Saints vs Browns Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 16

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Myles Garrett Cleveland Browns muscles
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 23, 2022, 10:30 AM
  • The Browns (6-8) are -3 point favorites vs the Saints (5-9)
  • Total (Over/Under): 31.5 points
  • Watch the game on CBS

The New Orleans Saints (5-9) visit FirstEnergy Stadium to take on the Cleveland Browns (6-8) on Dec. 24. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Cleveland.

The Browns are betting favorites in Week 16, with the spread sitting at -3 (-110).

The Saints vs. Browns Over/Under is 32 total points for the game.

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Saints vs. Browns Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 16

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Saints+3 -11032 -110+140
Browns -3 -11032 -110-165

Saints vs. Browns Prediction for Week 16

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Browns will win this Week 16 game with 62.3% confidence.

Saints vs Browns Spread Prediction for Week 16

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Browns will cover the spread this Week 16 with 53.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Saints and Browns, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Bet now on Browns vs Saints and all NFL games with BetMGM


Best Saints Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Saints players for Week 16, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jarvis Landry has hit the Receptions Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+8.00 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Adam Trautman has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 5 away games (+5.15 Units / 103% ROI)
  • Andy Dalton has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.10 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Mark Ingram has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.25 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Eno Benjamin has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 4 away games (+4.10 Units / 90% ROI)

Best Browns Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Browns players for Week 16, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jacoby Brissett has hit the Completions Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.90 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Jacoby Brissett has hit the Passing Yards Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.85 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Donovan Peoples-Jones has hit the Receptions Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+7.25 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Nick Chubb has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+5.80 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Amari Cooper has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+5.60 Units / 49% ROI)

First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Browns vs Saints

Player Name 1st TD Odds
Nick Chubb +550
Kareem Hunt +750
Amari Cooper +800
Alvin Kamara +1000
Taysom Hill +1000

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Browns vs Saints

Player Name Anytime TD Odds
Nick Chubb +100
Alvin Kamara +150
Kareem Hunt +155
Amari Cooper +175
Taysom Hill +200

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Browns vs Saints

Player Name Over Under
Kareem Hunt 8.5 -110 8.5 -120
Nick Chubb 6.5 -115 6.5 -115
Amari Cooper 32.5 -110 32.5 -120
David Njoku 23.5 -115 23.5 -115
Juwan Johnson 24.5 -115 24.5 -115

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Browns vs Saints

Player Name Over Under
Deshaun Watson 31.5 -110 31.5 -120
Alvin Kamara 64.5 -110 64.5 -120
Taysom Hill 45.5 -120 45.5 -110
Nick Chubb 82.5 -110 82.5 -120
Kareem Hunt 36.5 -115 36.5 -115
  • The New Orleans Saints have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Saints have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+4.10 Units / 71% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Saints have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 away games (+3.85 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Saints have hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.70 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Saints have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 15 games (+3.35 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Browns have covered the 1Q Spread in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.75 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Browns have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 9 games (+8.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Browns have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.90 Units / 66% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Browns have scored first in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.65 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Browns have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.45 Units / 30% ROI)

Saints Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Saints have gone 5-9 (-4.9 Units / -32.03% ROI).

  • Saints are 5-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.3 Units / -22.93% ROI
  • Saints are 6-8 when betting the Over for -2.8 Units / -18.18% ROI
  • Saints are 8-6 when betting the Under for +1.4 Units / ROI

Browns Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Browns have gone 7-7 (-0.75 Units / -4.93% ROI).

  • Browns are 6-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.1 Units / -15.23% ROI
  • Browns are 7-6 when betting the Over for +0.4 Units / 2.6% ROI
  • Browns are 6-7 when betting the Under for -1.7 Units / -11.04% ROI

New Orleans Saints: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Browns

The Saints are winless (0-4) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .496.

The Saints are 1-6 (.143) when converting less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season — tied for 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .429.

The Saints are 4-1 (.800) when favorites this season — 6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .643.

The Saints are 2-6 (.250) when not forcing a fumble this season — tied for 5th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .432.

Cleveland Browns: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Saints

The Browns are 1-5 (.167) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes this season — tied for 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .461.

The Browns are 1-7 (.125) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays this season — tied for 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .412.

The Browns are winless (0-5) when allowing 300 or more passing yards since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .420.

The Browns are winless (0-10) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .212.

Additional Matchup Notes for New Orleans Saints vs. Cleveland Browns

The Browns have scored on 23.9% of their drives since Week 12 — tied for third-worst in NFL. The Saints defense has allowed scores on 30% of opponent drives since Week 12 — fourth-best in NFL.

The Browns have a third down conversion rate of just 21.9% against the blitz this season — second-worst in NFL. The Saints defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 20.8% when blitzing this season — second-best in NFL.

The Browns have scored on 23.8% of their drives in the first half since Week 12 — fourth-worst in NFL. The Saints defense has allowed scores on 25% of opponent drives in the first half since Week 12 — second-best in NFL.

The Saints have scored on 23.3% of their drives since Week 12 — second-worst in NFL. The Browns defense has allowed scores on 22.9% of opponent drives since Week 12 — second-best in NFL.

The Saints have scored on 11.1% of their drives in the fourth quarter since Week 12 — third-worst in NFL. The Browns defense has allowed scores on 13.3% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter since Week 12 — third-best in NFL.

The Saints rushed the ball on 60.0% of plays from scrimmage last week — second-highest in NFL. The Browns allowed 7.1 yards per carry in Week 14 — tied for second-worst in NFL.

New Orleans Saints Offense: Important Stats for Week 16

The Saints have run successful plays on 0% of rush attempts in the red zone since Week 12 of the 2021 Season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

The Saints have not recorded a TD in 9 drives in the 4th quarter since Week 12 of the 2021 Season — tied for worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.0.

The Saints have scored 2.1 points per Red Zone drive since Week 12 of the 2021 Season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 4.3.

The Saints threw the ball 10% of the time (6 Pass Attempts/62 plays) on second and 1-3 yards to go last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 32%.

Cleveland Browns Offense: Important Stats for Week 16

The Browns started 4 drives inside opposing territory in Week 15 — 2nd-most in NFL.

The Browns ran 97% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 2nd half in Week 15 — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Browns ran 100% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in close and late situations in Week 15 — best in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

The Browns are averaging 21.0 drives per TD in the 1st half since Week 12 of the 2021 Season — tied for worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 4.8.

New Orleans Saints Defense: Important Stats for Week 16

The Saints defense has intercepted 3 of 458 attempts (152.7 pass attempts per int.) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46.3.

Only 8% of the plays ran against the Saints were in the red zone in the 4th quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 17%.

The Saints defense has averaged 0.2 interceptions per game (3/14) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.7.

The Saints defense allowed successful plays on 37% of pass attempts in the 4th quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

Cleveland Browns Defense: Important Stats for Week 16

The Browns defense did not allow a TD in Week 15 — fewest in NFL.

The Browns defense allowed scores on 10% of opponent drives in Week 15 — best in NFL; League Avg: 34%.

The Browns defense has allowed a Completion Pct of just 53% (44 completions/83 attempts) in close and late situations this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 62%.

The Browns defense allowed successful plays on 23% of plays in the 4th quarter in Week 15 — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.