Seahawks vs. Rams: NFC Championship Odds, Prediction

A rubber match takes center stage for the NFC Championship as the Seahawks host the Rams. 

Seattle blew out the 49ers 41-6 on Saturday, their eighth win in a row. When the Seahawks last hosted the Rams, Seattle erased a 16-point deficit to win 38-37 in overtime. 

The Rams survived another Bears comeback to win 20-17 in overtime. Now, Los Angeles will try to win a third straight road game to reach Super Bowl 60. 

Bet on Seahawks vs. Rams and other NFL matchups with up-to-date NFL odds. 

Seahawks vs. Rams: NFC Championship Odds

Seahawks vs. Rams Prediction

Based on the market’s perception of the Seahawks and the Rams’ offensive success against Seattle, my Seahawks vs Rams prediction is the Rams Spread (+2.5, -105). 

This line opened Seattle -2.5 juiced -110. The line trended toward three early in the week, but it appears to have settled at 2.5. 

Los Angeles closed +2.5 in Seattle earlier this year. Accordingly, the logical question to ask: are the Rams an equal team to the Week 16 version?  

I’d argue the answer is almost certainly no. The offense played without Davante Adams in that game, and the defense played without Quentin Lake. 

Lake’s absence almost certainly impacted Los Angeles’s ability to defend a 16-point lead. Additionally, Seattle required – essentially – divine intervention to erase that deficit. 

The best unit on the field is the Rams offense. During the regular season, Los Angeles led the NFL in offensive DVOA while facing the fourth-hardest set of defenses. 

Sean McVay’s unit also posted the lowest variance in the NFL. 

Seattle led the NFL in defensive DVOA, having faced the fourth-hardest set of offenses. However, only four defenses posted higher variance than Seattle. 

From Week 1-15, Los Angeles averaged +0.156 EPA per play. In Week 16 – without Adams – they posted a +0.202 output. 

Los Angeles kicked two field goals from inside the Seattle 10-yard line during that game. Turning either one into a touchdown certainly changes the game outcome. 

Seattle has no personnel absentees to point to in that game. Additionally, bettors have seen this defense struggle against good rushing attacks. 

Mike Macdonald’s team barely beat the Colts 18-16 while allowing 102 yards on the ground. The Rams also succeeded on the ground, rushing for 124 in Week 16. 

At minimum, I predict the Rams stay within this number against an inflated Seahawks team. 

Betting Seahawks vs. Rams: NFL Public Betting