Ravens defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 25% in the 1st half this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

The Ravens defense allowed 74 receptions for 20+ yards last season — most in NFL.

Pittsburgh Steelers Defense: Important Stats for Week 14

The Steelers defense allowed 20+ yard rushes 24 times last season — most in NFL.

The Steelers defense sacked opposing QBs on 9% of pass attempts (55/618) last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 6%.

The Steelers defense has allowed 5 rushing TDs on 47 carries (9.4 Carries Per TD) in the red zone this season — 2nd-best Carries Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.2.

21% of the plays run against the Steelers have been in the red zone in the 3rd quarter this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 13%.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.