Seahawks vs Jaguars Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 6

BetMGM Betting Oct 09, 2025, 5:44 AM

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Footballs are viewed on the field before an NFL football game between the Jacksonville Jaguars and the Tennessee Titans, Sunday, Dec. 29, 2024, in Jacksonville, Fla. (AP Photo/Phelan M. Ebenhack)

(AP Photo/Phelan M. Ebenhack)

The Jaguars are -1 point favorites vs the Seahawks
Total (Over/Under): 47.5 points
Watch this game on FOX

The Seattle Seahawks (3-2-0) visit EverBank Stadium to take on the Jacksonville Jaguars (4-1-0) on Oct. 12. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Jacksonville, FL.

The Jaguars are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -1 (-110).

The Seahawks vs. Jaguars Over/Under is 47.5 total points for the game.

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Seahawks vs. Jaguars Odds, Spread, Over/Under

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Seahawks	+1 -110	47.5 -110	-102
Jaguars	-1 -110	47.5 -110	-118

Seahawks vs. Jaguars Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Seahawks will win this game with 50.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Seahawks vs Jaguars Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Seahawks will cover the spread with 55.6% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Seahawks players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Seahawks Player Prop Bets Today

Jaxon Smith-Njigba has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+8.40 Units / 43% ROI)
Zach Charbonnet has hit the Carries Over in 7 of his last 8 away games (+6.15 Units / 72% ROI)
Kenneth Walker III has hit the Receptions Under in his last 5 away games (+5.20 Units / 73% ROI)
Jaxon Smith-Njigba has hit the Longest Reception Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 85% ROI)
Sam Darnold has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 7 of his last 9 away games (+4.90 Units / 47% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Jaguars players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Jaguars Player Prop Best Bets Today

Trevor Lawrence has hit the Completions Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.05 Units / 92% ROI)
Tim Patrick has hit the Receptions Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+5.20 Units / 46% ROI)
Trevor Lawrence has hit the Interceptions Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.20 Units / 38% ROI)
Travis Etienne has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+4.85 Units / 61% ROI)
Travis Etienne has hit the Carries Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+4.70 Units / 58% ROI)

Seahawks Best Bets:

The Seattle Seahawks have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 away games (+9.80 Units / 77% ROI)
The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 games (+5.15 Units / 23% ROI)
The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.60 Units / 42% ROI)
The Seattle Seahawks have covered the 4Q Spread in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.00 Units / 19% ROI)
The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 2H Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 away games (+3.74 Units / 38% ROI)

Jaguars Best Bets:

The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.85 Units / 47% ROI)
The Jacksonville Jaguars have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+4.92 Units / 45% ROI)
The Jacksonville Jaguars have covered the 1Q Spread in 12 of their last 20 games (+2.85 Units / 11% ROI)
The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+2.75 Units / 27% ROI)
The Jacksonville Jaguars have covered the 2Q Spread in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+2.70 Units / 26% ROI)

Seahawks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Seahawks are 3-2 (+0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI).

Seahawks are 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.75 Units / 8.52% ROI
Seahawks are 3-2 when betting the Over for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI
Seahawks are 2-3 when betting the Under for -1.3 Units / ROI

Jaguars Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Jaguars are 4-1 (+2.9 Units / 52.73% ROI).

Jaguars are 4-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.1 Units / 64.06% ROI
Jaguars are 3-2 when betting the Over for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI
Jaguars are 2-3 when betting the Under for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI

Seattle Seahawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars

The Jaguars defense has allowed a passer rating of just 61.4 on motion plays (104 Pass Attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 100.2.

The Jaguars defense allowed successful plays on 76% of plays with a base front in Week 5 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 48%.

The Jaguars defense has forced 14 turnovers this season — most in NFL.

The Jaguars defense has allowed 88 receptions for 20+ yards since the 2024 season — most in NFL.

Jacksonville Jaguars: Keys to the Game vs. the Seattle Seahawks

The Seahawks have averaged 12.3 yards per play when their QB has scrambled this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 4.2.

The Seahawks have converted first downs on 7 of 13 plays (54%) when their QB has scrambled this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 19%.

The Seahawks have started 10 drives inside opposing territory since the 2024 season — fewest in NFL.

The Seahawks have targeted RBs 10% of the time (14 Pass Attempts/137 plays) this season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 17%.

Additional Matchup Notes for Seattle Seahawks vs. Jacksonville Jaguars