Saints vs Rams Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NFL, Week 9

General interior view of SoFi Stadium, the home of Los Angeles Rams before an NFL football game between the Los Angeles Rams and the Seattle Seahawks, Sunday, Jan. 5, 2025, in Inglewood, Calif. (AP Photo/Kyusung Gong)
(AP Photo/Kyusung Gong)
  • The Rams are -14 point favorites vs the Saints
  • Total (Over/Under): 44 points
  • Watch this game on FOX

The New Orleans Saints (1-7-0) visit SoFi Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Rams (5-2-0) on Nov. 2. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Inglewood, CA.

The Rams are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -14 (-105).

The Saints vs. Rams Over/Under is 44 total points for the game.

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Saints vs. Rams Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Saints+14 -11544 -110650
Rams -14 -10544 -110-1000

Saints vs. Rams Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Rams will win this game with 77.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Saints vs Rams Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Saints will cover the spread with 61.6% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Saints players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Saints Player Prop Bets Today

  • Rashid Shaheed has hit the Receptions Over in his last 8 games (+8.40 Units / 94% ROI)
  • Juwan Johnson has hit the Longest Reception Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.85 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Taysom Hill has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.75 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Alvin Kamara has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.40 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Foster Moreau has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 85% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Rams players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rams Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Matthew Stafford has hit the Interceptions Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+7.40 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Puka Nacua has hit the Receptions Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+5.75 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Matthew Stafford has hit the Carries Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+5.25 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Blake Corum has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+4.85 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Matthew Stafford has hit the TD Passes Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+4.20 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Saints have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.45 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Saints have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.15 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Saints have hit the 1H Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.75 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Saints have hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 8 away games (+1.20 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Saints have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 7 away games (+0.55 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.50 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have covered the 2Q Spread in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.60 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.55 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.55 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have covered the 2H Spread in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.32 Units / 29% ROI)

Saints Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Saints are 2-6 (-4.65 Units / -52.54% ROI).

  • Saints are 1-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -6 Units / -71.86% ROI
  • Saints are 3-5 when betting the Over for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI
  • Saints are 5-3 when betting the Under for +1.7 Units / ROI

Rams Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Rams are 5-2 (+2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI).

  • Rams are 5-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.4 Units / -2.48% ROI
  • Rams are 3-4 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
  • Rams are 4-3 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI

New Orleans Saints: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Rams

The Rams defense have allowed 0.05 epa per play open coverage this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 0.37.

The Rams defense has allowed 3.6 points per Red Zone drive this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 4.4.

The Rams defense has allowed just 1.4 TDs per game (10/7) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 2.5.

The Rams defense has allowed 10 TDs this season — fewest in NFL.

Los Angeles Rams: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Saints

The Saints committed 4 turnovers in Week 8 — most in NFL.

The Saints have averaged -0.71 epa per play on play action passes since Week 5 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.08.

The Saints have averaged just 4.5 yards per play in the 2nd half this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 5.8.

The Saints have averaged 0.08 epa per play against open coverage this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.37.

Additional Matchup Notes for New Orleans Saints vs. Los Angeles Rams

The Saints committed 4 turnovers in Week 8 — most in NFL.

The Saints have averaged -0.71 epa per play on play action passes since Week 5 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.08.

The Saints have averaged just 4.5 yards per play in the 2nd half this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 5.8.

The Saints have averaged 0.08 epa per play against open coverage this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.37.

The Rams defense have allowed 0.05 epa per play open coverage this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 0.37.

The Rams defense has allowed 3.6 points per Red Zone drive this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 4.4.

The Rams defense has allowed just 1.4 TDs per game (10/7) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 2.5.

The Rams defense has allowed 10 TDs this season — fewest in NFL.

New Orleans Saints Offense: Important Stats

The Rams defense have allowed 0.05 epa per play open coverage this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 0.37.

The Rams defense has allowed 3.6 points per Red Zone drive this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 4.4.

The Rams defense has allowed just 1.4 TDs per game (10/7) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 2.5.

The Rams defense has allowed 10 TDs this season — fewest in NFL.

Los Angeles Rams Offense: Important Stats

The Saints committed 4 turnovers in Week 8 — most in NFL.

The Saints have averaged -0.71 epa per play on play action passes since Week 5 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.08.

The Saints have averaged just 4.5 yards per play in the 2nd half this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 5.8.

The Saints have averaged 0.08 epa per play against open coverage this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.37.

New Orleans Saints Defense: Important Stats

The Rams defense have allowed 0.05 epa per play open coverage this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 0.37.

The Rams defense has allowed 3.6 points per Red Zone drive this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 4.4.

The Rams defense has allowed just 1.4 TDs per game (10/7) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 2.5.

The Rams defense has allowed 10 TDs this season — fewest in NFL.

Los Angeles Rams Defense: Important Stats

The Saints committed 4 turnovers in Week 8 — most in NFL.

The Saints have averaged -0.71 epa per play on play action passes since Week 5 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.08.

The Saints have averaged just 4.5 yards per play in the 2nd half this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 5.8.

The Saints have averaged 0.08 epa per play against open coverage this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.37.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.