Seahawks vs Lions Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 4

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 30, 2022, 11:01 AM
  • The Lions (1-2) are -4 point favorites vs the Seahawks (1-2)
  • Total (Over/Under): 48 points
  • Watch the game on FOX

The Seattle Seahawks (1-2) visit Ford Field to take on the Detroit Lions (1-2) on Oct. 2. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Detroit.

The Lions are betting favorites in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -4 (-110).

The Seahawks vs. Lions Over/Under is 48 total points for the game.

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Seahawks vs. Lions Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 4

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Seahawks+4 -11048 -110+180
Lions -4 -11048 -110-225

Seahawks vs. Lions Prediction for Week 4

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Lions will win this Week 4 game with 78.0% confidence.

Seahawks vs Lions Spread Prediction for Week 4

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Lions will cover the spread this Week 4 with 61.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Seahawks and Lions, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Seahawks Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Seahawks players for Week 4, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • DK Metcalf has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Tyler Lockett has hit the Receptions Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.40 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Rashaad Penny has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Geno Smith has hit the Completions Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Noah Fant has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 away games (+3.80 Units / 51% ROI)

Best Lions Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Lions players for Week 4, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Amon-Ra St. Brown has hit the Receptions Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.80 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.45 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Josh Reynolds has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.00 Units / 68% ROI)
  • Jamaal Williams has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.80 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Jared Goff has hit the TD Passes Over in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+5.20 Units / 61% ROI)

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Lions vs Seahawks

Player Name Over Under
DK Metcalf 62.5 -115 62.5 -115
Fant 23.5 -115 23.5 -115
Tyler Lockett 62.5 -115 62.5 -110
Rashaad Penny 6.5 -115 6.5 -115

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Lions vs Seahawks

Player Name Over Under
Rashaad Penny 57.5 -115 57.5 -115
  • The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+6.45 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+5.90 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.85 Units / 60% ROI)
  • The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.75 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Seattle Seahawks have covered the 1Q Spread in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.35 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Detroit Lions have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+9.50 Units / 186% ROI)
  • The Detroit Lions have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.85 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The Detroit Lions have hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+7.00 Units / 137% ROI)
  • The Detroit Lions have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+6.60 Units / 92% ROI)
  • The Detroit Lions have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+6.00 Units / 67% ROI)

Seahawks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Seahawks have gone 1-2 (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).

  • Seahawks are 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.2 Units / 6.35% ROI
  • Seahawks are 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.25 Units / -37.31% ROI
  • Seahawks are 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / ROI

Lions Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Lions have gone 3-0 (+3 Units / 90.91% ROI).

  • Lions are 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -32.26% ROI
  • Lions are 3-0 when betting the Over for +3 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • Lions are 0-3 when betting the Under for -3.3 Units / -100% ROI

Seattle Seahawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Lions

The Seahawks were 1-4 (.200) vs top 10 pass offenses last season — tied for 7th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .365.

The Seahawks are winless (0-8) when trailing at the end of the third quarter since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .146.

The Seahawks are 2-7 (.222) when converting less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2021 season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .448.

The Seahawks are 4-11 (.267) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2021 season — 7th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .422.

Detroit Lions: Keys to the Game vs. the Seattle Seahawks

The Lions are winless (0-5-1) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .493.

The Lions are 1-3-1 (.200) when forcing 2 or more turnovers since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .732.

The Lions are 1-9-1 (.091) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .426.

The Lions are 2-10-1 (.154) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .484.

Additional Matchup Notes for Seattle Seahawks vs. Detroit Lions

Lions RBs have averaged 142.7 rushing yards per game this season — second-best in NFL. The Seahawks have allowed an average of 157.7 rushing yards per game this season — second-worst in NFL.

Lions RBs have 5 rushing touchdowns this season — tied for most in NFL. The Seahawks have allowed 4 rushing TDs this season — tied for third-most in NFL.

Lions RBs have 5 rushing touchdowns in the Red Zone this season — most in NFL. The Seahawks have allowed 4 rushing touchdowns in the Red Zone this season — tied for second-most in NFL.

Seahawks RBs have averaged 2.4 yards after contact per carry since the 2021 season — tied for second-best in NFL. The Lions have allowed 2.1 yards after contact per carry since the 2021 season — tied for fourth-worst in NFL.

Seahawks RBs have just 27.0 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — fourth-worst in NFL. The Lions have averaged just 27.2 receiving yards per game allowed to RBs since the 2021 season — fourth-best in NFL.

Seahawks RBs have averaged 2.4 yards after contact per carry since the 2021 season — tied for second-best in NFL. The Lions have allowed 2.3 yards after contact per carry to RBs since the 2021 season — tied for second-worst in NFL.

Seattle Seahawks Offense: Important Stats for Week 4

The Seahawks have run 1,108 plays since the 2021 season — fewest in NFL.

The Seahawks have not recorded a TD in 11 drives in the 2nd half this season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 4.9.

The Seahawks have run 27% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 2nd half this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

The Seahawks have run successful plays on 12% of plays in close and late situations this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

Detroit Lions Offense: Important Stats for Week 4

The Lions ran successful plays on 28% of rush attempts in the red zone last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Lions have started 36 drives inside their own 20 yard line since the 2021 season — tied for fewest in NFL.

The Lions have run the ball on 10% of plays (1 carries/10 plays) on 3rd and short this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Lions have gone three and out 4 times in the 2nd quarter this season — 3rd-most in NFL.

Seattle Seahawks Defense: Important Stats for Week 4

The Seahawks defense allowed successful plays on 100% of pass attempts in the 4th quarter in Week 3 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

Offenses facing the Seahawks have thrown deep balls on 20% of pass attempts (17/86) this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 11%.

The Seahawks defense allowed successful plays on 83% of pass attempts in the 2nd half in Week 3 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

Offenses facing the Seahawks threw deep balls on 45% of pass attempts (9/20) in Week 3 — highest in NFL; League Avg: 12%.

Detroit Lions Defense: Important Stats for Week 4

The Lions defense has allowed 7 rushing TDs this season — most in NFL.

The Lions defense has allowed 7 rushing TDs in the red zone this season — most in NFL.

The Lions defense has allowed successful plays on 61% of rush attempts this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Lions defense have allowed 90 broken tackles since the 2021 season — most in NFL.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.