Seahawks vs Commanders Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 9

BetMGM Betting Oct 28, 2025, 9:24 PM

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FILE - FedEx Field, home of the Washington Commanders NFL football team, is shown before the start of a football game between the Philadelphia Eagles and Washington Commanders, Sunday, Sept. 25, 2022, in Landover, Md. A group led by Josh Harris and Mitchell Rales that includes Magic Johnson has an agreement in principle to buy the NFL's Washington Commanders from longtime owner Dan Snyder for a North American professional sports team record $6 billion, according to a person with knowledge of the situation. The person spoke to The Associated Press on condition of anonymity Thursday, April 13, 2023, because the deal had not been announced. (AP Photo/Nick Wass, File)

(AP Photo/Nick Wass)

The Seahawks are -3.5 point favorites vs the Commanders
Total (Over/Under): 46.5 points
Watch this game on NBC | PEAC | NBCU

The Seattle Seahawks (5-2-0) visit Northwest Stadium to take on the Washington Commanders (3-5-0) on Nov. 2. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:20pm EDT in Landover, MD.

The Seahawks are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (100).

The Seahawks vs. Commanders Over/Under is 46.5 total points for the game.

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Seahawks vs. Commanders Odds, Spread, Over/Under

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Seahawks	-3.5 100	46.5 -105	-175
Commanders	+3.5 -120	46.5 -115	145

Seahawks vs. Commanders Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Seahawks will win this game with 62.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Seahawks vs Commanders Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Seahawks will cover the spread with 50.6% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Seahawks players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Seahawks Player Prop Bets Today

Jaxon Smith-Njigba has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.55 Units / 52% ROI)
Zach Charbonnet has hit the Carries Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.95 Units / 48% ROI)
Sam Darnold has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+5.30 Units / 26% ROI)
Kenneth Walker III has hit the Receptions Under in his last 5 away games (+5.15 Units / 73% ROI)
Sam Darnold has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 12 of his last 18 games (+5.05 Units / 25% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Commanders players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Commanders Player Prop Best Bets Today

Jaylin Lane has hit the Receptions Under in his last 6 games (+6.20 Units / 64% ROI)
Luke McCaffrey has hit the Receptions Under in his last 5 games (+5.95 Units / 88% ROI)
Deebo Samuel has hit the Receptions Under in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+5.00 Units / 57% ROI)
Deebo Samuel has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+4.85 Units / 61% ROI)
Jayden Daniels has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 11 of his last 17 games (+4.25 Units / 22% ROI)

Seahawks Best Bets:

The Seattle Seahawks have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 away games (+9.40 Units / 73% ROI)
The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 games (+6.03 Units / 23% ROI)
The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games (+5.40 Units / 24% ROI)
The Seattle Seahawks have covered the 3Q Spread in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.30 Units / 26% ROI)
The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.95 Units / 47% ROI)

Commanders Best Bets:

The Washington Commanders have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.25 Units / 37% ROI)
The Washington Commanders have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+4.80 Units / 44% ROI)
The Washington Commanders have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.63 Units / 28% ROI)
The Washington Commanders have covered the 2H Spread in 11 of their last 18 games (+3.66 Units / 18% ROI)
The Washington Commanders have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+2.70 Units / 26% ROI)

Seahawks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Seahawks are 5-2 (+2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI).

Seahawks are 5-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.75 Units / 23.81% ROI
Seahawks are 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
Seahawks are 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / ROI

Commanders Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Commanders are 3-4 (-1.35 Units / -17.88% ROI).

Commanders are 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.1 Units / -19.63% ROI
Commanders are 3-3 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -3.9% ROI
Commanders are 3-3 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / -3.9% ROI

Seattle Seahawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Commanders

The Seahawks have averaged 10.7 yards per play when their QB has scrambled this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 4.6.

The Seahawks have run successful plays on 28% of rush attempts on motion plays this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Seahawks have converted first downs on 7 of 15 plays (47%) when their QB has scrambled this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 21%.

The Seahawks have averaged 0.65 epa per play when their QB has scrambled this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: -0.34.

Washington Commanders: Keys to the Game vs. the Seattle Seahawks

The Commanders have averaged just 3.4 yards per play on first drive of the game this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 5.7.

The Commanders have started 8 drives inside their own 10 yard line since Week 5 — most in NFL.

The Commanders have run successful plays on 56% of rush attempts in the 1st half this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Commanders have started 10 drives inside their own 10 yard line this season — T-most in NFL.

Additional Matchup Notes for Seattle Seahawks vs. Washington Commanders