- The Bengals are +5.5 point favorites vs the Steelers
- Total (Over/Under): 44 points
- Watch this game on Amazon
The Pittsburgh Steelers (4-1-0) visit Paycor Stadium to take on the Cincinnati Bengals (2-4-0) on Oct. 16. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH.
The Bengals are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at +5.5 (-110).
The Steelers vs. Bengals Over/Under is 44 total points for the game.
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Steelers vs. Bengals Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Steelers | -5.5 -110 | 44 -110 | -250 |
| Bengals | +5.5 -110 | 44 -110 | 200 |
Steelers vs. Bengals Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Steelers will win this game with 70.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Steelers vs Bengals Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Bengals will cover the spread with 56.6% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Steelers players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Steelers Player Prop Bets Today
- DK Metcalf has hit the Receptions Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.95 Units / 60% ROI)
- Jonnu Smith has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 17 games (+5.10 Units / 26% ROI)
- Jaylen Warren has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 8 away games (+3.75 Units / 40% ROI)
- Kenneth Gainwell has hit the Receptions Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+3.35 Units / 40% ROI)
- Aaron Rodgers has hit the TD Passes Over in 9 of his last 16 games (+3.35 Units / 20% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Bengals players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Bengals Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Noah Fant has hit the Receptions Over in his last 12 games (+12.80 Units / 83% ROI)
- Evan McPherson has hit the Field Goals Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.80 Units / 53% ROI)
- Tee Higgins has hit the Receptions Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.85 Units / 34% ROI)
- Noah Fant has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.50 Units / 39% ROI)
- Chase Brown has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.30 Units / 29% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Bengals vs Steelers
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Aaron Rodgers (PIT) | +6000 |
| Jaylen Warren (Pit) | +500 |
| Kenneth Gainwell (PIT) | +1000 |
| Kaleb Johnson (PIT) | +4000 |
| DK Metcalf (PIT) | +750 |
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Bengals vs Steelers
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Andrei Iosivas (CIN) | 15.5 -110 | 15.5 -120 |
| Noah Fant (CIN) | 29.5 -110 | 29.5 -118 |
| Kenneth Gainwell (PIT) | 17.5 -110 | 17.5 -118 |
| Chase Brown (CIN) | 15.5 -110 | 15.5 -118 |
| Jonnu Smith (PIT) | 27.5 -110 | 27.5 -118 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Bengals vs Steelers
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Kenneth Gainwell (PIT) | 24.5 -115 | 24.5 -115 |
| Jaylen Warren (PIT) | 52.5 -118 | 52.5 -110 |
| Chase Brown (CIN) | 42.5 -130 | 42.5 -105 |
| Samaje Perine (CIN) | 15.5 -115 | 15.5 -115 |
| Aaron Rodgers (PIT) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
Steelers Best Bets:
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in their last 8 away games (+8.10 Units / 88% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.60 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 1H Team Total Over in 7 of their last 9 away games (+5.35 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+4.50 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have covered the 3Q Spread in 11 of their last 17 games (+3.90 Units / 18% ROI)
Bengals Best Bets:
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.40 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+4.38 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 1H Team Total Under in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.85 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 19 games (+1.85 Units / 8% ROI)
Steelers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Steelers are 3-2 (+0.8 Units / 14.81% ROI).
- Steelers are 4-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.3 Units / 26.44% ROI
- Steelers are 3-2 when betting the Over for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI
- Steelers are 2-3 when betting the Under for -1.3 Units / ROI
Bengals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Bengals are 2-4 (-2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI).
- Bengals are 2-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -24.69% ROI
- Bengals are 4-2 when betting the Over for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Bengals are 2-4 when betting the Under for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI
Pittsburgh Steelers: Keys to the Game vs. the Cincinnati Bengals
The Steelers are 4-1 (.800) this season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .495.
The Steelers are 7-3 (.700) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2024 season — 10th-best in NFL; League Avg: .594.
The Steelers are 6-1 (.857) when allowing less than 30% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2024 season — T-9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .718.
The Steelers are 8-1 (.889) vs bottom 10 offenses since the 2024 season They play the Browns in Week 6 (Ranks 29th in total offense).
Cincinnati Bengals: Keys to the Game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers
The Steelers defense allowed 12 broken tackles in Week 6 — most in NFL.
The Steelers defense has hit opposing QBs on 26% of pass attempts this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 17%.
The Steelers defense has allowed a passer rating of just 0.0 with tight coverage (38 Pass Attempts) this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: 23.9.
The Steelers defense has allowed scores on 19% of opponent drives (11/58) in the 3rd quarter since the 2024 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 33%.
Additional Matchup Notes for Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cincinnati Bengals
The Steelers defense allowed 12 broken tackles in Week 6 — most in NFL.
The Steelers defense has hit opposing QBs on 26% of pass attempts this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 17%.
The Steelers defense has allowed a passer rating of just 0.0 with tight coverage (38 Pass Attempts) this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: 23.9.
The Steelers defense has allowed scores on 19% of opponent drives (11/58) in the 3rd quarter since the 2024 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 33%.
The Steelers are 4-1 (.800) this season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .495.
The Steelers are 7-3 (.700) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2024 season — 10th-best in NFL; League Avg: .594.
The Steelers are 6-1 (.857) when allowing less than 30% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2024 season — T-9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .718.
The Steelers are 8-1 (.889) vs bottom 10 offenses since the 2024 season They play the Browns in Week 6 (Ranks 29th in total offense).
Pittsburgh Steelers Offense: Important Stats
The Steelers are 4-1 (.800) this season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .495.
The Steelers are 7-3 (.700) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2024 season — 10th-best in NFL; League Avg: .594.
The Steelers are 6-1 (.857) when allowing less than 30% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2024 season — T-9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .718.
The Steelers are 8-1 (.889) vs bottom 10 offenses since the 2024 season They play the Browns in Week 6 (Ranks 29th in total offense).
Cincinnati Bengals Offense: Important Stats
The Steelers defense allowed 12 broken tackles in Week 6 — most in NFL.
The Steelers defense has hit opposing QBs on 26% of pass attempts this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 17%.
The Steelers defense has allowed a passer rating of just 0.0 with tight coverage (38 Pass Attempts) this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: 23.9.
The Steelers defense has allowed scores on 19% of opponent drives (11/58) in the 3rd quarter since the 2024 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 33%.
Pittsburgh Steelers Defense: Important Stats
The Steelers are 4-1 (.800) this season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .495.
The Steelers are 7-3 (.700) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2024 season — 10th-best in NFL; League Avg: .594.
The Steelers are 6-1 (.857) when allowing less than 30% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2024 season — T-9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .718.
The Steelers are 8-1 (.889) vs bottom 10 offenses since the 2024 season They play the Browns in Week 6 (Ranks 29th in total offense).
Cincinnati Bengals Defense: Important Stats
The Steelers defense allowed 12 broken tackles in Week 6 — most in NFL.
The Steelers defense has hit opposing QBs on 26% of pass attempts this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 17%.
The Steelers defense has allowed a passer rating of just 0.0 with tight coverage (38 Pass Attempts) this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: 23.9.
The Steelers defense has allowed scores on 19% of opponent drives (11/58) in the 3rd quarter since the 2024 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 33%.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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