- The Seahawks are -4.5 point favorites vs the Patriots
- Total (Over/Under): 45.5 points
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The Seattle Seahawks visit Levi’s Stadium to take on the New England Patriots on Feb. 8 in Super Boxl LX. Kickoff is scheduled for 6:30 pm in Santa Clara, CA.
The Seahawks are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).
The Seahawks vs. Patriots Over/Under is 45.5 total points for the game.
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Seahawks vs. Patriots Odds, Spread, Over/Under
Seahawks vs. Patriots Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Seahawks will win the Super Bowl with 67.3% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Seahawks vs Patriots Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Seahawks will cover the spread in the Super Bowl with 56.5% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Seahawks players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Seahawks Player Prop Bets Today
- Elijah Arroyo has hit the Receptions Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.35 Units / 61% ROI)
- Rashid Shaheed has hit the Receptions Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.70 Units / 59% ROI)
- Jason Myers has hit the Field Goals Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+7.10 Units / 28% ROI)
- Kenneth Walker III has hit the Receptions Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+6.65 Units / 41% ROI)
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.10 Units / 34% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Patriots players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Patriots Player Prop Best Bets Today
- TreVeyon Henderson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.70 Units / 56% ROI)
- Mack Hollins has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+10.30 Units / 67% ROI)
- TreVeyon Henderson has hit the Longest Reception Under in 14 of his last 18 games (+9.60 Units / 48% ROI)
- TreVeyon Henderson has hit the Receptions Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+9.20 Units / 42% ROI)
- Drake Maye has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+8.55 Units / 44% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Patriots vs Seahawks
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Sam Darnold (SEA) | +4000 |
| Kenneth Walker III (Sea) | +375 |
| George Holani (SEA) | +2500 |
| Cam Akers (SEA) | +12500 |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba (SEA) | +550 |
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Patriots vs Seahawks
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| TreVeyon Henderson (NE) | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -110 |
| Kenneth Walker III (SEA) | 19.5 -150 | 19.5 +115 |
| Cooper Kupp (SEA) | 32.5 -115 | 32.5 -115 |
| Hunter Henry (NE) | 37.5 -115 | 37.5 -115 |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba (SEA) | 94.5 -115 | 94.5 -115 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Patriots vs Seahawks
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Rashid Shaheed (SEA) | 2.5 -115 | 2.5 -115 |
| Sam Darnold (SEA) | 6.5 -115 | 6.5 -115 |
| TreVeyon Henderson (NE) | 16.5 -118 | 16.5 -110 |
| George Holani (SEA) | 9.5 -120 | 9.5 -110 |
| Rhamondre Stevenson (NE) | 49.5 -110 | 49.5 -118 |
Seahawks Best Bets:
- The Seattle Seahawks have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 18 games (+13.75 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Seattle Seahawks have covered the Spread in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.60 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+7.60 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Seattle Seahawks have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.25 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games (+7.00 Units / 47% ROI)
Patriots Best Bets:
- The New England Patriots have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 19 games (+18.55 Units / 32% ROI)
- The New England Patriots have hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 20 games (+17.20 Units / 39% ROI)
- The New England Patriots have covered the 2Q Spread in 16 of their last 18 games (+13.70 Units / 64% ROI)
- The New England Patriots have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.60 Units / 49% ROI)
- The New England Patriots have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.60 Units / 46% ROI)
Seahawks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Seahawks are 14-5 (+8.5 Units / 40.57% ROI).
- SeahawksSeahawksSeahawks are 16-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.75 Units / 24.17% ROI
- Seahawks are 11-8 when betting the Over for +2.2 Units / 10.53% ROI
- SeahawksSeahawksSeahawks are 8-11 when betting the Under for -4.1 Units / -19.62% ROI
Patriots Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Patriots are 14-6 (+7.4 Units / 33.95% ROI).
- Patriots are 17-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +17.15 Units / 29.17% ROI
- Patriots are 12-8 when betting the Over for +3.2 Units / 14.55% ROI
- Patriots are 8-12 when betting the Under for -5.2 Units / -23.64% ROI
Seattle Seahawks: Keys to the Game vs. the New England Patriots
The Seahawks are undefeated (3-0) vs top 10 pass defenses this season They play the Patriots in Week 4 (Ranks ninth in passing defense).
The Seahawks are 14-1 (.933) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .546.
The Seahawks are 4-1 (.800) when rushing less than 25 times this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .280.
The Seahawks are 10-1 (.909) when intercepting at least 1 pass this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .659.
New England Patriots: Keys to the Game vs. the Seattle Seahawks
The Patriots are 11-2 (.846) when forcing 1 or more turnovers this season — T-4th-best in NFL. The Seahawks have turned the ball over 27 times this season — 2nd-most in NFL.
The Patriots are 13-2 (.867) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .575.
The Patriots are 11-2 (.846) when sacking the QB less than 3 times this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .418.
The Patriots are undefeated (5-0) when the opposing team converts less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .586.
Additional Matchup Notes for Seattle Seahawks vs. New England Patriots
The Patriots have thrown the ball just 48.1% of the time this season — 5th-lowest in NFL. The Seahawks have allowed just 5.5 yards per dropback this season — 2nd-best in NFL.
The Patriots are 11-2 (.846) when forcing 1 or more turnovers this season — T-4th-best in NFL. The Seahawks have turned the ball over 27 times this season — 2nd-most in NFL.
Seahawks RBs have averaged just 3.7 targets per game this season — 2nd-lowest in NFL. The Patriots have allowed 4.8 receptions per game to RBs this season — T-5th-highest in NFL.
The Seahawks have been successful on 34.7% of pass attempts when their QB was under pressure since the 2024 season — 5th-best in NFL. The Patriots have pressured opposing QBs on just 20.9% of passing plays since the 2024 season — 5th-worst in NFL.
The Seahawks have been successful on 51.6% of pass attempts against a base rush this season — 4th-best in NFL. The Patriots have pressured opposing QBs on 20.3% of pass attempts with a base rush this season — 4th-worst in NFL.
Seattle Seahawks Offense: Important Stats
The Seahawks have averaged 10.7 yards per play on play action passes this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 7.3.
The Seahawks have converted late downs on just 11 of 257 plays (4%) with 7-10 yards to go this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: 6%.
The Seahawks have averaged 8.8 yards per play when their QB has scrambled this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 4.6.
The Seahawks have averaged 11.1 yards per play against open coverage this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 9.1.
New England Patriots Offense: Important Stats
The Patriots have run successful plays on 58% of pass attempts in the 1st half this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
The Patriots have run successful plays on 56% of pass attempts this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
The Patriots have scored 6 TDs from their own territory this season — most in NFL.
The Patriots have completed passes for 20+ yards on 69 of their 502 total passing attempts (14%) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 9%.
Seattle Seahawks Defense: Important Stats
The Seahawks defense has allowed successful plays on 31% of rush attempts in the 1st quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Seahawks defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 43% on 3rd and short this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 60%.
The Seahawks defense have allowed -0.68 epa per play with a heavy rush this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 0.05.
The Seahawks defense have allowed just 2.8 yards per play on contested throws this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 5.4.
New England Patriots Defense: Important Stats
The Patriots defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 15% on 3rd and long this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: 25%.
Only 10% of the plays run against the Patriots have been in the red zone this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 15%.
The Patriots defense have allowed -0.19 epa per play against play action passes this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 0.07.
Only 10% of the plays run against the Patriots have been in the red zone in the 1st half this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 14%.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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