Saints vs Titans Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 17

BetMGM Betting Dec 27, 2025, 11:11 AM

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A stadium view of Tennessee Titans' Nissan Field as fans begin to arrive before an NFL football game against the ,Jacksonville Jaguars Sunday, Dec. 11, 2022, in Nashville, Tenn. (AP Photo/Peter Joneleit)

(AP Photo/Peter Joneleit)

The Saints are -2.5 point favorites vs the Titans
Total (Over/Under): 39.5 points
Watch this game on CBS

The New Orleans Saints (5-10-0) visit Nissan Stadium to take on the Tennessee Titans (3-12-0) on Dec. 28. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Nashville, TN.

The Saints are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The Saints vs. Titans Over/Under is 39.5 total points for the game.

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Saints vs. Titans Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Saints vs. Titans Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Saints will win this game with 57.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Saints vs Titans Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Titans will cover the spread with 54.4% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Saints players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Saints Player Prop Bets Today

Chris Olave has hit the Receptions Under in his last 6 away games (+6.20 Units / 96% ROI)
Juwan Johnson has hit the Receptions Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+5.50 Units / 24% ROI)
Chris Olave has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+4.50 Units / 35% ROI)
Tyler Shough has hit the Carries Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.00 Units / 53% ROI)
Foster Moreau has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 56% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Titans players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Titans Player Prop Best Bets Today

Chigoziem Okonkwo has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+6.65 Units / 38% ROI)
Tyjae Spears has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.60 Units / 51% ROI)
Tyjae Spears has hit the Receptions Over in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 69% ROI)
Cameron Ward has hit the Interceptions Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.90 Units / 115% ROI)
Cameron Ward has hit the Completions Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+5.70 Units / 59% ROI)

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Titans vs Saints

Player Name	Over	Under
Chimere Dike (TEN)	30.5 -118	30.5 -110
Gunnar Helm (TEN)	26.5 -118	26.5 -110
Juwan Johnson (NO)	44.5 -115	44.5 -115
Elic Ayomanor (TEN)	29.5 -115	29.5 -115
Van Jefferson (TEN)	24.5 -115	24.5 -115

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Titans vs Saints

Player Name	Over	Under
Cam Ward (TEN)	5.5 -110	5.5 -120
Tony Pollard (TEN)	59.5 -118	59.5 -115

Saints Best Bets:

The New Orleans Saints have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.05 Units / 33% ROI)
The New Orleans Saints have hit the 2H Moneyline in 9 of their last 18 games (+5.09 Units / 26% ROI)
The New Orleans Saints have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 18 games (+3.15 Units / 16% ROI)
The New Orleans Saints have hit the 1H Team Total Under in 12 of their last 21 games (+3.10 Units / 13% ROI)
The New Orleans Saints have covered the 2H Spread in 11 of their last 18 games (+3.01 Units / 15% ROI)

Titans Best Bets:

The Tennessee Titans have covered the 4Q Spread in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+5.05 Units / 49% ROI)
The Tennessee Titans have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 17 games (+4.04 Units / 23% ROI)
The Tennessee Titans have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.42 Units / 21% ROI)
The Tennessee Titans have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.20 Units / 15% ROI)
The Tennessee Titans have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+3.00 Units / 29% ROI)

Saints Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Saints are 7-8 (-1.85 Units / -11.18% ROI).

Saints are 5-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.9 Units / -10.89% ROI
Saints are 4-11 when betting the Over for -8.1 Units / -49.09% ROI
Saints are 11-4 when betting the Under for +6.6 Units / ROI

Titans Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Titans are 7-8 (-1.8 Units / -10.84% ROI).

Titans are 3-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.45 Units / -36.33% ROI
Titans are 9-6 when betting the Over for +2.4 Units / 14.55% ROI
Titans are 6-9 when betting the Under for -3.9 Units / -23.64% ROI

New Orleans Saints: Keys to the Game vs. the Tennessee Titans

The Titans have run successful plays on 33% of plays on motion plays this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Titans have averaged -0.21 epa per play on motion plays this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.02.

The Titans have run 6% of their plays in the red zone in the 1st half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 14%.

The Titans have run successful plays on 21% of pass attempts on motion plays since Week 13 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

Tennessee Titans: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Saints

The Titans defense did not allow a successful play on any play in the 4th quarter in Week 16 — best in NFL; League Avg: 38%.

The Titans defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 11% in Week 16 — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

No plays run against the Titans have been in their own territory in close and late situations this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 54%.

The Titans defense has not allowed scores on any opponent drives (6 drives) in close and late situations this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 16%.

Additional Matchup Notes for New Orleans Saints vs. Tennessee Titans