Seahawks vs Commanders Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 3

• The Seahawks are -6 point favorites vs the Commanders
• Total (Over/Under): 41.5 points
• Watch this game on FOX

The Seattle Seahawks (2-0-0) visit Northwest Stadium to take on the Washington Commanders (0-2-0) on Sep. 27. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00 pm in Landover, MD.

The Seahawks are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -6 (-150).

The Seahawks vs. Commanders Over/Under is 41.5 total points for the game.

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Seahawks vs. Commanders Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Seahawks vs. Commanders Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Seahawks will win this game with 65.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Seahawks vs Commanders Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Seahawks will cover the spread with 50.7% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Seahawks players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Seahawks Player Prop Bets Today

• Elijah Arroyo has hit the Receptions Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.35 Units / 60% ROI)
• Jaxon Smith-Njigba has hit the Receptions Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+6.65 Units / 31% ROI)
• Emanuel Wilson has hit the Longest Rush Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.60 Units / 44% ROI)
• Cooper Kupp has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.85 Units / 64% ROI)
• Jason Myers has hit the Field Goals Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+5.80 Units / 21% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Commanders players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Commanders Player Prop Best Bets Today

• Jaylin Lane has hit the Receptions Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.30 Units / 54% ROI)
• Jayden Daniels has hit the Completions Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 88% ROI)
• Stefon Diggs has hit the Receptions Under in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+6.60 Units / 78% ROI)
• Stefon Diggs has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+5.85 Units / 64% ROI)
• Jacory Croskey-Merritt has hit the Receptions Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.45 Units / 74% ROI)

Seahawks Best Bets:

• The Seattle Seahawks have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 21 games (+10.75 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 21 games (+8.79 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Seattle Seahawks have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 21 games (+6.40 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 away games (+6.25 Units / 41% ROI)
• The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 2H Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games (+4.55 Units / 12% ROI)

Commanders Best Bets:

• The Washington Commanders have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games (+5.40 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Washington Commanders have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.10 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Washington Commanders have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 16 games (+3.35 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Washington Commanders have hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.75 Units / 49% ROI)
• The Washington Commanders have hit the 2H Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games at home (+2.65 Units / 39% ROI)

Seahawks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Seahawks are 1-0 (+1 Units / 44.44% ROI).

• Seahawks are 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 52.63% ROI
• Seahawks are 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
• SeahawksSeahawksSeahawks are 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI

Commanders Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Commanders are 1-1 (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

• Commanders are 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -100% ROI
• Commanders are 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
• Commanders are 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI

Seattle Seahawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Commanders

The Seahawks are 9-2 (.818) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2025 season — 10th-best in NFL. The Commanders have allowed an average of 138.5 rushing yards per game since the 2025 season — 3rd-worst in NFL.

The Seahawks are 9-1 (.900) when not throwing an interception since the 2025 season — 6th-best in NFL. The Commanders have intercepted 8 passes since the 2025 season — T-4th-fewest in NFL.

The Seahawks are undefeated (4-0) vs top 10 pass defenses since the 2025 season They play the Patriots in Week 4 (Ranks ninth in passing defense).

The Seahawks are 8-1 (.889) when possessing the ball longer than their opponent since the 2025 season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Commanders has allowed an average time of possession of 31 min and 10 s since the 2025 season — 4th-highest in NFL.

Washington Commanders: Keys to the Game vs. the Seattle Seahawks

The Commanders are winless (0-5) when converting less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2025 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .415.

The Commanders are 1-9 (.100) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2025 season — T-2nd-worst in NFL. The Seahawks have intercepted 22 passes since the 2025 season — 3rd-most in NFL.

The Commanders are winless (0-4) after a win since the 2025 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .573.

The Commanders were undefeated (3-0) when leading at the end of first quarter last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .698.

Additional Matchup Notes for Seattle Seahawks vs. Washington Commanders

The Commanders have been successful on just 30.8% of plays they have run with motion this season — T-4th-worst in NFL. The Seahawks have allowed a success rate of just 22.6% against motion this season — T-best in NFL.

The Commanders have thrown for just 5.4 yards per attempt this season — 3rd-worst in NFL. The Seahawks have allowed just 4.1 yards per dropback this season — best in NFL.

Commanders RBs have averaged just 3.4 targets per game since the 2025 season — lowest in NFL. The Seahawks have allowed 5.6 receptions per game to RBs since the 2025 season — highest in NFL.

The Seahawks have averaged 0.53 epa per play against open coverage since the 2025 season — T-4th-best in NFL. The Commanders have allowed 0.54 epa per play with open coverage since the 2025 season — 3rd-worst in NFL.

The Seahawks have been successful on 49.3% of pass attempts since the 2025 season — 5th-best in NFL. The Commanders have allowed a success rate of 49.8% on pass attempts since the 2025 season — T-4th-worst in NFL.

The Seahawks have rushed the ball on 48.8% of plays from scrimmage since the 2025 season — 2nd-highest in NFL. The Commanders have allowed 5.0 yards per carry since the 2025 season — T-5th-worst in NFL.

Seattle Seahawks Offense: Important Stats

The Seahawks averaged 10.7 yards per play on play action passes last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 7.3.

The Seahawks have averaged 10.8 yards per play on play action passes since the 2025 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 7.3.

The Seahawks have averaged 17.3 yards per play on first drive of the game this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 5.2.

The Seahawks have run successful plays on 67% of pass attempts on passes when their QB has been pressured this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 26%.

Washington Commanders Offense: Important Stats

The Commanders have averaged just 3.2 yards per play on motion plays this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 5.7.

The Commanders threw the ball 35% of the time (153 Pass Attempts/441 plays) on 1st down last season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Commanders have run successful plays on 76% of pass attempts in the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 49%.

The Commanders converted first downs on just 29 of 59 plays (49%) on 3rd and short last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 60%.

Seattle Seahawks Defense: Important Stats

The Seahawks defense has not allowed a successful play on any rush attempt in the 3rd quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

The Seahawks defense has allowed successful plays on 32% of rush attempts in the 1st quarter since the 2025 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Seahawks defense has allowed first downs on 44% of rush attempts on 3rd and short since the 2025 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 68%.

The Seahawks defense has stuffed 50% (18/36) of rushing attempts on 3rd and short since the 2025 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 22%.

Washington Commanders Defense: Important Stats

The Commanders defense has allowed successful plays on 17% of pass attempts open coverage this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 61%.

The Commanders defense has allowed just 2.1 yards per dropback (34 yards/16 attempts) when targeted at a depth of 1-5 yards this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 5.4.

The Commanders defense has blitzed on 50% of plays on 3rd and long this season — T-highest in NFL; League Avg: 12%.

The Commanders defense has allowed a passer rating of 137.1 (56 Pass Attempts) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 94.7.

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More NFL Betting Predictions:

• Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
• Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
• Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
• Passing Yards Prop Predictions
• Receptions Made Prop Predictions
• Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
• Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
• QB Interception Prop Predictions
• Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
• NFL Betting Previews: Every Game

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