Saints vs Panthers Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 3

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Baker Mayfield Carolina Panthers
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 25, 2022, 10:44 AM
  • The Saints (1-1) are -2 point favorites vs the Panthers (0-2)
  • Total (Over/Under): 41 points
  • Watch the game on FOX

The New Orleans Saints (1-1) visit Bank of America Stadium to take on the Carolina Panthers (0-2) on Sep. 25. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Charlotte.

The Saints are betting favorites in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -2 (-110).

The Saints vs. Panthers Over/Under is 41 total points for the game.

Bet now on Panthers vs Saints & all NFL games with BetMGM

Saints vs. Panthers Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 3

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
New Orleans Saints-2 -11041 -110-130
Carolina Panthers +2 -11041 -110+105

Saints vs. Panthers Prediction for Week 3

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Saints will win this Week 3 game with 62.3% confidence.

Saints vs Panthers Spread Prediction for Week 3

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Saints will cover the spread this Week 3 with 52.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Saints and Panthers, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Saints Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Saints players for Week 3, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Marquez Callaway has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.25 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Latavius Murray has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 81% ROI)
  • Taysom Hill has hit the Interceptions Under in his last 4 games (+4.55 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Tony Jones has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Adam Trautman has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 5 of his last 6 away games (+3.85 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Best Panthers Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Panthers players for Week 3, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Robby Anderson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.00 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Laviska Shenault Jr. has hit the Receptions Over in his last 6 games at home (+6.50 Units / 92% ROI)
  • Sam Darnold has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 6 games (+6.30 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Sam Darnold has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Sam Darnold has hit the Completions Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 79% ROI)
  • First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Panthers vs Saints

    Player Name 1st TD Odds
    Christian McCaffrey +600
    Alvin Kamara +750
    DJ Moore +900
    Michael Thomas +1000
    Robbie Anderson +1200

    Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Panthers vs Saints

    Player Name Anytime TD Odds
    Christian McCaffrey -105
    Alvin Kamara +110
    DJ Moore +155
    Michael Thomas +160
    Chris Olave +220

    Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Panthers vs Saints

    Player Name Over Under
    Christian McCaffrey 38.5 -110 38.5 -115
    Ian Thomas 13.5 -120 13.5 -110
    Jarvis Landry 39.5 -115 39.5 -115
    Robby Anderson 37.5 -115 37.5 -110
    Michael Thomas 53.5 -110 53.5 -115

    Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Panthers vs Saints

    Player Name Over Under
    Christian McCaffrey 59.5 -115 59.5 -115
    Baker Mayfield 10.5 -115 10.5 -115
    Alvin Kamara 54.5 -115 54.5 -115
    Mark Ingram II 28.5 -110 28.5 -120
  • The New Orleans Saints have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 away games (+8.75 Units / 60% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Saints have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.75 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Saints have hit the 2H Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 away games (+8.65 Units / 68% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Saints have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.65 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Saints have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.30 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Carolina Panthers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 17 games (+7.25 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Carolina Panthers have covered the 1Q Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.55 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Carolina Panthers have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.60 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Carolina Panthers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.75 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Carolina Panthers have scored first in 7 of their last 11 games (+4.65 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Saints Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this NFL season, the Saints have gone 0-2 (-2.25 Units / -100% ROI).

    • Saints are 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
    • Saints are 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
    • Saints are 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / ROI

    Panthers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this NFL season, the Panthers have gone 0-2 (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI).

    • Panthers are 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.4 Units / -100% ROI
    • Panthers are 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.15 Units / -6.67% ROI
    • Panthers are 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.65% ROI

    New Orleans Saints: Keys to the Game vs. the Carolina Panthers

    The Saints are 9-2 (.818) when not throwing an interception since the 2021 season — ninth-best in NFL. The Panthers have intercepted 9 passes since the 2021 season — tied for second-fewest in NFL.

    The Saints were 5-1-1 (.714) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season — tied for 6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .545.

    The Saints were undefeated (6-0-1) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .491.

    The Saints are 17-3 (.850) when not throwing an interception since the 2020 season — eighth-best in NFL. The Panthers have intercepted 16 passes since the 2020 season — fewest in NFL.

    Carolina Panthers: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Saints

    The Panthers are winless (0-7) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .422.

    The Panthers were 1-10 (.091) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .408.

    The Panthers are winless (0-7) since Week 11 — worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.

    The Panthers were winless (0-10) when allowing 22 or more points last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .267.

    Additional Matchup Notes for New Orleans Saints vs. Carolina Panthers

    The Panthers have run successful plays on just 39.7% of pass attempts since the 2021 season — second-worst in NFL. Saints have allowed successful plays on just 42.2% of pass attempts since the 2021 season — fourth-best in NFL.

    The Panthers have been successful on just 39.6% of plays they have run since the 2021 season — fourth-worst in NFL. Saints have allowed their opponents to be successful on just 37.8% of plays since the 2021 season — second-best in NFL.

    The Panthers have a third down conversion rate of just 12.3% on 3rd and 10+ YTG since the 2021 season — fourth-worst in NFL. The Saints defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 11.1% on 3rd and 10+ YTG since the 2021 season — third-best in NFL.

    The Saints have thrown for 3,942 passing yards in 19 games (just 207.5 YPG) since the 2021 season — third-worst in NFL. The Panthers have allowed just 186.9 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — second-best in NFL.

    Saints WRs have averaged just 2.0 yards after the catch this season — third-worst in NFL. The Panthers have allowed just 2.4 yards after catch per reception to WRs this season — second-best in NFL.

    Saints WRs have averaged just 2.8 yards after the catch since Week 17 of the 2021 Season — tied for second-worst in NFL. The Panthers have allowed just 3.0 yards after catch per reception to WRs since Week 17 of the 2021 Season — tied for best in NFL.

    New Orleans Saints Offense: Important Stats for Week 3

    The Saints went three and out 21 times in the 3rd quarter last season — most in NFL.

    The Saints went three and out on 40% of their drives in the 3rd quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 21%.

    The Saints have gone three and out on 40% of their drives in the 3rd quarter since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 20%.

    The Saints committed 5 turnovers in Week 2 — most in NFL.

    Carolina Panthers Offense: Important Stats for Week 3

    The Panthers averaged 16.0 drives per TD in the 3rd quarter last season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.2.

    The Panthers ran successful plays on 40% of pass attempts last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

    The Panthers are averaging 13.5 drives per TD in the 3rd quarter since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.2.

    The Panthers have run no plays in their opponent’s territory in the 1st quarter this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

    New Orleans Saints Defense: Important Stats for Week 3

    The Saints defense allowed successful plays on 32% of plays in the 4th quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

    Only 8% of the plays ran against the Saints were in the red zone in the 4th quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 17%.

    The Saints defense allowed a passer rating of just 61.1 when blitzing (128 Pass Attempts) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 91.5.

    The Saints defense allowed successful plays on 37% of plays last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

    Carolina Panthers Defense: Important Stats for Week 3

    The Panthers defense allowed successful plays on 32% of plays in the 1st quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

    The Panthers defense has allowed successful plays on 31% of pass attempts in the 1st quarter since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

    The Panthers defense has allowed successful plays on 32% of plays in the 1st quarter since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

    The Panthers defense has allowed just 8.1 yards per completion (323 yards/40 completions) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 10.8.

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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.