Seahawks vs Jets Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 13

(AP Photo/Adam Hunger)
  • The Seahawks are -2 point favorites vs the Jets
  • Total (Over/Under): 41.5 points
  • Watch this game on FOX

The Seattle Seahawks (6-5-0) visit MetLife Stadium to take on the New York Jets (3-8-0) on Dec. 1. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in East Rutherford, NJ.

The Seahawks are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -2 (-110).

The Seahawks vs. Jets Over/Under is 41.5 total points for the game.

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Seahawks vs. Jets Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Seahawks-2 -11041.5 -110-135
Jets +2 -11041.5 -110+110

Seahawks vs. Jets Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Seahawks will win this game with 73.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Seahawks vs Jets Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Jets will cover the spread with 56.7% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Seahawks players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Seahawks Player Prop Bets Today

  • Geno Smith has hit the Carries Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+6.65 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Noah Fant has hit the Receptions Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+6.10 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Sam Howell has hit the Pass Attempts Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 79% ROI)
  • Sam Howell has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 76% ROI)
  • Sam Howell has hit the Completions Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 72% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Jets players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Jets Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Anders Carlson has hit the Field Goals Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.75 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Aaron Rodgers has hit the Carries Under in his last 6 games (+6.45 Units / 92% ROI)
  • Jeremy Ruckert has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.70 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Allen Lazard has hit the Receptions Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+5.10 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Jeremy Ruckert has hit the Receptions Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+5.05 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.30 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Seattle Seahawks have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.75 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.25 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 away games (+3.35 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Seattle Seahawks have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 away games (+3.30 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have covered the 3Q Spread in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+4.10 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have covered the 2H Spread in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.74 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games at home (+2.25 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have scored first in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.10 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 10 games at home (+1.75 Units / 13% ROI)

Seahawks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Seahawks art 4-6 (-2.6 Units / -21.49% ROI).

  • Seahawks are 6-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.5 Units / 3.03% ROI
  • Seahawks are 5-6 when betting the Over for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI
  • Seahawks are 6-5 when betting the Under for +0.5 Units / ROI

Jets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Jets are 3-8 (-5.9 Units / -47.97% ROI).

  • Jets are 3-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.05 Units / -56.18% ROI
  • Jets are 5-5 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -4.13% ROI
  • Jets are 5-5 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / -4.13% ROI

Seattle Seahawks: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Jets

The Seahawks were 3-7 (.300) when committing 1 or more turnovers last season — 8th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .406.

The Seahawks are 4-2 (.667) when making 7 or more explosive plays this season — T-10th-best in NFL; League Avg: .624.

The Seahawks are 1-4 (.200) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes this season — T-5th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .413.

The Seahawks were 5-8 (.385) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team last season — 9th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.

New York Jets: Keys to the Game vs. the Seattle Seahawks

The Jets are 5-1 (.833) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2023 season — T-best in NFL. The Seahawks have allowed an average of 136.0 rushing yards per game since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst in NFL.

The Jets are winless (0-9) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .430.

The Jets are winless (0-6) when throwing 2 or more interceptions since the 2023 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .188.

The Jets were winless (0-6) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .421.

Additional Matchup Notes for Seattle Seahawks vs. New York Jets

The Jets have run successful plays on just 43.7% of pass attempts on play action passes since the 2023 season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Seahawks have pressured opposing QBs on 34.5% of pass attempts on play action passes since the 2023 season — 3rd-best in NFL.

The Jets are 5-1 (.833) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2023 season — T-best in NFL. The Seahawks have allowed an average of 136.0 rushing yards per game since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst in NFL.

Jets WRs have been targeted 17 times inside the 10 yardline this season — T-4th-most in NFL. The Seahawks have allowed 7 receiving touchdowns inside the 10 yardline to WRs this season — T-4th-most in NFL.

The Seahawks have run successful plays on just 32.0% of rush attempts against a light front since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Jets have allowed successful plays on just 35.4% of rush attempts with a light front since the 2023 season — best in NFL.

The Seahawks have run successful plays on just 37.5% of pass attempts against a heavy rush since the 2023 season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Jets have allowed successful plays on just 35.4% of pass attempts with a heavy rush since the 2023 season — 5th-best in NFL.

The Seahawks have run successful plays on just 24.0% of rush attempts against a light front this season — 3rd-worst in NFL. The Jets have allowed successful plays on just 33.3% of rush attempts with a light front this season — T-4th-best in NFL.

Seattle Seahawks Offense: Important Stats

The Seahawks have averaged -1.95 epa per play on contested throws since Week 9 — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.10.

The Seahawks have run 1% of their plays in the red zone in the 1st quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 12%.

The Seahawks ran successful plays on 71% of pass attempts against a light rush last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 40%.

The Seahawks averaged 0.63 epa per play against a light rush last season — best in NFL; League Avg: -0.04.

New York Jets Offense: Important Stats

The Jets averaged 11.8 drives per TD last season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.0.

The Jets ran successful plays on 29% of plays in the 1st quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Jets averaged -0.25 epa per play against a base rush last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.01.

The Jets averaged 13.9 drives per TD in the 1st half last season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 4.9.

Seattle Seahawks Defense: Important Stats

The Seahawks defense allowed 3 TD passes in close and late situations last season — T-most in NFL.

The Seahawks defense forced three and outs on 7% of opponent drives in the 2nd half last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 20%.

The Seahawks defense did not allow a TD pass in Week 12 — T-fewest in NFL.

The Seahawks defense has allowed 3 TD passes in close and late situations since the 2023 season — T-most in NFL.

New York Jets Defense: Important Stats

The Jets defense has allowed successful plays on 37% of pass attempts from their own territory since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

The Jets defense has allowed successful plays on 37% of plays with a base rush since the 2023 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Jets defense has allowed successful plays on 39% of pass attempts with a base rush since the 2023 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Jets defense has allowed at least 5 yards on 34% of first down plays since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

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About the Author

Nick Hennion

Read More @nickhennion

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.