- The Browns (6-8) are -3 point favorites vs the Saints (5-9)
- Total (Over/Under): 31.5 points
- Watch the game on CBS
The New Orleans Saints (5-9) visit FirstEnergy Stadium to take on the Cleveland Browns (6-8) on Dec. 24. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Cleveland.
The Browns are betting favorites in Week 16, with the spread sitting at -3 (-110).
The Saints vs. Browns Over/Under is 32 total points for the game.
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Saints vs. Browns Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 16
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Saints | +3 -110 | 32 -110 | +140 |
| Browns | -3 -110 | 32 -110 | -165 |
Saints vs. Browns Prediction for Week 16
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Browns will win this Week 16 game with 62.3% confidence.
Saints vs Browns Spread Prediction for Week 16
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Browns will cover the spread this Week 16 with 53.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Saints and Browns, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Saints Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Saints players for Week 16, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jarvis Landry has hit the Receptions Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+8.00 Units / 53% ROI)
- Adam Trautman has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 5 away games (+5.15 Units / 103% ROI)
- Andy Dalton has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.10 Units / 32% ROI)
- Mark Ingram has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.25 Units / 37% ROI)
- Eno Benjamin has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 4 away games (+4.10 Units / 90% ROI)
Best Browns Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Browns players for Week 16, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jacoby Brissett has hit the Completions Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.90 Units / 70% ROI)
- Jacoby Brissett has hit the Passing Yards Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.85 Units / 70% ROI)
- Donovan Peoples-Jones has hit the Receptions Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+7.25 Units / 37% ROI)
- Nick Chubb has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+5.80 Units / 63% ROI)
- Amari Cooper has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+5.60 Units / 49% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Browns vs Saints
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Nick Chubb | +550 |
| Kareem Hunt | +750 |
| Amari Cooper | +800 |
| Alvin Kamara | +1000 |
| Taysom Hill | +1000 |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Browns vs Saints
| Player Name | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Nick Chubb | +100 |
| Alvin Kamara | +150 |
| Kareem Hunt | +155 |
| Amari Cooper | +175 |
| Taysom Hill | +200 |
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Browns vs Saints
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Kareem Hunt | 8.5 -110 | 8.5 -120 |
| Nick Chubb | 6.5 -115 | 6.5 -115 |
| Amari Cooper | 32.5 -110 | 32.5 -120 |
| David Njoku | 23.5 -115 | 23.5 -115 |
| Juwan Johnson | 24.5 -115 | 24.5 -115 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Browns vs Saints
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Deshaun Watson | 31.5 -110 | 31.5 -120 |
| Alvin Kamara | 64.5 -110 | 64.5 -120 |
| Taysom Hill | 45.5 -120 | 45.5 -110 |
| Nick Chubb | 82.5 -110 | 82.5 -120 |
| Kareem Hunt | 36.5 -115 | 36.5 -115 |
Saints Best Bets for Week 16:
- The New Orleans Saints have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
- The New Orleans Saints have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+4.10 Units / 71% ROI)
- The New Orleans Saints have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 away games (+3.85 Units / 49% ROI)
- The New Orleans Saints have hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.70 Units / 56% ROI)
- The New Orleans Saints have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 15 games (+3.35 Units / 20% ROI)
Browns Best Bets for Week 16:
- The Cleveland Browns have covered the 1Q Spread in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.75 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 9 games (+8.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.90 Units / 66% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have scored first in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.65 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.45 Units / 30% ROI)
Saints Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Saints have gone 5-9 (-4.9 Units / -32.03% ROI).
- Saints are 5-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.3 Units / -22.93% ROI
- Saints are 6-8 when betting the Over for -2.8 Units / -18.18% ROI
- Saints are 8-6 when betting the Under for +1.4 Units / ROI
Browns Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Browns have gone 7-7 (-0.75 Units / -4.93% ROI).
- Browns are 6-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.1 Units / -15.23% ROI
- Browns are 7-6 when betting the Over for +0.4 Units / 2.6% ROI
- Browns are 6-7 when betting the Under for -1.7 Units / -11.04% ROI
New Orleans Saints: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Browns
The Saints are winless (0-4) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .496.
The Saints are 1-6 (.143) when converting less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season — tied for 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .429.
The Saints are 4-1 (.800) when favorites this season — 6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .643.
The Saints are 2-6 (.250) when not forcing a fumble this season — tied for 5th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .432.
Cleveland Browns: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Saints
The Browns are 1-5 (.167) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes this season — tied for 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .461.
The Browns are 1-7 (.125) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays this season — tied for 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .412.
The Browns are winless (0-5) when allowing 300 or more passing yards since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .420.
The Browns are winless (0-10) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .212.
Additional Matchup Notes for New Orleans Saints vs. Cleveland Browns
The Browns have scored on 23.9% of their drives since Week 12 — tied for third-worst in NFL. The Saints defense has allowed scores on 30% of opponent drives since Week 12 — fourth-best in NFL.
The Browns have a third down conversion rate of just 21.9% against the blitz this season — second-worst in NFL. The Saints defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 20.8% when blitzing this season — second-best in NFL.
The Browns have scored on 23.8% of their drives in the first half since Week 12 — fourth-worst in NFL. The Saints defense has allowed scores on 25% of opponent drives in the first half since Week 12 — second-best in NFL.
The Saints have scored on 23.3% of their drives since Week 12 — second-worst in NFL. The Browns defense has allowed scores on 22.9% of opponent drives since Week 12 — second-best in NFL.
The Saints have scored on 11.1% of their drives in the fourth quarter since Week 12 — third-worst in NFL. The Browns defense has allowed scores on 13.3% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter since Week 12 — third-best in NFL.
The Saints rushed the ball on 60.0% of plays from scrimmage last week — second-highest in NFL. The Browns allowed 7.1 yards per carry in Week 14 — tied for second-worst in NFL.
New Orleans Saints Offense: Important Stats for Week 16
The Saints have run successful plays on 0% of rush attempts in the red zone since Week 12 of the 2021 Season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
The Saints have not recorded a TD in 9 drives in the 4th quarter since Week 12 of the 2021 Season — tied for worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.0.
The Saints have scored 2.1 points per Red Zone drive since Week 12 of the 2021 Season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 4.3.
The Saints threw the ball 10% of the time (6 Pass Attempts/62 plays) on second and 1-3 yards to go last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 32%.
Cleveland Browns Offense: Important Stats for Week 16
The Browns started 4 drives inside opposing territory in Week 15 — 2nd-most in NFL.
The Browns ran 97% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 2nd half in Week 15 — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
The Browns ran 100% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in close and late situations in Week 15 — best in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
The Browns are averaging 21.0 drives per TD in the 1st half since Week 12 of the 2021 Season — tied for worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 4.8.
New Orleans Saints Defense: Important Stats for Week 16
The Saints defense has intercepted 3 of 458 attempts (152.7 pass attempts per int.) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46.3.
Only 8% of the plays ran against the Saints were in the red zone in the 4th quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 17%.
The Saints defense has averaged 0.2 interceptions per game (3/14) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.7.
The Saints defense allowed successful plays on 37% of pass attempts in the 4th quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
Cleveland Browns Defense: Important Stats for Week 16
The Browns defense did not allow a TD in Week 15 — fewest in NFL.
The Browns defense allowed scores on 10% of opponent drives in Week 15 — best in NFL; League Avg: 34%.
The Browns defense has allowed a Completion Pct of just 53% (44 completions/83 attempts) in close and late situations this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 62%.
The Browns defense allowed successful plays on 23% of plays in the 4th quarter in Week 15 — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
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