Seahawks vs Patriots Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ Super Bowl 60

A general view of Gillette Stadium during the second half an NFL football game between the New England Patriots and the Washington Commanders on Sunday, Nov. 5, 2023, in Foxborough, Mass. (AP Photo/Greg M. Cooper)
(AP Photo/Greg M. Cooper)
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  • The Seahawks are -4.5 point favorites vs the Patriots
  • Total (Over/Under): 45.5 points
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The Seattle Seahawks visit Levi’s Stadium to take on the New England Patriots on Feb. 8 in Super Boxl LX. Kickoff is scheduled for 6:30 pm in Santa Clara, CA.

The Seahawks are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).

The Seahawks vs. Patriots Over/Under is 45.5 total points for the game.

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Seahawks vs. Patriots Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Seahawks vs. Patriots Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Seahawks will win the Super Bowl with 67.3% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Seahawks vs Patriots Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Seahawks will cover the spread in the Super Bowl with 56.5% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Seahawks players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Seahawks Player Prop Bets Today

  • Elijah Arroyo has hit the Receptions Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.35 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Rashid Shaheed has hit the Receptions Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.70 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Jason Myers has hit the Field Goals Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+7.10 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Kenneth Walker III has hit the Receptions Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+6.65 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.10 Units / 34% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Patriots players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Patriots Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • TreVeyon Henderson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.70 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Mack Hollins has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+10.30 Units / 67% ROI)
  • TreVeyon Henderson has hit the Longest Reception Under in 14 of his last 18 games (+9.60 Units / 48% ROI)
  • TreVeyon Henderson has hit the Receptions Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+9.20 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Drake Maye has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+8.55 Units / 44% ROI)

First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Patriots vs Seahawks

Player Name 1st TD Odds
Sam Darnold (SEA) +4000
Kenneth Walker III (Sea) +375
George Holani (SEA) +2500
Cam Akers (SEA) +12500
Jaxon Smith-Njigba (SEA) +550

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Patriots vs Seahawks

Player Name Over Under
TreVeyon Henderson (NE) 0.5 -120 0.5 -110
Kenneth Walker III (SEA) 19.5 -150 19.5 +115
Cooper Kupp (SEA) 32.5 -115 32.5 -115
Hunter Henry (NE) 37.5 -115 37.5 -115
Jaxon Smith-Njigba (SEA) 94.5 -115 94.5 -115

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Patriots vs Seahawks

Player Name Over Under
Rashid Shaheed (SEA) 2.5 -115 2.5 -115
Sam Darnold (SEA) 6.5 -115 6.5 -115
TreVeyon Henderson (NE) 16.5 -118 16.5 -110
George Holani (SEA) 9.5 -120 9.5 -110
Rhamondre Stevenson (NE) 49.5 -110 49.5 -118
  • The Seattle Seahawks have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 18 games (+13.75 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Seattle Seahawks have covered the Spread in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.60 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+7.60 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Seattle Seahawks have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.25 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games (+7.00 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The New England Patriots have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 19 games (+18.55 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The New England Patriots have hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 20 games (+17.20 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The New England Patriots have covered the 2Q Spread in 16 of their last 18 games (+13.70 Units / 64% ROI)
  • The New England Patriots have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.60 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The New England Patriots have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.60 Units / 46% ROI)

Seahawks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Seahawks are 14-5 (+8.5 Units / 40.57% ROI).

  • SeahawksSeahawksSeahawks are 16-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.75 Units / 24.17% ROI
  • Seahawks are 11-8 when betting the Over for +2.2 Units / 10.53% ROI
  • SeahawksSeahawksSeahawks are 8-11 when betting the Under for -4.1 Units / -19.62% ROI

Patriots Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Patriots are 14-6 (+7.4 Units / 33.95% ROI).

  • Patriots are 17-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +17.15 Units / 29.17% ROI
  • Patriots are 12-8 when betting the Over for +3.2 Units / 14.55% ROI
  • Patriots are 8-12 when betting the Under for -5.2 Units / -23.64% ROI

Seattle Seahawks: Keys to the Game vs. the New England Patriots

The Seahawks are undefeated (3-0) vs top 10 pass defenses this season They play the Patriots in Week 4 (Ranks ninth in passing defense).

The Seahawks are 14-1 (.933) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .546.

The Seahawks are 4-1 (.800) when rushing less than 25 times this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .280.

The Seahawks are 10-1 (.909) when intercepting at least 1 pass this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .659.

New England Patriots: Keys to the Game vs. the Seattle Seahawks

The Patriots are 11-2 (.846) when forcing 1 or more turnovers this season — T-4th-best in NFL. The Seahawks have turned the ball over 27 times this season — 2nd-most in NFL.

The Patriots are 13-2 (.867) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .575.

The Patriots are 11-2 (.846) when sacking the QB less than 3 times this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .418.

The Patriots are undefeated (5-0) when the opposing team converts less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .586.

Additional Matchup Notes for Seattle Seahawks vs. New England Patriots

The Patriots have thrown the ball just 48.1% of the time this season — 5th-lowest in NFL. The Seahawks have allowed just 5.5 yards per dropback this season — 2nd-best in NFL.

The Patriots are 11-2 (.846) when forcing 1 or more turnovers this season — T-4th-best in NFL. The Seahawks have turned the ball over 27 times this season — 2nd-most in NFL.

Seahawks RBs have averaged just 3.7 targets per game this season — 2nd-lowest in NFL. The Patriots have allowed 4.8 receptions per game to RBs this season — T-5th-highest in NFL.

The Seahawks have been successful on 34.7% of pass attempts when their QB was under pressure since the 2024 season — 5th-best in NFL. The Patriots have pressured opposing QBs on just 20.9% of passing plays since the 2024 season — 5th-worst in NFL.

The Seahawks have been successful on 51.6% of pass attempts against a base rush this season — 4th-best in NFL. The Patriots have pressured opposing QBs on 20.3% of pass attempts with a base rush this season — 4th-worst in NFL.

Seattle Seahawks Offense: Important Stats

The Seahawks have averaged 10.7 yards per play on play action passes this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 7.3.

The Seahawks have converted late downs on just 11 of 257 plays (4%) with 7-10 yards to go this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: 6%.

The Seahawks have averaged 8.8 yards per play when their QB has scrambled this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 4.6.

The Seahawks have averaged 11.1 yards per play against open coverage this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 9.1.

New England Patriots Offense: Important Stats

The Patriots have run successful plays on 58% of pass attempts in the 1st half this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

The Patriots have run successful plays on 56% of pass attempts this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Patriots have scored 6 TDs from their own territory this season — most in NFL.

The Patriots have completed passes for 20+ yards on 69 of their 502 total passing attempts (14%) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 9%.

Seattle Seahawks Defense: Important Stats

The Seahawks defense has allowed successful plays on 31% of rush attempts in the 1st quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Seahawks defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 43% on 3rd and short this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 60%.

The Seahawks defense have allowed -0.68 epa per play with a heavy rush this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 0.05.

The Seahawks defense have allowed just 2.8 yards per play on contested throws this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 5.4.

New England Patriots Defense: Important Stats

The Patriots defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 15% on 3rd and long this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: 25%.

Only 10% of the plays run against the Patriots have been in the red zone this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 15%.

The Patriots defense have allowed -0.19 epa per play against play action passes this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 0.07.

Only 10% of the plays run against the Patriots have been in the red zone in the 1st half this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 14%.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.