Seahawks vs Chiefs Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 16

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 23, 2022, 10:30 AM
  • The Chiefs (11-3) are -9.5 point favorites vs the Seahawks (7-7)
  • Total (Over/Under): 48.5 points
  • Watch the game on FOX

The Seattle Seahawks (7-7) visit GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium to take on the Kansas City Chiefs (11-3) on Dec. 24. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Kansas City.

The Chiefs are betting favorites in Week 16, with the spread sitting at -10 (-110).

The Seahawks vs. Chiefs Over/Under is 50.5 total points for the game.

Bet now on Chiefs vs Seahawks & all NFL games with BetMGM

Seahawks vs. Chiefs Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 16

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Seahawks+10 -11050.5 -110+375
Chiefs -10 -11050.5 -110-500

Seahawks vs. Chiefs Prediction for Week 16

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Chiefs will win this Week 16 game with 86.0% confidence.

Seahawks vs Chiefs Spread Prediction for Week 16

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Chiefs will cover the spread this Week 16 with 55.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Seahawks and Chiefs, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Seahawks Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Seahawks players for Week 16, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Geno Smith has hit the TD Passes Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.90 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Geno Smith has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.90 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Rashaad Penny has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Geno Smith has hit the Completions Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.80 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Geno Smith has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)

Best Chiefs Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Chiefs players for Week 16, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Melvin Gordon has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.60 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Noah Gray has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 88% ROI)
  • Jerick McKinnon has hit the Receptions Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+6.80 Units / 90% ROI)
  • Isiah Pacheco has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Jerick McKinnon has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+5.85 Units / 65% ROI)

First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Chiefs vs Seahawks

Player Name 1st TD Odds
Travis Kelce +450
Isiah Pacheco +650
Jerrick McKinnon +700
JuJu Smith-Schuster +800
Kenneth Walker +800

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Chiefs vs Seahawks

Player Name Anytime TD Odds
Travis Kelce -190
Kenneth Walker -120
Jerrick McKinnon +100
Isiah Pacheco +100
JuJu Smith-Schuster +130

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Chiefs vs Seahawks

Player Name Over Under
Travis Kelce 77.5 -115 77.5 -115
DK Metcalf 75.5 -115 75.5 -115
Fant 26.5 -115 26.5 -115
Marquez Valdes-Scantling 33.5 -120 33.5 -115
Isiah Pacheco 9.5 -115 9.5 -115

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Chiefs vs Seahawks

Player Name Over Under
Isaih Pacheco 68.5 -110 68.5 -120
Geno Smith 16.5 -110 16.5 -120
Jerick McKinnon 29.5 -115 29.5 -120
Patrick Mahomes 17.5 -115 17.5 -115
  • The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+8.85 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 2H Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+7.35 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.70 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.40 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+6.20 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+8.50 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+7.35 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the Team Total Under in their last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 90% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in their last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.65 Units / 14% ROI)

Seahawks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Seahawks have gone 6-8 (-2.7 Units / -17.53% ROI).

  • Seahawks are 7-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.05 Units / 5.6% ROI
  • Seahawks are 8-6 when betting the Over for +1.35 Units / 8.74% ROI
  • Seahawks are 6-8 when betting the Under for -2.8 Units / ROI

Chiefs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Chiefs have gone 5-9 (-5 Units / -32.26% ROI).

  • Chiefs are 11-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.35 Units / 11.61% ROI
  • Chiefs are 7-7 when betting the Over for -0.7 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Chiefs are 7-7 when betting the Under for -0.7 Units / -4.55% ROI

Seattle Seahawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs

The Seahawks are 1-5 (.167) when not forcing a fumble this season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .432.

The Seahawks are 4-1 (.800) when allowing less than 3 explosive runs this season — tied for 7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .568.

The Seahawks are 4-2 (.667) on the road this season — tied for 4th-best in NFL; League Avg: .440.

The Seahawks are 3-10 (.231) when within 7 points at the two minute warning since the 2021 season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .493.

Kansas City Chiefs: Keys to the Game vs. the Seattle Seahawks

The Chiefs are 5-2 (.714) when rushing less than 25 times this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .318.

The Chiefs are 15-2 (.882) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2021 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .624.

The Chiefs are 7-0 (1.000) when possessing the ball longer than their opponent this season — tied for best in NFL. The Seahawks has allowed an average time of possession of 33 min and 21 s this season — highest in NFL.

The Chiefs are 11-6 (.647) when rushing less than 25 times since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .292.

Additional Matchup Notes for Seattle Seahawks vs. Kansas City Chiefs

The Chiefs have gone three and out on 14.4% of their drives this season — fourth-best in NFL. Seahawks have forced three and outs on 17% of opponent drives this season — fifth-worst in NFL.

The Chiefs have a third down conversion rate of 51.5% this season — best in NFL. The Seahawks defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 45.5% this season — fifth-worst in NFL.

Chiefs TEs have 108.4 receiving yards per game this season — best in NFL. The Seahawks have allowed an average of61.2 receiving yards per game to TEs this season — third-worst in NFL.

The Seahawks have 26 touchdown passes this season — fifth-most in NFL. The Chiefs have allowed 30 passing TDs this season — most in NFL.

The Seahawks have 9 touchdown passes since Week 12 — tied for third-most in NFL. The Chiefs have allowed 9 passing TDs since Week 12 — most in NFL.

Seahawks WRs have 18 receiving touchdowns this season — tied for fourth-most in NFL. The Chiefs have allowed 30 receiving touchdowns this season — most in NFL.

Seattle Seahawks Offense: Important Stats for Week 16

The Seahawks have 16 TDs that were 20+ yards this season — tied for most in NFL.

The Seahawks have 33 TDs that were 20+ yards since the 2021 season — most in NFL.

The Seahawks have converted first downs on 74 of 216 plays (34%) in the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 28%.

The Seahawks ran the ball on 23% of plays (14 carries/61 plays) in Week 15 — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

Kansas City Chiefs Offense: Important Stats for Week 16

The Chiefs have converted first downs on 34 of 70 plays (49%) on 3rd and long this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 25%.

The Chiefs had a third down conversion rate of 53% last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

The Chiefs have a third down conversion rate of 46% on third and 10+ yards to go this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 19%.

The Chiefs have a third down conversion rate of 52% since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 40%.

Seattle Seahawks Defense: Important Stats for Week 16

The Seahawks defense allowed 61.4 receiving yards per game (1,044/17) to RBs last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 36.4.

The Seahawks defense has allowed 851 rushing yards since Week 12 of the 2021 Season — most in NFL.

The Seahawks defense has allowed successful plays on 36% of rush attempts in the 3rd quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Seahawks defense has allowed 6.1 yards after the catch (1,764 RAC / 291 receptions) this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: 5.2.

Kansas City Chiefs Defense: Important Stats for Week 16

The Chiefs defense has allowed 25 TD passes in the red zone this season — most in NFL.

The Chiefs defense has allowed 25 touchdown receptions in the red zone this season — most in NFL.

The Chiefs defense allowed successful plays on 56% of rush attempts in the 4th quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

The Chiefs defense allowed successful plays on 51% of rush attempts last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.