Steelers vs Bengals Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 1

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 11, 2022, 8:15 AM
  • The Bengals (0-0) are -6.5 point favorites vs the Steelers (0-0)
  • Watch the game on CBS
  • Total (Over/Under): 44.5 points

The Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0) visit Paycor Stadium to take on the Cincinnati Bengals (0-0) on Sep. 11. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm ET in Cincinnati.

The Bengals are betting favorites in Week 1, with the spread sitting at 6.5 (-110).

The Steelers vs. Bengals Over/Under is 44.5 total points for the game.

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Steelers vs. Bengals Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 1

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Pittsburgh Steelers+6.5 -11044.5 -110+220
Cincinnati Bengals -6.5 -11044.5 -110-275

Steelers vs. Bengals Prediction for Week 1

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Bengals will win this Week 1 NFL matchup with 60.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Steelers and Bengals, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Steelers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Steelers players for Week 1, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Najee Harris has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+6.80 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Diontae Johnson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Pat Freiermuth has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.65 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Chase Claypool has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.40 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Pat Freiermuth has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.35 Units / 37% ROI)

Best Bengals Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Bengals players for Week 1, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Joe Burrow has hit the Completions Over in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+7.05 Units / 72% ROI)
  • Joe Mixon has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.85 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Joe Burrow has hit the TD Passes Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+5.20 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Joe Mixon has hit the Carries Under in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+4.80 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Tee Higgins has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+4.75 Units / 32% ROI)

First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Bengals vs Steelers

Player Name 1st TD Odds
Joe Mixon +400
Ja'Marr Chase +450
Tee Higgins +750
Najee Harris +800
Tyler Boyd +900

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Bengals vs Steelers

Player Name Anytime TD Odds
Joe Mixon -190
Ja'Marr Chase -165
Najee Harris -105
Tee Higgins +120
Pat Freiermuth +145

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Bengals vs Steelers

Player Name Over Under
Tyler Boyd 40.5 -115 40.5 -110
Tee Higgins 70.5 -110 70.5 -115
Najee Harris 23.5 -120 23.5 -110
Ja’Marr Chase 70.5 -115 70.5 -110
Joe Mixon 14.5 -120 14.5 -110

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Bengals vs Steelers

Player Name Over Under
Joe Burrow 5.5 -115 5.5 -115
Joe Mixon 69.5 -115 69.5 -115
Mitchell Trubisky 19.5 -110 19.5 -115
Najee Harris 58.5 -115 58.5 -115
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have scored last in 14 of their last 16 games (+12.80 Units / 68% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have covered the 4Q Spread in their last 10 games (+10.20 Units / 86% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games (+10.00 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.65 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.20 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 20 games (+13.35 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have covered the 3Q Spread in 17 of their last 21 games (+12.70 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 11 games (+8.85 Units / 73% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have covered the Spread in their last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 92% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+7.30 Units / 61% ROI)

Pittsburgh Steelers: Keys to the Game vs. the Cincinnati Bengals

The Steelers were 6-1 (.857) vs top 10 run offenses last season — tied for 4th-best in NFL; League Avg: .459.

The Steelers were 2-5 (.286) when rushing less than 20 times last season — 7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .121.

The Steelers were undefeated (7-0-1) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .491.

The Steelers were 6-1-1 (.750) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes last season — tied for 5th-best in NFL; League Avg: .572.

Cincinnati Bengals: Keys to the Game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers

The Bengals were 4-0 (1.000) when rushing for 120 or more yards last season — tied for best in NFL. The Steelers allowed an average of 146.6 rushing yards per game last season — worst in NFL.

The Bengals were 1-2 (.333) when rushing less than 20 times last season — tied for 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .121.

The Bengals were 2-2 (.500) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times last season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .165.

The Bengals were 7-1 (.875) when rushing for more than 100 yards last season — tied for 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .621.

Additional Matchup Notes for Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cincinnati Bengals

Bengals QBs were sacked 55 last season — third-most in NFL. The Steelers sacked the quarterback 55 times last season — most in NFL.

Bengals TEs have just 32.7 receiving yards per game since the 2020 season — third-worst in NFL. The Steelers have allowed an average ofjust 43.9 receiving yards per game to TEs since the 2020 season — fourth-best in NFL.

The Bengals were 4-0 (1.000) when rushing for 120 or more yards last season — tied for best in NFL. The Steelers allowed an average of 146.6 rushing yards per game last season — worst in NFL.

Steelers RBs averaged just 78.7 rushing yards per game last season — fifth-worst in NFL. The Bengals allowed an average of just 103.0 rushing yards per game last season — fifth-best in NFL.

The Steelers have allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 17.3% of pass attempts since the 2020 season — second-best in NFL. The Bengals have pressured opposing QBs on just 22.0% of passing plays since the 2020 season — fifth-worst in NFL.

Steelers QBs have given up 52 sacks since the 2020 season — third-fewest in NFL. The Bengals have sacked the quarterback 59 times since the 2020 season — fifth-fewest in NFL.

Pittsburgh Steelers Offense: Important Stats for Week 1

The Steelers ran the ball on 27% of plays (39 carries/144 plays) in the red zone last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

The Steelers ran 22% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 1st quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

The Steelers averaged 15.0 drives per TD in Week 18 — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 4.1.

The Steelers ran 34% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 1st half last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

Cincinnati Bengals Offense: Important Stats for Week 1

The Bengals had 21 TDs that were 20+ yards last season — most in NFL.

The Bengals ran successful plays on 21% of pass attempts in Week 18 — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Bengals ran successful plays on 8% of pass attempts in the 1st half in Week 18 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

The Bengals went three and out on 7% of their drives in the 3rd quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 21%.

Pittsburgh Steelers Defense: Important Stats for Week 1

The Steelers defense allowed no passing TDs (32 pass attempts) in Week 18 — tied for best Pass Attempts Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 17.1.

The Steelers defense allowed 20+ yard rushes 24 times last season — most in NFL.

Offenses facing the Steelers targeted TEs 56% of the time (18 Pass Attempts/32 plays) in Week 18 — highest in NFL; League Avg: 20%.

The Steelers defense sacked opponents 55 times last season — most in NFL.

Cincinnati Bengals Defense: Important Stats for Week 1

The Bengals defense allowed 8 broken tackles in Week 18 — 2nd-most in NFL.

The Bengals defense forced three and outs on 12% of opponent drives in the 2nd half last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 18%.

Only 12% of the plays ran against the Bengals were in the red zone last season — 5th-best in NFL; League Avg: 15%.

Only 7% of the plays ran against the Bengals were in the red zone in the 3rd quarter last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 13%.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.