Steelers vs Bengals Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NFL, Week 13

Bengals player in an orange and black uniform is pointing.
(AP Photo/Jeff Dean)
  • The Bengals are -3 point favorites vs the Steelers
  • Total (Over/Under): 47 points
  • Watch this game on CBS

The Pittsburgh Steelers (8-3-0) visit Paycor Stadium to take on the Cincinnati Bengals (4-7-0) on Dec. 1. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Cincinnati, OH.

The Bengals are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -3 (-105).

The Steelers vs. Bengals Over/Under is 47 total points for the game.

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Steelers vs. Bengals Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Steelers+3 -11547 -110+130
Bengals -3 -10547 -110-155

Steelers vs. Bengals Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Bengals will win this game with 60.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Steelers vs Bengals Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Bengals will cover the spread with 55.5% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Steelers players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Steelers Player Prop Bets Today

  • George Pickens has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+7.90 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Pat Freiermuth has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 11 away games (+5.45 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Justin Fields has hit the Interceptions Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.40 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Russell Wilson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.10 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Jaylen Warren has hit the Receptions Over in 6 of his last 8 away games (+4.35 Units / 48% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Bengals players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Bengals Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Zack Moss has hit the Carries Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.70 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Zack Moss has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.20 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Zack Moss has hit the Receptions Over in his last 5 games at home (+5.25 Units / 88% ROI)
  • Zack Moss has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Joe Burrow has hit the Carries Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.75 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have covered the 2H Spread in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.60 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 games (+7.35 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have covered the 3Q Spread in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.55 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have covered the 4Q Spread in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.25 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 19 games (+4.90 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 18 games (+13.90 Units / 65% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.25 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.45 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have scored first in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.05 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 2H Moneyline in 9 of their last 15 games (+2.55 Units / 12% ROI)

Steelers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Steelers art 8-3 (+4.6 Units / 38.17% ROI).

  • Steelers are 8-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.7 Units / 29.01% ROI
  • Steelers are 6-5 when betting the Over for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI
  • Steelers are 5-6 when betting the Under for -1.6 Units / ROI

Bengals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Bengals are 6-5 (+0.7 Units / 5.88% ROI).

  • Bengals are 4-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.65 Units / -37.2% ROI
  • Bengals are 8-3 when betting the Over for +4.65 Units / 38.27% ROI
  • Bengals are 3-8 when betting the Under for -5.8 Units / -48.13% ROI

Pittsburgh Steelers: Keys to the Game vs. the Cincinnati Bengals

The Steelers are 5-2 (.714) when passing for 250 or more yards since the 2023 season — T-6th-best in NFL. The Bengals have allowed 239.3 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 4th-worst in NFL.

The Steelers are 10-1 (.909) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .570.

The Steelers were undefeated (5-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .625.

The Steelers are 4-1 (.800) at home this season — T-3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .500.

Cincinnati Bengals: Keys to the Game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers

The Bengals are winless (0-4) when committing 2 or more turnovers since the 2023 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .293.

The Bengals were undefeated (5-0) when allowing less than 100 rushing yards last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .664.

The Bengals are undefeated (7-0) when allowing less than 100 rushing yards since the 2023 season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .685.

The Bengals were 7-2 (.778) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .536.

Additional Matchup Notes for Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cincinnati Bengals

The Bengals have run successful plays on just 34.8% of rush attempts against a stacked front since the 2023 season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Steelers have allowed successful plays on just 36.9% of rush attempts with a stacked front since the 2023 season — 4th-best in NFL.

The Bengals are averaging just 3.5 yards per carry on rushes to the right side of the field this season — T-4th-worst in NFL. The Steelers have allowed just 2.6 yards per carry when defending on rushes to the right this season — best in NFL.

The Bengals are averaging just 1.1 yards per carry on 3rd and short this season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Steelers have allowed just 1.7 yards per carry when defending on 3rd and short this season — 2nd-best in NFL.

The Steelers have scored on 43.2% of their drives in the fourth quarter this season — T-5th-best in NFL. The Bengals defense has allowed scores on 47.2% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter this season — 5th-worst in NFL.

The Steelers have rushed the ball on 56.8% of plays from scrimmage in the red zone since the 2023 season — T-4th-highest in NFL. The Bengals have allowed 29 rushing touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2023 season — 4th-most in NFL.

The Steelers are 5-2 (.714) when passing for 250 or more yards since the 2023 season — T-6th-best in NFL. The Bengals have allowed 239.3 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 4th-worst in NFL.

Pittsburgh Steelers Offense: Important Stats

The Steelers have converted first downs on just 7 of 87 plays (8%) on 1st down since Week 9 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 19%.

The Steelers have run successful plays on 8% of plays against a light rush this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 40%.

The Steelers scored 6 TDs from their own territory last season — 2nd-most in NFL.

The Steelers ran successful plays on 40% of pass attempts against a base front last season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

Cincinnati Bengals Offense: Important Stats

The Bengals averaged -0.85 epa per play against tight coverage last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.52.

The Bengals threw the ball 36% of the time (10 Pass Attempts/28 plays) in close and late situations last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 55%.

The Bengals committed 5 turnovers in the red zone last season — T-2nd-most in NFL.

The Bengals have thrown the ball 36% of the time (10 Pass Attempts/28 plays) in close and late situations since the 2023 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 55%.

Pittsburgh Steelers Defense: Important Stats

The Steelers defense allowed a passer rating of just 51.0 in the red zone (71 Pass Attempts) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 93.0.

The Steelers defense has allowed a passer rating of just 57.7 in the red zone (111 Pass Attempts) since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 93.6.

The Steelers defense has allowed scores on 9% of opponent drives in the 3rd quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 32%.

The Steelers defense have allowed -0.16 epa per play in the 2nd half since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: -0.04.

Cincinnati Bengals Defense: Important Stats

The Bengals defense has allowed successful plays on 55% of rush attempts in the 1st quarter since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Bengals defense allowed 8 TDs on first drive of the game last season — most in NFL.

The Bengals defense allowed a passer rating of just 24.8 when they pressured the QB (91 Pass Attempts) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 53.5.

The Bengals defense allowed 8.1 yards from scrimmage per touch (6,621 yards / 819 touches) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 7.2.

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About the Author

Nick Hennion

Read More @nickhennion

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.